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Without a doubt, the single highest point of leverage in any campaign is getting out the vote. If the people who agree with you or believe in you actually show up and vote, you win.
This, of course, is true for everything, not just retail politics. Your non-profit, retail store or b2b services firm probably doesn't need as many new prospects as you think you do--you will generate more impact if you reconnect with the people who already know and trust you.
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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
China Manufacturing Deteriorates Modestly, Demand "Weaker than Expected" Posted: 02 Mar 2014 10:28 PM PST The HSBC Purchasing Managers' China PMI Index shows modest deterioration of business conditions in February. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Kerry Heads to Ukraine; McCain Proposes U.S. Missiles in Czech Republic Posted: 02 Mar 2014 04:06 PM PST In a symbolic but otherwise useless move, Kerry Heads to Ukraine as West Seeks Response to Russia Threat. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry is traveling to Ukraine today as western leaders seek to respond to Russia seizing control of the eastern European country's Black Sea region of Crimea.McCain Proposes U.S. Missiles in Czech Republic Proving once again he is a war-monger extraordinaire, senator John McCain told Time Magazine "We Are All Ukrainians". In response to reports of a Russian takeover in parts of Crimea, Arizona Senator John McCain said on Friday, "We are all Ukrainians," before calling for swift U.S. economic aid to Ukraine, condemnation of Russia at the United Nations, sanctions against Russian officials and the installation of U.S. missiles in the nearby Czech Republic.Anyone who thinks more US missiles in Europe is the answer to this problem is seriously deranged. And like all fake budget cutter hypocrites, McCain will not want to hike taxes to pay for those missiles either. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
States Circumvent Food Stamp Cutbacks; Draconian Cuts "Much Ado About Nothing" Posted: 02 Mar 2014 12:41 PM PST Flashback December 10, 2013: In Close Inspection of Alleged "Draconian" Cuts in Food Stamp Program I noted Mother Jones, the Nation, and the Daily Koz whined about "draconian" cuts in the food stamp program. Close scrutiny showed the "draconian" cuts amounted to $4 billion in a close to $80 billion program. I further commented I actually doubt we will ever see those "cuts" in the first place. Flashback January 29, 2014: Disgusting Compromise on $956B Farm Bill; In Spite of Massive Howls, No Actual Cuts in Food Stamps. Proving that neither party really wants to do anything about escalating costs of anything, in typical D.C. compromise action, the House Passes $956B Farm Bill in a bipartisan vote.States Make End Run Around Food Stamp Cuts Flash Forward March 2, 2014: States Make End Run Around Food Stamp Cuts. Connecticut and New York have found a way around federal budget cuts that played a central role in the massive farm bill passed this month: bump up home heating assistance a few million bucks in return for preserving more than a half-billion dollars in food stamp benefits.Cuts Much Ado About Nothing That there would be no cuts in food stamps was the easiest call I have ever made. Yet, we had to put up with incessant and ridiculous whining from democrats about ridiculously small cuts, even if they happened, when it was clear all along they wouldn't happen. We also had to put up with Republicans pretending they were doing something about spending when they knew (or should have known) they weren't. Since the time of Shakespeare seldom has there been so Much Ado About Nothing and from both political parties to boot. This is how I ended my January 29 commentary: Oh! The Horror!Question of the Day Republicans either didn't see this coming, or they did see it coming and simply didn't care. Which is worse? Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Posted: 02 Mar 2014 11:48 AM PST Intent on stopping 'destabilizing forces' (runs on the bank), Ukraine's Privatbank Limits Cash Withdrawals, Loans. Ukraine's largest commercial bank, Privatbank, announced temporary limits on cash withdrawals for its account holders and suspended writing new loans, saying in a statement the measures were intended to stop those undermining the political situation in the country.Head of Ukraine's Navy Defects After 1 Day The BBC reports New head of Ukraine's navy defects in Crimea. The newly appointed head of Ukraine's navy has sworn allegiance to the Crimea region, in the presence of its unrecognised pro-Russian leader.It's rather bizarre that the new head of Ukraine's government could not manage to pick a loyal person to head the navy. Russia just may take over Crimea for a long time to come. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Russian Troops Surround Two Military Bases in Crimea; Kerry Warns Russia Could be Expelled from G8 Posted: 02 Mar 2014 10:27 AM PST In a live update feed Guardian reports Ukrainian and Russian troops in standoff at Crimean military base. Summary
Ukraine Orders Full Military Mobilization The BBC reports Ukraine Orders Full Military Mobilization. Christian Fraser: "There is a new dilemma for the Ukrainian military, submit to the new authority in Crimea - or else"Ukraine No Match for Russia The New York Times reports Ukraine Forces Are Ill Equipped to Take Crimea Back From Russia Crimea has always been a vital base for the Soviet and then Russian Navy, serving as the headquarters of the Black Sea Fleet, which has controlled the waters off southern Russia since 1783. After a period of tension following Ukraine's independence when the Soviet Union collapsed in 1991, Russia got to keep its base in Crimea on a lease, extended until at least 2042 by the now-ousted president, Viktor F. Yanukovych.This could get messy in a hurry if Russian troops advance past the Crimea region. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
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or sleep near a train station.
Don't ask a cab driver for theater tips.
Never buy bread from the supermarket bakery...
and don't ask your spouse for honest feedback about how you look.
Don't do business with a stranger who calls you at home during dinner.
Think twice before you ask your ad agency how many ads you should run.
And never eat the macadamia nuts in the mini bar.
Proximity is not a stand in for expertise.
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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
Posted: 01 Mar 2014 02:45 PM PST The following bullet points are from the French Ipos Poll: New French fractures, results and analysis of the Ipsos/Steria. Although a huge majority of French want to stay on the Euro, a majority of "workers" don't. Poll Conclusions
Kevin O'rourke on the Irish Economy blog comments Class divides and European Integration, Yet Again. This morning's Eurointelligence briefing put me on to this article in Les Echos, which in turn led me to this Ipsos opinion poll. It contains several sobering findings, notably with respect to foreigners. But the finding that struck me most — since this is something I have been writing about for years now — is that a majority of French working class voters now want to leave the Euro. Indeed, only 34% of French workers think that EU membership is a good thing.Ernest Hemingway, 'The Sun Also Rises' "How did you go bankrupt?" Bill asked. "Two ways," Mike said. "Gradually and then suddenly." Painful Choice In case you missed it, please see Stiglitz: Leaving the Euro Painful but Staying in More Painful; Eurozone Breakup Recap. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Russian Troops Seize Crimea; UN Security Council Meets; Russian Flag Raised in Kharkiv Posted: 01 Mar 2014 01:07 PM PST News is fast and furious in Ukraine.
The Telegraph has a live blog on Ukraine going with some of those headlines and this image of Kharkiv in which protesters have raised the Russian flag. Russian Troops Seize Crimea Reuters reports Troops Seize Crimea. Talk of confrontation or outright war spread rapidly across Ukraine, with pro-Moscow demonstrators raising the Russian flag above government buildings in several cities and anti-Russian politicians calling for mobilization.Kharkiv, Donetsk, Luhansk, Odessa ABC News has some additional details in Russian Troops Take Over Ukraine's Crimea Region Russian troops took over Crimea as the parliament in Moscow gave President Vladimir Putin a green light Saturday to use the military to protect Russian interests in Ukraine. The newly installed government in Kiev was powerless to react to the action by Russian troops based in the strategic region and more flown in, aided by pro-Russian Ukrainian groups.Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
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