luni, 11 februarie 2013

Seth's Blog : Humanize it

 

Humanize it

Quite intentionally, all Cadbury Fruit and Nut bars are identical.

No one says, "oh, this one is really special, Brian made it."

What industrialists do: They dehumanize what they make, so it is the brand and the organization and the factory that is known and trusted, not the person on the line. (This is not always a bad thing--there are many items where consumers prefer perfect instead of human).

The outcome of this effort is that employees are fungible commodities, as long as they are able and willing to follow the manual. That's all well and good if you're the owner (or if you need a reliable supply of chocolate), but it doesn't play out so well for the worker, particularly in a society with ever-faster-shifting job slots.

The only alternative is to humanize our work. To create something that only you could have made, or said, or conceived of. When it looks and feels like you, when you are the trusted source (not an anonymous trademark) then you are on the spot, under pressure and deservedly valued.


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duminică, 10 februarie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


'Sequester' Fearmongering by Obama and Republicans

Posted: 10 Feb 2013 04:28 PM PST

Republicans don't want military spending cuts and Democrats don't want cuts in social programs. The best thing to do would be doubling or tripling the cuts, but compromise tends to work in the other direction.

Thus one should not be surprised by this can-kicking idea: Republicans Propose Job Freeze to Avert Defense Cuts
Republican members of the House and Senate Armed Services committees revived a proposal to avert automatic spending cuts by reducing the federal workforce through attrition and freezing congressional salaries.

The legislation would save $85 billion through Sept. 30, the same amount as the across-the-board cuts that would be divided between defense and domestic programs, said Senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire. She was among lawmakers presenting the plan at a news conference Wednesday in Washington.

The automatic cuts, called sequestration, will take effect March 1 unless Congress and President Barack Obama agree on an alternative. Tuesday, Obama urged lawmakers to propose a short-term package of reductions and tax-code changes, such as limiting tax breaks, to delay the reductions.

"The president gave us a proposal that cuts defense spending once again," Representative Howard "Buck" McKeon of California, chairman of the House Armed Services Committee, said at the news conference. He called Obama's plan "irresponsible, unacceptable."
Sequestration a Brainchild of Republicans

Excuse me for pointing out the truth: Sequestration is a brainchild of a Republican House. Instead of accepting 10-1 spending cuts to tax hikes that was on the table last year, Republicans kicked the can to 2013 believing Romney to be a shoo-in for president.

It did not work out that way, as I warned at the time. Now, Obama's "I am willing to make hard choices" offer is off the table (assuming of course it was ever really on the table).

Now Republicans whine about the automatic spending cuts to the military that they agreed to (expecting them to go away under Romney). And in the meantime, Republicans accepted a boatload of tax hikes and got absolutely nothing in return.

Defense Cut Fearmongering

Outgoing Defense Secretary Leon Panetta stepped up to the plate, fearmongering about the defense cuts. "My fear is that there is a dangerous and callous attitude that is developing among some Republicans and some Democrats that these dangerous cuts can be allowed to take place in order to blame the other party for the consequences," said Panetta.

It's long overdue we get rid of Neanderthals like Panetta, so I look forward to the appointment of Chuck Hagel as defense secretary.

Meanwhile, Senator Kelly Ayotte of New Hampshire got into the act with the message "Our defense should not be used as a bargaining chip because of other policy aspirations".

Senator Kelly is another hypocrite that wants more military spending but no tax hikes to pay for them.

Tax Rift Hardens as Sequester Nears

Fearmongering of another sort is now making mainstream media waves. For example, please consider this headline news story: Tax Rift Hardens as 'Sequester' Nears
A rift over how to replace the automatic budget cuts known as "sequestration" hardened on Sunday, as Democratic and Republican leaders clashed over including tax increases in any proposal to replace the looming spending reductions set to kick in on March 1.

"We've got a spending problem, everybody knows it," Cantor said. Referencing the beginning-of-the-year deal to avert the so-called "fiscal cliff" of tax increases and spending cuts, Cantor said Obama "just got his tax hike on the wealthy. And you can't in this town every three months raise taxes. Again, every time, that's his response."

Obama is almost certain to use his Tuesday night State of the Union address to urge a resolution to the sequester, which grew out of the 2011 agreement to raise the U.S. debt ceiling. Sen. Marco Rubio of Florida, a rising Republican star, will give his party's response.

Obama on Saturday used his weekly address to warn that the sequester would deliver a "huge blow to middle-class families and our economy as a whole." His warning came a day after the White House released a list of programs that would suffer under the automatic cuts. Benefits for low-income Americans would be cut, government food inspectors would be laid off and the FBI would lose 1,000 officers, the White House said.

The aerospace industry has also been a vocal critic of the sequester. The president of the Aerospace Industries Association, which represents Boeing Co. and Lockheed Martin Corp. among other companies, is scheduled to join officials of health and educational groups at a Washington news conference on Monday to urge lawmakers and Obama for a permanent replacement for the sequester.
Fearmongering by Both Parties

Both parties, as expected, are now in on the fearmongering act. Recall that the spending cuts via sequestration were scheduled only because the parties could not agree on any budget cuts last year. They still cannot agree this year even though "We've got a spending problem, everybody knows it".

It's only February 10. The sequestration cuts occur on March 1. In political terms that date is the equivalent of light-years away (yes I know light years are a measure of distance). My point is there is still plenty of time to snatch defeat from the jaws of victory.

Victory is sequestration, the best possible outcome. But don't count on it. Following still more fear-mongering by both parties, another do-nothing can-kicking compromise is likely.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Europe à l’Hollandaise; Socialists Who Wrecked France, Demand the Same for Rest of Eurozone

Posted: 10 Feb 2013 09:38 AM PST

It's crystal clear Hollande's disastrous socialist policies are not working for France. The solution should be obvious, scrap the policies. Instead, Hollande wants a grand harmonization with the rest of Europe following the lead of France into the gutter.

Please consider Europe à l'Hollandaise, François Hollande's flawed vision for Europe.
LEADERS keep talking about the future of Europe, yet none seems able to offer a clear vision. Angela Merkel speaks vaguely of the need for greater "Europeanisation of national powers". David Cameron, by contrast, wants a renationalisation of European powers—though without being too specific. This week it was François Hollande's turn to speak about destiny. His concept, as set out in a speech to the European Parliament on February 5th, is to extend French dirigiste and socialist ideas to Europe, even where they cannot be applied to France itself.

Take the rising value of the euro. France cannot resort to devaluation to close its already large trade deficit. So Mr Hollande wants euro-zone governments to act together to bring down the exchange rate. Or take competitiveness. Mr Hollande has adopted some cautious labour-market reforms, but now he proposes a euro-zone minimum wage. Or take taxation. Having put up French taxes, he wants euro-zone countries to "harmonise" tax policies. Or take macroeconomic policy. If deficit countries must undergo austerity, then the EU as a whole should continue spending to support growth, and surplus countries should boost domestic demand to bring up the rest.

For Mr Hollande, as for many of his predecessors, competition is often "disloyal" and market forces dangerous—things to be tamed rather than encouraged. From both the left and the right, French politicians accuse European countries that allow lower wages and tax rates than France of practising "social dumping".
The future of the euro zone, Mr Hollande suggests, will not be the Germanic notion of euro-zone members bearing individual responsibility for their economic policies, within rigid rules imposed by the centre. Instead integration must include common projects on, say, infrastructure and renewable energy, paid for by "new financial instruments". And integration must be accompanied by greater "solidarity", including guaranteed jobs and training for young people and, yes, Eurobonds.

Little of this fits with the British model of a looser, highly liberalised common market, in which members have the flexibility to tailor the terms of their membership. Europe, said Mr Hollande, was not just a market or a currency, but a political project where one could not ceaselessly "question everything at every stage".

There could be no "à la carte" Europe. But there could be a "differentiated" EU in which some countries push towards integration, while preserving a "substantial foundation which must remain common competences". In other words, Britain need never join the single currency, but cannot undo the deals that created today's single market.

The 3% question

For now, Mr Hollande's main worry is not to be cast as a "Club Med" country unable to keep up with Germany in a hard-currency, low-inflation zone. He may soon face a tricky problem. The European Commission's official forecasts later this month will almost certainly indicate that France will miss its EU target to bring the budget deficit to below 3% of GDP this year.
Apparently, "If it's bad enough for France, it's good enough for the rest of Europe".

Can someone, anyone, explain how all the differing opinions about what's good for Europe can possibly work (or even be approved).

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

SEO Blog

SEO Blog


SEO Overkill

Posted: 10 Feb 2013 10:11 AM PST

SEO Overkill Many website owners are focusing on the wrong aspects of their SEO and finding it difficult to climb the rankings in Google for their targeted keywords or even losing valuable rankings. SEO is not complicated and you should not focus on just one aspect as most people do,...
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5 Basic Principles You Should Apply Into Your Interaction With Your Employees

Posted: 10 Feb 2013 04:50 AM PST

In order to yield the best results in any organization, employers need to device means and motivation strategies to ensure they retain their employees. They are the greatest asset one could ever have in their company. In whatever setting, workers require something to keep them going. In most cases, a...
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How To Get More Blog Traffic Through SEO

Posted: 10 Feb 2013 12:44 AM PST

Search engine optimization is that little tricky thing that many bloggers fail to adopt on their blog on regular basis. I will admit that in beginning I was one of those blogger who don't practice SEO on their blog but after reading this article you will come to know that...
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Top LinkedIn Keywords

Posted: 09 Feb 2013 11:45 PM PST

According to Alexa LinkedIn is the 16th most visited website on earth. Most of the searches are for people trying to develop partnerships, find employees, jobs, vendors, customers, and internships. So you've created a LinkedIn account for networking, an online resume, job searching, or to connect with potential employees. Let's...
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Seth's Blog : The simple form that could save your life

 

The simple form that could save your life

Medicine is a data processing business. Doctors measure, notice and inspect, and based on the data they collect, make decisions and take action.

Alas, despite years of promises, online data storage in medicine is a mess. Whenever I visit a new doctor, I have to start over, from the beginning, to the best of my recollection. And I hate forms, so I leave stuff out, or forget things, or my handwriting is a mess.

Perhaps we shouldn't wait for a universal solution.

This simple Word doc (Download file) (Google doc) will take you a few minutes to fill out. And, as you get older, you can keep it up to date. Every time you go to a doctor's office, print it out and bring it with you. Keep one where you can find it. Make sure your kids or parents have a copy as well. (And, while you're at it, forward a blank one or this post to people who will benefit from having one.)

No cloud security issues, no data format issues. An old-fashioned, paper-based sneakernet of your medical information. Over time, doctors will tell you what you should add or leave out for the next doctor, as you take charge of doing a better job of telling your doctor what your doctor needs to know.

[Thanks to Terry Heaton for the notion, to Dave Winer for the push and to Dr. Jonathan Sackner Bernstein for the edits]


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sâmbătă, 9 februarie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


McDonald's Global Sales Slump 1.9 Percent; Price, Competition, Jobs to Blame

Posted: 09 Feb 2013 03:36 PM PST

Most people love McDonalds, but I am in the distinct minority. Regardless, global sales are down perhaps an indication that the price people are willing to pay for convenience has at least temporarily reached a peak.

Reuters reports, McDonald's January sales drop more than anticipated
McDonald's Corp (MCD) said on Friday that January sales at established restaurants around the world fell 1.9 percent, a steeper decline than expected as fast-food chains fight for diners.

McDonald's warned last month that same-restaurant sales would be down. Analysts polled by Consensus Metrix had expected a decline of 1.1 percent.

Comparable sales in Europe, McDonald's top market, declined 2.1 percent last month, with weakness in Germany and France. Analysts expected an increase of almost 0.1 percent.

The United States, a close No. 2, posted a 0.9 percent gain, helped in part by the addition of the Grilled Onion Cheddar burger to its Dollar Menu. U.S. results exceeded analysts' target for a 0.3 percent decline.

Asia/Pacific, Middle East and Africa (APMEA) turned in a 9.5 percent decline, despite strength in Australia - steeper than the 5.8 percent analysts had anticipated. McDonald's cited continued weakness in Japan and the shift in the timing of the Chinese New Year.

Scares over the safety of China's chicken supply also took a small bite out of McDonald's sales there.
Not a McRib Issue

This is not a food quality scare issue (For details see Yum! The McRib is Back, Get Yours Today (After You Find Out What's In It); The Secret's in the Sauce!).

Rather, it's an affordability issue. People want value in the value meal and there is no value, either in terms of quality or price.

Sales rose in the US purportedly "helped in part by the addition of the Grilled Onion Cheddar burger to its Dollar Menu". Most don't want to know what's in it, and would not stop eating the stuff even if they did.

This all comes down to price and jobs. There are too few jobs, and the price of the value meal (by any name at any fast food company) is simply too high. 

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

German Trade Surplus Hits Five-Year High; Rebalancing the Wrong Way

Posted: 09 Feb 2013 11:10 AM PST

Looking for evidence of rebalancing in Europe? Don't look here: German 2012 trade surplus soars despite weak December reports
Germany's trade surplus was the second highest in more than 60 years in 2012, pointing to an underlying resilience in Europe's largest economy, although both imports and exports disappointed in the last month of the year.

Exports rose just 0.3 percent in December from November, compared with a forecast rise of 1.3 percent, and imports fell 1.3 percent against expectations for a rise of 1.4 percent .

Analysts blamed poor demand from the euro zone and beyond for the weakness of exports, and Germans' reluctance to spend for the fall in imports, but pointed to signs of recovery ahead, including a 0.8 percent rise in December industrial orders.

"Imports fell noticeably in December but were stronger then exports over the entire quarter, which really weighed on economic growth," said economist Andreas Scheuerle at Deka Bank.

"Looking forward the sky is brightening. Global early indicators have improved noticeably and give hope that export business will improve again."

REBALANCING

European Central Bank chief Mario Draghi weakened the euro on Thursday with a subtle hint of concern about the impact of the currency's recent strength on a euro zone economy reeling from the impact of searing budget cuts across its southern half.

That undermines Spain, Portugal and others' efforts to be more competitive in markets beyond the currency bloc - but there were signs in Friday's data that they are at least selling more and buying less from Germany.

In 2012 German exports to the euro zone declined 2.1 percent while imports from the single currency bloc rose 0.7 percent. That may largely be a sign of the weak demand in Spain, Italy and elsewhere, but if continued it would go some way to addressing the bloc's long-term problem with Germans selling more goods abroad than they spend at home.

"Germany made a contribution to the rebalancing of the Eurozone in 2012, but offset the inevitable loss with success elsewhere," said Christian Schulz at Berenberg bank.
Sky Brightening?

The US, Germany, China, Japan, UK, Spain, Italy, and in fact every country wants to be a net exporter to create jobs. Mathematically it's impossible.

There is no significant reblancing, only Illusions of Stabilization.

Moreover, in the non-news of the day on Thursday ECB president Mario Draghi went out of his way to sink the euro with his statement "Risks to Downside".

In that article I took a look at the Nascent Recovery in Spain, pointing out Two Things Spain Needs (and Won't Get).

Rebalancing the Wrong Way

It's clear that Draghi wants to sink the euro to help exports. But what needs to happen is for Spanish, French, and Italian exports to soar. Instead exports from Germany have soared (primarily based on renewed unsustainable growth in China).

A sinking euro may help net European exports a bit, but it will not help Spain and Italy in relation to Germany.

As long as all countries remain committed to the eurozone, European rebalancing improvement must come from rising unemployment and/or still lower wages in the rest of Europe relative to Germany.

With Spanish unemployment over 26% and youth unemployment over 50%, how much more "rebalancing" of this nature can Spain take?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com