miercuri, 8 august 2012
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
- Tax Hike Indigestion in France
- French Central Bank Admits the Obvious: France Back in Recession
- Interview With Roger Bootle, Who Won the Wolfson Prize for Developing a Practical Plan to Dissolve the Eurozone
Tax Hike Indigestion in France Posted: 08 Aug 2012 02:43 PM PDT French president Francois Hollande wants to set the top tax rate in France at 75%, for those who make over €1,000,000 a year. As a result "Les Riches" Have Tax Indigestion and are looking to move outside France. "We're getting a lot of calls from high earners who are asking whether they should get out of France," said Mr. Grandil, a partner at Altexis, which specializes in tax matters for corporations and the wealthy. "Even young, dynamic people pulling in 200,000 euros are wondering whether to remain in a country where making money is not considered a good thing."Essential Math The New York Times estimates that fewer than 30,000 make more than 1 million euros. However, Sophie Pedder, writing for The Economist came up with a much lower number in an NPR interview. "Probably no more than about 3,000 French households will be affected by this. But that's an absolutely tiny fraction of the whole. So, once you start looking at numbers like that, you realize how this is very much a symbolic gesture," said Pedder. That's a big difference. But whatever the number is, the government will collect far less than it thinks. The current top tax rate is 41%. It's a big jump to 75%. And the more someone makes over €1,000,000 a year, the bigger the incentive to move. Tax Rate Comparison According to Pedder the UK lowered its top tax rate to 45% from 50%. Sweden has a top rate of 57%, and Belgium at 55% so "France sticks out really like a sore thumb on this one." I strongly suggest this move by France will backfire. When it does, Hollande will probably seek to raise taxes on the next rung lower to make up for it. Government Spending Over Half of French GDP In Quick Facts on France, Heritage says "Government spending has increased to a level equivalent to 55 percent of total domestic output. The deficit remains more than 6 percent of GDP, pushing public debt up to more than 80 percent of GDP." In a recent panel discussion in Spain, Paul Krugman said he would start to worry when government spending is over 50% of GDP. France is there now, and the US headed there unless we rein in the deficit, which Krugman does not want to do. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
French Central Bank Admits the Obvious: France Back in Recession Posted: 08 Aug 2012 08:40 AM PDT For those who who view matters on a practical basis, France has been in recession the entire year. For those who need to see two quarters of negative growth first, France slides back in recession. France is headed back into recession for the second time in just over three years, the country's central bank warned on Wednesday.Definition of Recession Bear in mind that a recession, at least is the US, does not require two consecutive quarters of negative GDP. Rather, the NBER, the official arbiter of recessions, looks at a whole gamut of factors. The NBER does not define a recession in terms of two consecutive quarters of decline in real GDP. Rather, a recession is a significant decline in economic activity spread across the economy, lasting more than a few months, normally visible in real GDP, real income, employment, industrial production, and wholesale-retail sales. Recessions frequently start (as did the last one), without even a single quarter of negative GDP. Two quarters of negative GDP is a sufficient but not necessary condition so the statement in the article "Economists define a recession as two consecutive quarters of negative growth" is simply wrong. Europe in Recession Recall that back in January IMF head Christine Lagarde said she thought it was possible for the eurozone to avoid a recession. On January 9th, my take was Dimwit Comment of the Day: Christine Lagarde, IMF Director says "Europe May Avoid a Recession This Year". Even those waiting for two quarters of negative growth cannot hide the obvious: Italy, Spain, Greece, Portugal, and France are all in recession. Germany is headed there. The recession in Europe is about to get much worse because of preposterous tax hikes nearly everywhere, coupled with inane policy moves in France, notably Hollande About to Wreck France With Economically Insane Proposal: "Make Layoffs So Expensive For Companies That It's Not Worth It" Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Posted: 08 Aug 2012 12:34 AM PDT RT's Laura Smith interviews economist Roger Bootle, who won the £250,000 Wolfson Prize for developing a practical plan to dissolve the Eurozone. This was a very good interview, well worth the 12 minutes of time it takes to play it. A transcript is available in the RT post Economic growth in eurozone impossible without break-up To download the winning entry, please see Wolfson Economics Prize. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
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Damn Cool Pics
Damn Cool Pics |
- Backyard PVC Roller Coaster With 12ft Drop
- 19 Amazing Food Tips
- 25 Strange Google Search Suggestions
- Snoozebox: The Shipping Container Hotel
- Things That Can Affect The Skin [Infographic]
- Curiosity's Seven Minutes of Terror
- Original vs. Remake Comparison
Backyard PVC Roller Coaster With 12ft Drop Posted: 08 Aug 2012 06:47 PM PDT |
Posted: 08 Aug 2012 04:23 PM PDT Did you know that Doritos can be used as kindling? Or that you can put a wooden spoon on a pot to keep it from boiling over? Buzzfeed is here with nineteen great food-related tips that will make life a heck of a lot easier from now on. Cut hot dogs in spirals to improve the wiener-eating experience. |
25 Strange Google Search Suggestions Posted: 08 Aug 2012 02:38 PM PDT |
Snoozebox: The Shipping Container Hotel Posted: 08 Aug 2012 02:34 PM PDT Snoozebox is a portable hotel consisting of shipping container living units that can be easily transported, stacked, and arranged into hotels of 40 to 400 plus rooms. Each container is outfitted with two to four rooms, and each room has its own bathroom, Wi-Fi and TV. Snoozebox is based in the UK, but they will set up a hotel anywhere in the world. Upon arriving at a location, the Snoozebox team can get a hotel up and running in about 48 hours. A 320 room Snoozebox hotel is currently in place in Essex, UK to house staff for the London Olympics. |
Things That Can Affect The Skin [Infographic] Posted: 08 Aug 2012 12:54 PM PDT Apart from any inherited factors that determine what type of skin you have, there are many factors that affect the way your skin looks and feels. In the following infographic, published by HealthySkinSolutions, learn what these factors are and how they affect the skin is important if your goal is to keep your skin looking and feeling its best for as long as possible. Click on Image to Enlarge. |
Curiosity's Seven Minutes of Terror Posted: 07 Aug 2012 09:00 PM PDT This photo, taken by the Mars Reconnaissance Orbiter satellite, captures the Curiosity as it's parachuting to the surface. I've never seen anything like this before. Here's an explanation of what exactly we're looking at here: Via Buzzfeed |
Original vs. Remake Comparison Posted: 07 Aug 2012 05:15 PM PDT It's interesting to compare how films used to look like and what actors played in them compared to remakes. Plus, I'm sure you didn't know some of the movies appearing in this list were actually remakes and not originals! Total Recall 21 Jump Street Footloose The Parent Trap Willy Wonka & the Chocolate Factory King Kong Freaky Friday Hairspray Straw Dogs The Pink Panther Scarface The Wizard of Oz The Thomas Crown Affair The Longest Yard Buffy the Vampire Slayer Arthur Planet of the Apes House of Wax Psycho Father of the Bride The Stepford Wives Ocean's 11 The Italian Job True Grit Via: usmagazine.com |
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