Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
- Fed Chairman Update: Odds Shift Heavily Towards Tweedle-Dum vs. Tweedle-Dee
- Egypt Ponders Banning the Brotherhood to "Protect the State"; Court Frees Ousted President Hosni Mubarak from Prison
- Government Spending as Percentage of GDP; Federal Deficit as Percentage of Revenue
- Celebrating Life; Greetings From Prague
Fed Chairman Update: Odds Shift Heavily Towards Tweedle-Dum vs. Tweedle-Dee Posted: 19 Aug 2013 10:25 PM PDT In Tweedle Dum vs. Tweedle Dee; Does Janet Yellen Have What It Takes? I made the case it did not matter much whether Larry Summers of Janet Yellen was the next Fed chairperson. Here is a recap: Tweedle Dum vs. Tweedle DeeThe "Dums" Have It Last week I thought it was something on the order of 50-50 (Tweedle-Dee heads we lose vs. Tweedle-Dum tails we lose) since both potential nominees are losers. I now think it's more likely a case of Tweedle-Dum tails we lose, with Larry Summers playing the role of Tweedle-Dum. I changed my 50-50 lose-lose stance to a 65-35 lose-lose stance after reading Obama Focuses on Risk of New Bubble Undermining Broad Recovery. President Barack Obama, who took office amid the collapse of the last financial bubble, wants to make sure his economic recovery doesn't generate the next one.Why the Odds Changed Yellen has all but guaranteed she will keep the money flowing faster than Bernanke, and coupled with the above warning from Obama about asset bubbles, the odds shift heavily towards Tweedle-Dum as Obama's choice. Don't Fret, It Does Not Matter Some will be delighted by this, others severely disappointed. But I am here to ease your mind. It does not matter. They will be equally horrendous. The timing may change slightly , but the outcome won't. "We have to turn the page on the bubble-and-bust mentality that created this mess" said Obama. Mish says "It's too late" the Fed has already re-blown bubbles in both stocks and bonds. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
Posted: 19 Aug 2013 12:54 PM PDT Court Frees Ousted President Hosni Mubarak Violence has escalated in Egypt and a couple of new complications are in the works. Please consider Egypt Defense Chief Says Army Will Fight to Protect State. A Cairo court ordered ousted President Hosni Mubarak freed from prison, a move that could complicate Egypt's increasingly violent political transition, while militants in Sinai killed 26 policemen.Powder Keg Setup
Prepare for the civil war to escalate. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
Government Spending as Percentage of GDP; Federal Deficit as Percentage of Revenue Posted: 19 Aug 2013 10:32 AM PDT Here are a few charts from reader Tim Wallace on spending, the deficit, and GDP. Federal Spending as a Percentage of GDP Spending and GDP in U.S. Dollars Deficit Compared to Revenue Wallace writes ... Hello MishMike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
Celebrating Life; Greetings From Prague Posted: 19 Aug 2013 08:44 AM PDT Greetings from Prague, the capital and largest city of the Czech Republic. Actually, I am now back in the states, having returned from a fantastic European trip with Liz, on a delayed honeymoon following our June wedding. Here are some images from Prague that I would like to share. Click on any image for larger, sharper view. Prague Old Town Historic Square Prague Old Town Historic Square Charles Bridge and Pražský Hrad (Prague Castle) Fireworks Over Charles Bridge Stained Glass Windows in St. Vitus Cathedral Liz in front of St. Vitus Cathedral Nightime Scene from Charles Bridge Liz and Mish Dining at Hotel U Zlatého Stromu On a 12-day European trip, we also traveled to Munich and Rothenburg ob der Tauber in Germany. I will post some images from Germany shortly. Celebrating Life I met Liz through Selective Search as noted in my June post Celebrating Life: I Got Married on Friday. Please click on the previous link for more on our story, how we met, and images from some trips we took in June shortly before we were married. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
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