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Posted: 07 Nov 2011 02:46 AM PST Ok so the "Top 20,001 takeaways" type posts have already been done, so I wanted to make this more of a general view of the themes emerging from this year's SearchLove conference. I suspect that summarising general trends in what was discussed might be a pretty good reflection of where the SEO industry is now and where it's heading. I'll start off by saying that I enjoyed SearchLove a whole lot more than the other SEO conferences I've been to, and not just because of the great food and excellent Monday night party! I felt there was a great deal of enthusiasm among those present, and I came away from the conference feeling inspired and eager to try out the new ideas I heard. The word "awesome" is being used a lot at this conference. Just saying. #searchlove @RachelsWritings Rachel McCombie So, in no particular order, here are some of the main themes emerging from SearchLove this year… Good content is more important now than ever before Giving your users a great experience 'Gamification' – or the art of getting people to do what you want Building online and real-life relationships is good for link building LinkedIn is a surprisingly useful (stalking) asset The Dislike button won't happen Infographics can still work Have I missed out any important themes? Leave a comment below and let me know! © SEOptimise - Download our free business guide to blogging whitepaper and sign-up for the SEOptimise monthly newsletter. SearchLove 2011: Top Trends Related posts: |
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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
Posted: 07 Nov 2011 07:12 PM PST Inquiring minds will note that the German tour operator Tui is taking measures to protect itself from a Greek exit from the Euro and subsequent currency meltdown. Please consider Tui prepares Greek hoteliers for possible euro exit German tour operator Tui has asked hotels in Greece to sign new contracts spelling out how the company will pay its bills if Greece leaves the eurozone and starts using a new currency.Greece to Become Tourist Mecca as Soon as it Scraps the Euro Would you risk going to Greece now with all the strife, strikes, missed flights, and violence? Some might but I wouldn't. What if everything in Greece is suddenly 60% lower? Your answer might change (or not) but many answers will change. Yet until it does change, Greece will see cancellation after cancellation of tour operators unwilling to take the chance on Greece. I do not know what Tui will do. However, if I was Tui, I would immediately cancel all tour operation in Greece. If that happens and other tour companies follow suit, pressure will mount inside Greece to tell the IMF, EMU, and ECB to go to hell. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Posted: 07 Nov 2011 11:48 AM PST Michael Pettis at China Financial Markets asks the question "Will Greece unravel by Christmas?" Pettis then makes a historical case for exactly that while stating "I don't think Europe can postpone Greece's exit much longer." From Pettis, via Email, with Permission .... Will Greece unravel by Christmas?Risk of Bank Run Rising Allianz Global Investors chief investment officer says Risk of Greek Bank Run, End of Euro Rising The risk of a run on Greek banks and an end to the euro has increased as the sovereign debt crisis continues to shake markets, according to Allianz Global Investors, a fund-management unit of Europe's biggest insurer.What's the Rational Thing to Do? The rational thing to do if you live in Spain, Portugal, or Greece is to take all of your money out of banks while it's still denominated in Euros, while you still can. If a majority, or even a significant minority of depositors act rationally, it will be all over in days. Thus, I believe Pettis has this called precisely, while Utermann has missed the mark. Given that the German Supreme Court would not allow a "Bagehot Intervention", once a run of sufficient size starts it will be all over in days. Please see Bagehot's Rule, Central Bank Incentives and Macroeconomic Resilience for further discussion of the "Bagehot Rule". Please see Germany's Top Judge Throws Major Monkey Wrench Into Leveraged EFSF Machinery, Demands New Constitution and Popular Referendum for Further Powers for reasons why a "Bagehot Intervention" is not going to happen. Right now, Greece wants to hang on until the next Tranche of money comes in. EMU leaders want to prevent a Greek exit at any and all costs (without doing an analysis of the costs). Thus, the EMU, ECB, and IMF "Troika" have made matters much worse for themselves when the inevitable finally happens. This is out of the hands of Greece, Germany, Merkozy, the Troika, President Obama, and everyone else who thinks they are in control. End of the Line when Depositors Act Rationally The end of the line comes when Greek citizens act rationally and pull their deposits. From my perspective, the sooner that happens the better as sending more money to Greece does nothing but squander more European taxpayer's money. To that end, the Troika would be advised to not send the next tranche of money and instead coordinate an exit strategy for countries that are inevitably going to exit. Unfortunately, EMU bureaucrats will not be bright enough to figure this out. Expect a very disorderly, disruptive, and unplanned exit accompanied by bank closures. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Posted: 07 Nov 2011 09:45 AM PST Today the EFSF went ahead with the bond sale it canceled last week. The spreads are not pretty, and they will get worse. Please consider EFSF Bailout Fund Revives 3 Billion-Euro Bond Sale Amid Deepening Crisis The European Financial Stability Facility revived the 3 billion-euro ($4.1 billion) bond sale it pulled last week even as the region's sovereign crisis deepened.Blind Faith Bear in mind no one knows how this new EFSF even works, how much leverage it will use or how big the guarantee is. Why anyone would want to buy it is a mystery. "You're being asked to invest in something that could change shape relatively radically" said Richard McGuire, a senior fixed-income strategist at Rabobank International in London. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Posted: 07 Nov 2011 02:31 AM PST Italy's Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's days are numbered. He will likely be gone in a week. When it happens it will be a case of 2 down with Merkozy (France and Germany), Spain, and Portugal (thus 4) to go. Bloomberg reports Berlusconi's Majority Unravels as Allies Turning Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's majority is unraveling before a key parliamentary vote tomorrow, with allies pressuring him to step aside after contagion from the region's sovereign debt crisis pushed Italy's borrowing costs to euro-era records.Calls Real, Not Gossip One does not respond to gossip, begging for votes. The calls for his resignation are very real and Berlusconi knows it. Bold lies are a clear sign of weakness and do him no good. Rats Jump Ship CNBC reports Italy's Berlusconi at Mercy of Party Rebels, Markets Italian Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi has one day left to win over waverers and see off a group of party rebels threatening to bring down his government in a backlash over its failure to adopt reforms to defuse a dangerous debt crisis.It is entirely fitting and expected for rats to offer other rats bribes for votes. This is what politics is all about. Mass Rally Calls for Berlusconi's Departure Please consider Mass Rally Calls for Berlusconi's Departure Tens of thousands of demonstrators gathered in Rome Saturday for a rally organised by the main left-wing party to demand Prime Minister Silvio Berlusconi's resignation.Mish's Rule of Junkyard Politics Sending politicians to the junkyard is one thing. Replacing them with someone better is another. The former is extremely difficult. The latter is nearly impossible. Careful analysis of the long-term historical trend will prove my point. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Italian Debt Yields Soar to Euro-Era Record; 2-Year Yield Surges 70 Basis Points to 6.17% Posted: 07 Nov 2011 02:25 AM PST Italy 10-Year Government Bond Yield Italy 2-Year Government Bond Yield Charts courtesy of Bloomberg. That is one amazing move in the 2-year yield in and of itself, but even more so in relation to the move in the 10-year yield. Once again I point out that the Bloomberg charts on the right do not match the quotes on the left. The quotes appear to be accurate. However, the charts reflect the previous day's close. I will repeat this message until Bloomberg is humiliated enough to fix this blatant error. That said, I appreciate the fact that Bloomberg offers these charts at the bargain basement deflationary price of zero. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Greece 1-Year Debt Yield "Improves" to 235.35% Posted: 07 Nov 2011 12:47 AM PST I have good news to report. The sovereign debt crisis in Greece is improving as shown by the following chart. Word of caution for my many non-US readers: Sarcasm does not translate well. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
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