sâmbătă, 7 noiembrie 2015

Seth's Blog : Variations on stupid



Variations on stupid

We throw the word stupid around a lot, labeling people (perhaps forever). In fact, there are tons of ways to be stupid, and we ought to think about that before we shut someone (including ourselves) down... Stupid is something we do, not the way we are.

Bad analysis is the classic sort of stupid. This is not the stupid of, "if you knew then what you know now," but the simpler question: "Given what was clear at the time, why did you make such a bad decision?"

Willfully ignorant is the stupidity of not seeking out the information that would have been worth knowing before you spoke up, made a decision or pulled the trigger.

Lack of cultural understanding is often mistaken for stupid. This is what happens when we put our foot in our mouth. Often, it seems particularly stupid when we're willfully ignorant about something we should have known.

Inability to read people isn't a form of stupidity, but it can often look like it. Some people are just unable to do this, but mostly it's a lack of effort and empathy that leads us to not see people in a way others think we should.

Distracted is the best excuse for making a stupid call. After all, when the stupidity happens, it's probably because we didn't think the decision was important, and with all the incoming. Okay, it's not a good excuse, but it's a common one.

Self-destructive is a particularly widespread form of stupidity among people who have privilege and opportunity that they're not sure they deserve.

Emotionally overwrought stupidity happens because we're tempted to amplify and maintain the drama going on in our heads, which distracts us from seeing or processing what we see.

Fear, of course, is at the heart of a lot of our bad judgment. 

Unwilling to be right is a form of fear. If you do stupid things, you don't have to take advantage of the change that would have happened if you had been right.

Slow is not stupid, not at all. It's just not going to win you many prizes on a game show.

Short-term selfish behavior is what we see all the time from people who should know better. And yet they come back to this trap again and again, because it's a habit. Day trading, anyone?

Rush to judgment is a particularly challenging variation. Our unwillingness to sit with ambiguity causes us to decide before we should.

Stupidity doesn't have to be incurable.

       

More Recent Articles

[You're getting this note because you subscribed to Seth Godin's blog.]

Don't want to get this email anymore? Click the link below to unsubscribe.



Email subscriptions powered by FeedBlitz, LLC, 365 Boston Post Rd, Suite 123, Sudbury, MA 01776, USA.

vineri, 6 noiembrie 2015

AdSense Insider Quarterly - November 2015

 
Google AdSense | Insider Your Publisher ID: ca-pub-1492172262972996
We've got a brand new look but we're still your same trusted ads partner.
Spotlight
Introducing Contributor: A new source of revenue for your site
Contributor is a new source of revenue for your site, funded directly by site visitors. With Contributor, users pick a monthly contribution level (either $2, $5, or $10) and a portion of those funds are used to pay you - in place of showing ads. The result is that users see fewer ads and you still get paid. Learn more and help us promote Contributor.
Learn more
Updates & Features
Image ads just got easier

Introducing our newest ad format - richer text ads. Richer text ads automatically create image ads from text ads using the brand's logo and colors. Richer text ads will increase advertiser competition for your ads and could increase your earnings.
Crystal clear policy

Our Head of Policy Communications is making our policies clearer for you. Tune into the last of his blog post series aimed at demystifying your policy questions and providing useful tips to stay policy compliant.
Thank you for being a trusted AdSense partner. We'd love to hear your feedback on the AdSense Insider newsletter.

Seth's Blog : Idiosyncratic



Idiosyncratic

So, which is more interesting: A vintage 1964 Porsche or a new Honda Civic?

Which is a better car?

If we think hard about the definition of 'better', it's pretty clear that on almost every measurable performance metric, the Honda is a far better car. More reliable. A better value. Able to drive faster, longer, in more conditions. Better mileage. Safer. And on and on.

So why do people pay more, talk more, gawk more at the other car?

Scarcity isn't the only reason. It turns out that perfection is sort of boring.

Airbnb isn't as 'perfect' as staying at the Hyatt (more variability, more ups and some downs) but it's certainly more interesting...

When a product or service benchmarks quality and can honestly say, "we're reliably boring," it might grow in sales, but it will eventually fade in interest, because the people at the edges, the people who care, are drawn to idiosyncrasy, to the unpredictable, the tweakable, the things that might not work.

       

More Recent Articles

[You're getting this note because you subscribed to Seth Godin's blog.]

Don't want to get this email anymore? Click the link below to unsubscribe.



Email subscriptions powered by FeedBlitz, LLC, 365 Boston Post Rd, Suite 123, Sudbury, MA 01776, USA.

joi, 5 noiembrie 2015

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Merkel Reaffirms "Refugees Welcome" Policy Over Her Own Party's Objections

Posted: 05 Nov 2015 08:32 PM PST

German chancellor Angela Merkel seems bound and determined to go out in flames due to her open arms welcoming of refugees. Earlier today Merkel Rejected German Plan for Refugee Transit Zones.
Chancellor Merkel has rejected controversial plans for special transit zones for processing refugees on Germany's frontiers, defeating members of her own party who had called for tougher controls on asylum seekers.

After weeks of tense negotiations within the ruling coalition, in which rightwing MPs even raised the possibility of building barriers on Germany's borders, Ms Merkel's government has opted instead for more modest proposals for locating the new facilities inside Germany.

The deal is a victory for Ms Merkel's SPD social democratic coalition partners who opposed transit zones, condemning them as "uncontrollable detention zones".

Ms Merkel emerges from the tussle with her "refugees welcome" policy broadly intact and her grip on the CDU-CSU alliance maintained, despite the strains between its left and right wings.

The campaign for a tougher response to Europe's refugee crisis was led by Horst Seehofer, the CSU leader and Bavarian premier, who has hit out at Austria in recent weeks over a "lack of co-ordination" on the border with Germany.

Refugees arriving in Germany will be filtered at the border under the new agreement. Those with strong claims to asylum, notably Syrians fleeing civil war, will be permitted, as now, to travel to a wide range of reception centres across the country.

The agreement came as the latest figures showed 758,000 refugees had been registered in Germany so far this year, fuelling renewed concern for the country's capacity to cope.

With 181,000 arriving last month alone, the government's 800,000 estimate for 2015 looks increasingly out-of-date, but ministers are refusing to raise the figure for fear of sending a signal to would-be migrants than Germany is opening its doors wider.
"Refugees Welcome"

Bear in mind the "transit zone" proposal was doomed to failure because it was far too weak to accomplish much good. But at least it was better that hanging out a "Refugees Welcome" sign complete with vouchers for free food and shelter.

And note the ridiculous hope of not raising refugee estimates for fear that telling the truth would "send a signal".

Refugees got all the "signal" they need from Merkel's inept policy.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock

Seth's Blog : Should we pander?

Should we pander?

In a race to go faster, cheaper and wider, it's tempting to strip away elegance, ornamentation or subtlety. If you want to reach more people, aim for average.

The market, given a choice, often picks something that's short-term, shoddy, inane, obvious, cheap, a quick thrill. Given the choice, the market almost never votes for the building, the monument or the civic development it ends up being so proud of a generation later. Think about it: the best way to write an instant bestseller is to aim low.

The race to popular belies the fact that our beloved classics were yesterday's elitist/obscure follies.

Bob Dylan, Star Trek and the Twilight Zone vs. The Monkees, The Beverly Hillbillies and Gilligan's Island.

Zaha Hadid and Maya Lin vs. Robert Moses. 

A Confederacy of Dunces vs. Valley of the Dolls.

No one watches Ed Sullivan reruns (except for one, the exception that proves that rule).

It's our choice. The ones who create, the ones who instigate, the ones who respond to what's been built. It's up to us to raise the bar—pandering is a waste of what's possible.

Sometimes it seems like winner-take-all capitalism is pushing us ever harder to play it dumb. That makes it even more important that we resist.

       

More Recent Articles

[You're getting this note because you subscribed to Seth Godin's blog.]

Don't want to get this email anymore? Click the link below to unsubscribe.



Email subscriptions powered by FeedBlitz, LLC, 365 Boston Post Rd, Suite 123, Sudbury, MA 01776, USA.