marți, 28 iulie 2015

Damn Cool Pics

Damn Cool Pics


What It Was Like To Be A Rural Doctor For A Day In 1948

Posted: 28 Jul 2015 06:15 PM PDT

Nowadays doctors don't make house calls all to often but back in 1948 this type of practice was very common. As you're about to see, rural doctors had a very busy job.
























People Who Aimed For Perfection And Totally Nailed It

Posted: 28 Jul 2015 05:52 PM PDT

You've got to give them some credit for trying.

























Seth's Blog : Predicting the future isn't easy

Predicting the future isn't easy

The best plans are based on trends, not specific events.

Here's a hopeless task: There are 18 candidates in the GOP race.

If you can rank them in the order they're going to drop out, I'll give you a signed copy of my new book or $10,000, your choice. The chances of being correct are 1:18!, or about one in six quadrillion, so I think the prize is safe.

On the other hand, this blog's twitter account is consistently creeping toward 500,000 followers. If you can guess the date, I'll send you a signed book. Your odds are a lot better on this one.

When in doubt, pick projects where the factors you need to have in place are on the road the audience is already on.

       

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​The 2015 Online Marketing Industry Survey - Moz Blog

​The 2015 Online Marketing Industry Survey

Posted by Dr-Pete

It's been another wild year in search marketing. Mobilegeddon crushed our Twitter streams, but not our dreams, and Matt Cutts stepped out of the spotlight to make way for an uncertain Google future. Pandas and Penguins continue to torment us, but most days, like anyone else, we were just trying to get the job done and earn a living.

This year, over 3,600 brave souls, each one more intelligent and good-looking than the last, completed our survey. While the last survey was technically "2014", we collected data for it in late 2013, so the 2015 survey reflects about 18 months of industry changes.

A few highlights

Let's dig in. Almost half (49%) of our 2015 respondents involved in search marketing were in-house marketers. In-house teams still tend to be small – 71% of our in-house marketers reported only 1-3 people in their company being involved in search marketing at least quarter-time. These teams do have substantial influence, though, with 86% reporting that they were involved in purchasing decisions.

Agency search marketers reported larger teams and more diverse responsibilities. More than one-third (36%) of agency marketers in our survey reported working with more than 20 clients in the previous year. Agencies covered a wide range of services, with the top 5 being:

More than four-fifths (81%) of agency respondents reported providing both SEO and SEM services for clients. Please note that respondents could select more than one service/tool/etc., so the charts in this post will not add up to 100%.

The vast majority of respondents (85%) reported being directly involved with content marketing, which was on par with 2014. Nearly two-thirds (66%) of agency content marketers reported "Content for SEO purposes" as their top activity, although "Building Content Strategy" came in a solid second at 44% of respondents.

Top tools

Where do we get such wonderful toys? We marketers love our tools, so let's take a look at the Top 10 tools across a range of categories. Please note that this survey was conducted here on Moz, and our audience certainly has a pro-Moz slant.

Up first, here are the Top 10 SEO tools in our survey:

Just like last time, Google Webmaster Tools (now "Search Console") leads the way. Moz Pro and Majestic slipped a little bit, and Firebug fell out of the Top 10. The core players remained fairly stable.

Here are the Top 10 Content tools in our survey:

Even with its uncertain future, Google Alerts continues to be widely used. There are a lot of newcomers to the content tools world, so year-over-year comparisons are tricky. Expect even more players in this market in the coming year.

Following are our respondents' Top 10 analytics tools:

For an industry that complains about Google so much, we sure do seem to love their stuff. Google Analytics dominates, crushing the enterprise players, at least in the mid-market. KISSmetrics gained solid ground (from the #10 spot last time), while home-brewed tools slipped a bit. CrazyEgg and WordPress Stats remain very popular since our last survey.

Finally, here are the Top 10 social tools used by our respondents:

Facebook Insights and Hootsuite retained the top spots from last year, but newcomer Twitter Analytics rocketed into the #3 position. LinkedIn Insights emerged as a strong contender, too. Overall usage of all social tools increased. Tweetdeck held the #6 spot in 2014, with 19% usage, but dropped to #10 this year, even bumping up slightly to 20%.

Of course, digging into social tools naturally begs the question of which social networks are at the top of our lists.

The Top 6 are unchanged since our last survey, and it's clear that the barriers to entry to compete with the big social networks are only getting higher. Instagram doubled its usage (from 11% of respondents last time), but this still wasn't enough to overtake Pinterest. Reddit and Quora saw steady growth, and StumbleUpon slipped out of the Top 10.

Top activities

So, what exactly do we do with these tools and all of our time? Across all online marketers in our survey, the Top 5 activities were:

For in-house marketers, "Site Audits" dropped to the #6 position and "Brand Strategy" jumped up to the #3 spot. Naturally, in-house marketers have more resources to focus on strategy.

For agencies and consultants, "Site Audits" bumped up to #2, and "Managing People" pushed down social media to take the #5 position. Larger agency teams require more traditional people wrangling.

Here's a much more detailed breakdown of how we spend our time in 2015:

In terms of overall demand for services, the Top 5 winners (calculated by % reporting increase - % reporting decrease were):

Demand for CRO is growing at a steady clip, but analytics still leads the way. Both "Content Creation" (#2) and "Content Curation" (#6) showed solid demand increases.

Some categories reported both gains and losses – 30% of respondents reported increased demand for "Link Building", while 20% reported decreased demand. Similarly, 20% reported increased demand for "Link Removal", while almost as many (17%) reported decreased demand. This may be a result of overall demand shifts, or it may represent more specialization by agencies and consultants.

What's in store for 2016?

It's clear that our job as online marketers is becoming more diverse, more challenging, and more strategic. We have to have a command of a wide array of tools and tactics, and that's not going to slow down any time soon. On the bright side, companies are more aware of what we do, and they're more willing to spend the money to have it done. Our evolution has barely begun as an industry, and you can expect more changes and growth in the coming year.

Raw data download

If you'd like to take a look through the raw results from this year's survey (we've removed identifying information like email addresses from all responses), we've got that for you here:

Download the raw results


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Seth's Blog : What is your art?

What is your art?

I define art as having nothing at all to do with painting.

Art is a human act, a generous contribution, something that might not work, and it is intended to change the recipient for the better, often causing a connection to happen.

Five elements that are difficult to find and worth seeking out. Human, generous, risky, change and connection.

You can be perfect or you can make art.

You can keep track of what you get in return, or you can make art.

You can enjoy the status quo, or you can make art. 

The most difficult part might be in choosing whether you want to make art at all, and committing to what it requires of you. 

       

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luni, 27 iulie 2015

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Stench from Chicago so Bad, Fitch Finally Smells It

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 03:32 PM PDT

At long last, the stench from Chicago is so strong that Fitch can finally smell it. Fitch just now downgraded Chicago Board of Education General Obligation bonds to junk status.

Fitch and the S&P were holdouts because there's money to be made by purposely pretending a manure factory is a rose garden.

MarketWatch reports Fitch Downgrades Chicago Board of Ed (IL) ULTGOs to 'BB+'.

Fitch Ratings has downgraded the Chicago Board of Education, IL's (the board) approximately $6.1 billion of unlimited tax general obligation (ULTGO) bonds to 'BB+' from 'BBB-'. The rating has been placed on Negative Watch.

Rating Drivers

  • Continued financial stress
  • Dependency on borrowing
  • Cash flow drain
  • Pension liability weakness
  • Poor labor history
  • Unfavorable debt position
  • Structural imbalances
  • Mounting fixed costs
  • Limited options to address large budgetary gaps
  • Growing gap for fiscal year 2016
  • Liquidity concerns
  • Negative cash balances
  • Swap termination triggers

Fitch can finally smell enough stench from the above rating drivers to label the bonds as junk.

The "J" Word

The downgrade from BBB- to BB+ is a downgrade to a "non-investment" rating, commonly labeled "junk". Curiously, MarketWatch just could not bear the say the "J-Word".

MarketWatch reports "Fitch would downgrade the rating further if there is not clear and meaningful progress over the next several months in reducing the large structural imbalance."

I think we can count on that.

Deep Into Junk

On May 20, I spoke with Sean Egan at the rating agency Egan-Jones how he would rate these bonds. His reply was "Deep Into Junk".

For details, please see CNBC's Santelli and Mish Discuss Municipal Bonds; Egan-Jones on Chicago; S&P Blames Moody's; Message to Bondholders.

Rate Shop Whores

S&P noses are still immune to the stench. On July 2, the S&P cut Chicago Board of Education's GO rating to 'BBB', still investment grade.

And on July 8, the S&P Lowered Chicago GO Bonds one notch to "BBB-Plus", also investment grade.

When the smell hits the collective noses at the S&P remains to be seen, but I suspect quickly. Rate shop whores simply can never be first with downgrades.

For a discussion of how the SEC is to blame for the current environment of Fantsayland bond ratings please see Rate Shopping Whores and Chicago's Bond Rating.

Solutions

Instead of tackling the underlying problems, Chicago Mayor Rahm Emanuel nickels and dimes businesses to death, further makes Chicago an uncompetitive place to do business, and threatens massive property tax hikes. Emanuel also expects $500 million from the state even though the state budget (which Governor Bruce Rauner correctly refuses to sign) is $4 billion in the hole.

For details and recommended solutions, please see Santelli Exchange with Mish: Public Debt, Taxation, Legacy Issues.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Final Second Quarter "GDPNow" Forecast 2.4% vs. Bloomberg Consensus 2.9%

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 01:44 PM PDT

The Atlanta Fed second quarter GDPNow final estimate came in at 2.4%.



The second quarter GDP official "advance" estimate from the BEA is due out Thursday, July 30 along with the annual revision of the National Income and Product Accounts (NIPA).

The Bloomberg Consensus Estimate for second quarter GDP is 2.9%, a half percentage-point higher than the Atlanta Fed model.

I will take the under.

First quarter GDP releases by the BEA have been all over the map. The initial reading was +0.2%, revised to -0.7%, then revised again to -0.2%.

Whatever number comes out Thursday, expect revisions, possibly in both directions. I expect the final first quarter and/or second quarter GDP to be revised lower.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Witch Hunt is On; Foolish Ideas on Stopping the Shanghai Carnage; US Bubble Will Burst Too

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 12:08 PM PDT

Nearly 1,800 stocks, over 60% of issues traded on the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges fell by the daily limit of 10% and were halted according to a Financial Times report.

When contacted by the Financial Times, the China Securities Regulatory Commission refused to answer any questions.

The amusing comment of the day comes from Zhu Ning, deputy dean at Shanghai Advanced Institute of Finance: "If [the government] does nothing then all its previous efforts will have been wasted but if they continue with the rescue efforts then the hole will get bigger and bigger. We hope the regulators will respect the market and the rules of the market."

In reality, previous efforts were wasted the moment they were tried. Price discovery is now lacking, and that is a huge problem in and of itself.

Absurd Cries for More Intervention and Liquidity

On Monday, Zhu Baoliang, director of the economic forecast department of the State Information Centre, a government research agency, told Reuters the stock market crash was having a deep impact on the real economy and that it was "essential for the authorities to cut interest rates and loosen monetary policy further."

Bear in mind that it was excessive liquidity that created China's property bubble followed by the stock market bubble.

Thus, Zhu Baoliang is another charlatan promoting the inane notion that the cure is the same as the disease. In effect, Baoliang wants to give alcohol to alcoholics.

Witch Hunt is On

The witch Hunt is on. That means the ridiculous notion of blaming the shorts is in full swing.

Chinese regulators even launched a website encouraging people to name the shorts, further stating those found guilty will be "dealt with severely".

Loss of Control

ZeroHedge discusses shorts in What Loss of Control Looks Like.

Actually, regulators were never in control in the first place. It only appears that way when things are going well.

Shorts Not the Problem

Shorts are not the problem here. Nor were shorts the problem in 2000 and 2008 in the US. Indeed it was the shorts who understood the true nature of the stock market:

  • Dotcom companies in 2000-2001 with no earnings were absurdly priced.
  • Financial corporations, home builders, etc. were in the same situation in 2008.

"Real Economy" Worries

Chinese officials are worried the crash will hurt the "real economy". That's something they should have worried about before they blew the bubble.

Moreover, the notion that the "real economy" was doing well in the first place is silly. Rather, speculative activities, and unrealized profits on those activities only made it appear the "real economy" was doing better that it really was.

It's too late to do anything now.

The only policy that makes any sense is to stand back and do nothing. Doing anything else just fosters more "moral hazard" speculative behaviors.

Pointing the Finger in the Right Direction

The Fed had a direct role in fostering US speculation in 2000 and 2008, just as the Chinese "regulators" fostered speculation in real estate and stocks in China over the past few years.

US stocks are back in bubble territory and the only reason why that is not perfectly obvious is the crash has not yet started here.

US Bubble Will Burst Too

When the US bubble bursts, we will see more blame the shorts mentality here, just as we see in China now, and also as happened in 2000 and 2008 in the US.

The Fed will never point the finger where it belongs: At themselves.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Chinese Stocks Plunge 8.5%, Biggest Decline Since February 2007

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 01:23 AM PDT

The crash in Chinese stocks continued today following a respite last week.

Shares on the Shanghai index plunged 8.48%, the Biggest One-Day Plunge Since February 2007.
The CSI300 index of the largest listed companies in Shanghai and Shenzhen fell 8.6 percent, to 3,818.73, while the Shanghai Composite Index SSEC lost 8.5 percent, to 3,725.56 points.

The drops were the biggest since Feb. 27, 2007.

It wasn't immediately clear what caused such a sharp tumble in the afternoon session. At midday, the two indexes were down about 2.5 percent.

"The recent rebound had been swift and strong, so there's need for a technical correction," said Yang Hai, strategist at Kaiiyuan Securities.
Immediately Clear

It should be immediately clear stocks are in a bubble, so there is no need to search for a "reason" for the plunge.

If anything, one might wonder why the stocks rose to such absurd valuations in the first place.

$SSEC Shanghai Index



Stock rose from about 2300 in November to 5178 in June. That was an advance of 125% or so in about seven months. Today's decline is shown by the second blue arrow.

Since the plunge in June, China stepped in to directly buy stocks, prohibit short selling, halted trading on half the companies, and prohibited large shareholders from selling any shares for six months.

Expectation of such moral-hazard maneuvers coupled with cheap money is exactly what fuels bubble activity in the first place.

Amusingly, margin buying is still at or near record levels.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com  

Damn Cool Pics

Damn Cool Pics


Rebellious Owl Gets Confronted By Police After Jaywalking

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 05:48 PM PDT

The Boulder County Sheriff's Department had a recent stand off with a renegade owl after they caught him jaywalking. The owl stood his ground for quite a while before making a dangerous escape.
























He-man’s Archenemy Skeletor Learns To Twerk [Video]

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 02:34 PM PDT



Porn Star Builds Darth Vader Replica Out Of Sex Toys

Posted: 27 Jul 2015 01:48 PM PDT

Adult film star Kayla-Jane Danger wasn't afraid to let her nerdy side show during a recent visit to an adult toy store. She rounded up some sex toys then proceeded to show her love of the dark side by putting them all together to make Darth Vader.
























Celebrating 25 Years of the Americans with Disabilities Act

This year we celebrate the 25th anniversary of the passage of an historic piece of legislation, the Americans with Disabilities Act (ADA). For the millions of Americans living with a disability, the ADA provides protection from discrimination and guarantees equal opportunities in order to promote accommodations that can help people live full, productive lives. As someone in long-term recovery from a substance use disorder, I strongly share this ideal.

Just as people with physical disabilities benefit under the ADA, people in recovery from substance use disorders are also protected by this landmark legislation .  Our communities have a lot in common - we both face some of the same discrimination, stigma, and historical restriction of opportunities. Our shared experience brings us together.

With approximately 56.7 million Americans living with a disability and an estimated 21.6 million Americans living with a substance use disorder, we are a significant portion of the US population. 12 Despite our numbers, we still face stigma and discrimination in healthcare, education, housing, and employment. The Office of National Drug Control Policy (ONDCP) is working to dismantle the stigma experienced by individuals with substance use disorders, just as the National Council on Disability (NCD) and many others are working to abolish discrimination and stigma surrounding all disabilities.  If we combine our numbers, our voices, and our collective experience, we have the opportunity to make our voices heard in all walks of life.

As we celebrate the ADA, let us commit to join forces to address the common challenges faced by our communities. Together, we can work on increasing access to treatment for all people and create a higher standard of care and accommodations through cultural competency training. We can make a significant impact in destigmatizing disability, encouraging compassion and tolerance, and advocating for equality for all persons.

We can carry out that work today, as we celebrate the ADA. But we can also continue that work as we celebrate National Alcohol and Drug Addiction Recovery Month. Each September, ONDCP joins with the millions of people in recovery to observe Recovery Month, and I want to ask you to join the celebration. 
This year the theme is "Join the Voices for Recovery: Visible, Vocal, Valuable!"

Together, we can join voices to reduce stigma and spread our shared message of effective treatment and successful recovery for anybody with a substance use disorder or disability.

For more resources and to learn more, please visit these links:

http://www.recoverymonth.gov/
http://www.dol.gov/dol/topic/disability/
https://www.opm.gov/policy-data-oversight/disability-employment/
http://www.facesandvoicesofrecovery.org/
http://www.facingaddiction.org/
http://www.transformingyouthrecovery.org/
http://youngpeopleinrecovery.org/
https://www.ncd.gov

1  2010 Census data, http://www.census.gov/prod/2012pubs/p70-131.pdf
2  2013 National Drug Use and Health Survey, http://www.samhsa.gov/data/sites/default/files/NSDUH-SR200-RecoveryMonth-2014/NSDUH-SR200-RecoveryMonth-2014.htm

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