luni, 29 aprilie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Increasing Likelihood of Unstable German Coalition Following Next Elections

Posted: 29 Apr 2013 10:08 AM PDT

Following my April 23 political prediction Merkel Loses Chancellorship in September as Support for AfD Soars, I received many emails from readers suggesting I was engaged in wishful thinking, that German polls are unreliable, that I was following the wrong polls, etc.

I am sticking with what I said. I simply do not see how any sort of stable coalition can form either with or without Merkel.

The Green party has now ruled out a coalition with Merkel, SPD wants Merkel gone, and the math for a Merkel-led coalition is simply not there.

The Financial Times reports Greens and SPD close ranks in battle against Angela Merkel.
Germany's main centre-left opposition parties closed ranks over the weekend in their uphill battle against Angela Merkel, with the Greens signalling a decisive shift to the left.

During a three-day party congress in Berlin five months before national elections, the Greens positioned themselves to the left of the Social Democrats (SPD) with calls for higher income tax and a property levy on the rich.

The party pledged to raise the top rate of income tax from 45 to 49 per cent, and to levy a 1.5 per cent tax on property worth more than €1m, aiming to raise €100bn over 10 years.

Making the first appearance by a Social Democrat leader at a Green congress, Sigmar Gabriel, the party's national chairman, delivered a passionate plea to the Greens to stop flirting with Ms Merkel's conservatives. He said only an SPD-Green coalition could take on the financial markets, which he blamed for the recent economic turmoil in Europe.

"There are only two parties in Germany that can tame the financial markets, and that's you and us," he told delegates, to loud cheers.

Jürgen Trittin, the Green's parliamentary leader, declared: "The SPD is the only coalition partner that will help us make Germany greener."
Coalitions Mathematically Going Nowhere

So where is the SPD-Green Coalition Going? Better yet, where is any coalition going?

Please consider the latest Wahl-O-Meter polls.



Last week I noted AfD has risen from 5% of the vote to 6.6%. Now support is a 6.9%. "Sonst" stands for other.

If the Greens will not form a coalition with CDU/CSU, and SPD puts the ouster of Merkel as the price of a coalition, then what is in store for Merkel?

A SPD/Green coalition cannot come close to a majority. A CDU/CSU coalition with AfD could do just that if Afd rises above 10% of the vote.

I am sticking with my prediction AfD gets 12% of the vote as previous non-voters come out of the woodwork, spotting a chance to make something happen.

For a closer look at German political parties and their stated platforms, please see Understanding German Politics written by reader Bernd (not Bernd Lucke, the economist and AfD elected speaker).

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com 

SEO Blog

SEO Blog


Why Should You Localize Your Mobile App?

Posted: 29 Apr 2013 11:27 AM PDT

Why is Localization Crucial for the Success of Your Mobile App? The Internet has done a lot more than just connecting people; it also paved the way for businesses to compete on a global scale. Goods and services offered by someone in one country can be purchased by a customer...
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10 Tools To Create Infographics The Easy Way

Posted: 29 Apr 2013 07:28 AM PDT

Visual communication is among the most effective methods of explaining complex relationships and concepts, and can be an amazing way of explaining your products or services and create valuable website content. Diagrams and whiteboarding can be used in communicating new concepts and features with your team. Here is a look...
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Want A Smooth Ecommerce Website? Avoid These Boo-Boos

Posted: 29 Apr 2013 05:23 AM PDT

So, you have decided to sell you products online. Great! But remember just creating a beautiful website with rich content and organising pretty catalogs with high resolution photographs and creative illustrations is not enough. There are several other things including easy downloading of your pages, browser compatibility, etc that need...
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Competitor Research In An Inbound Marketing World

Competitor Research In An Inbound Marketing World


Competitor Research In An Inbound Marketing World

Posted: 28 Apr 2013 07:34 PM PDT

Posted by dohertyjf

We all know that online marketing is changing. When I started in online marketing a few years ago, all the talk was still about links and directories and ways to get more exact match anchor text. Some SEOs were doing some pretty nefarious things and profiting from it, but most of that came crashing down starting in February 2011 (with the first Panda algorithm) and then over the past couple of years with Panda, Penguin, and the EMD update all rolling out and affecting websites the world over.

Rand talked last week about the changing SEO metrics, and today I want to talk about the changing landscape of competitor analysis as more and more people make the shift from just SEO to inbound marketing. Since inbound marketing includes a lot more than SEO, if we want to be effective inbound/online marketing consultants, we need to not only have proficiency or knowledge of the different roles of an inbound marketer, but when we get into actionable recommendations for our clients or our company we need to know how to analyze what our competitors are doing across the whole marketing space, both to identify deficiencies in their strategy that you can exploit as well as to see what they are doing that you should also adopt for your company.

So today I am going to talk about a few of the key areas of inbound marketing where you should investigate because they are likely to bring the largest returns (I'm talking about the Pareto Principle, which I was reintroduced to by Dan Shure in this post on his site about applying it to SEO).

By the way, if you're interested in more on this topic, I'm going to focus on it pretty heavily in my upcoming Searchlove presentation in Boston. I'd love to see you there! Ok, let's dive in.

Email marketing

If you've been in marketing for a while, you should know that email can have an incredible return on investment for the small amount of setup that it takes. In fact it's the 2nd best ROI for many businesses, according to eConsultancy:

What if I told you that 39.16% of our conversions on the Distilled website (micro and macro conversions, including DistilledU, conferences, and lead gen forms) were touched by an email during the conversion process? What if I told you that this is more than either organic or social? Here's the proof:

If you're not doing email marketing, you probably should be. But what works best in your industry? Often we're paralyzed by the multiplicity of options presented to us by any choice, and research has recently shown that limiting the number of choices can lead to better and less risky decisions than when we're faced with a seemingly infinite number. By being smart about our analysis, we can reduce the number of choices that we have to make around email, like:

  • What time do I send my emails?
  • How often should I send them?
  • Should I invest in good design?
  • What kind of call to action should I include to start with?

Stalk your competitor's emails

If you're interested in investing in email marketing, I'd first suggest that you subscribe to your competitors' email lists so that you receive emails whenever they send them to their entire list. You won't be able to learn how they're segmenting their lists, but you'll find their frequency, their subject lines that get you to click, and how they are calling you to action. Stephen Pavlovich talked about this at Searchlove New York in 2011, where he suggested that you save your competitor's emails to your Evernote, with a specific tag, so that you can go back and get ideas for your own emails. While this is an amazing tip that we should all do, it's step 1 and we should all go further. I like to take the emails sent by my competitors and analyze them in an Excel spreadsheet, taking into account:

  • Name
  • Email date
  • Time arrived
  • Custom design?
  • Call to action
  • Subject line
  • Did I click?
  • Was the email triggered (i.e. was it influenced by something I did recently on their site)?

My analysis looks like this. Feel free to use something similar:

I recently found a chart on MarketingCharts.com (one of my favorite sites) that talked about fallacies surrounding email marketing according to Experian. Their way of setting up their analysis may help you as well:

Throw Into Wordle

Now we need to find what common themes our competitors are using when they send out their emails. The best way to visualize this (I'm a visual person) is by using one of my favorite tools, Wordle. When I put in the words that my competitors have been using for their subject lines, I get this:

Protip 1: To get the best results, use the biggest dataset you can find.

Protip 2: Use this knowledge to inform the content you should be doing outside of blogging :-)

Content production

Content is a huge part of inbound marketing. You know this, I know this, everyone who reads Moz knows this. So why do I say it? Because once you go beyond "content is king" knowledge, you can actually take this belief that use it to create content that your readers want. When it comes to competitor analysis, you can either choose to do this manually or in a more automated (but possibly less accurate) fashion.

Manually

Using the information gleaned from the Wordle above, I can then go run advanced queries in Google to find how much my competitors are talking about the different content types listed. For example, if I run a [site:seogadget.com "webinar"] search, I get 14 results:

That's not very many (and no, I'm not calling out SEOgadget here. They do absolutely phenomenal work!), so if I'm starting a marketing agency, or have one that I want to build, this may be an area that I should investigate. At Distilled we run conferences because a) we had someone internally that wanted to do them, b) we thought we could run a darn good conference, and c) because we saw a need for the type of conference we could put on.

More automated

If you want to automate this a bit, you can at least find the number of times that a competitor has mentioned the type of content on their site in the URL. I chose to use the URL instead of just on the site because people will usually put the important words in the URL. We're not looking for all mentions of a content type like "webinar" - instead we want webinars that only they have put on and published on their site.

So what I have done is built out a spreadsheet for you, a rough tool, using IMPORTXML to scrape the number of results that a site has for the content type. If you're at all good with scraping in Gdocs, you can make this sheet customized to fit your needs and content types I'm sure!

Go here to open and make a copy of the spreadsheet.

Social amplification

You do follow your competitors on Twitter, or at least have them in a list, right? Oh you don't. Go do that. I'll wait.

*Whistles tune*

Following your competitors on social media will allow you to see their strategies for social promotion (if any). While this is nothing groundbreaking, it's also not something that many people are doing already. You can see how often they are tweeting their own content, if they are tweeting the content of others, and it can also inform you about the kind of content that they are creating.

Since you now know what kind of content they are creating, you can figure out their social promotion strategy outside of their own accounts. Who are their tweeterati (aka, who shares their posts)? Better than that, who are the influential people that share their content? Once you find this, you can then decide whether you will be able to get those same people to promote your content, and how to do that, or if you need to find new people to connect with solely (using a tool like FollowerWonk).

Lucky for you, Topsy allows you to find who the influential people are that share a specific URL. After you enter a URL with "Tweets" selected on Topsy, you can then select "Show Influential Only", like below:

This is all well and good, but want to do it faster? I built a spreadsheet for you where you can take a URL and it builds the Topsy URL for you, then scrapes the Influential people. Once again, throw this into a Wordle (or Tagxedo, which is more stable) and see who the influencers are!

Go here to make a copy of the spreadsheet.


I hope this post gives you ideas for what is possible for the new competitor analysis within inbound marketing. I'd love to hear in the comments what other ways you are using to do competitor analysis these days.


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