miercuri, 9 ianuarie 2013

Seth's Blog : Podcasts, live events and more...

 

Podcasts, live events and more...

Lots of hoopla and good news to share:

Hope to see you in Boston or London later this month.

For those that were out over the break, here are the three books now available for sale (thanks for the great feedback and terrific support). Here's the audio edition.

Thanks to the podcasters who interviewed me: 

Marketing Over Coffee 

Adrian Swinscoe 

Work Talk Show 

Social Media Examiner 

Duct Tape Marketing

The Game Whisperer 

Eventual Millionaire 

Blogcast FM

And a post from David Meerman Scott. Anne McCrossan. And with TED videos.

The feedback from the worldwide Icarus Session was so good we've scheduled another one. And here's the bookmark project. 

Thanks.



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How To Blog Successfully About Anything

How To Blog Successfully About Anything


How To Blog Successfully About Anything

Posted: 08 Jan 2013 06:43 PM PST

Posted by TannerC

In order to create a successful blog, you have to be passionately curious about the topic you're covering.

This notion was the central point of my Mozinar on "Blogging Like You Mean It" a few weeks ago, when I shared my personal story of blogging success. Here's a concise recap of the story, for those who missed it: I was once tasked with creating a blog on a topic I was completely uninterested in: television. At that time, there wasn't a TV in my home and I had absolutely no interest in television.

 

 

In order to run the blog, I knew I had to find a way to approach the topic that would be interesting enough to make blogging feel less like work and more like fun. (That's the real trick to successful blogging, by the way: writing about things you are completely and naturally passionate about.) For this project, I was able to come up with a question that fully peaked my interest in the topic: "How has television impacted the history of our culture, and how will it continue to do so in the future?"

 

With that one question, I was able to get interested in the topic, and eventually the blog started ranking in the top search results for some extremely competitive terms related to TV. Within a matter of weeks, we were writing articles that captivated people from around the globe and were even featured prominently on sites like The Guardian, AdWeek, New York Magazine, BuzzFeed, About.com, and Design Work Life. Today, the blog has been taken over by a remarkable, dedicated team at CableTV.com.

 

After I shared this short story in my Mozinar, the number one question people had was: "Can you give an example of exactly how to take an uninteresting topic and make it interesting?"

 

For this post, I'm going to do one better. We're going to quickly go over three examples of how to turn a not-so-exciting topic (whether it's for your day job or whatever else) utilizing websites submitted by readers on the official SEOmoz Facebook page. Rather than turn this into a basic list of top-fives or elaborate examples for each of these three websites, you're going to get a bit more of the actual insights every blogger should be following, regardless of context.

 

It all starts with questions

First off, any uninteresting topic can be made interesting by asking questions.

 

Questions work remarkably well for two reasons: primarily, they give us clear purpose and direction in our efforts. When we're asking questions and actively pursuing the answers, our work suddenly becomes an opportunity to learn and grow, not just to get links or fill up pages on the web.

 

Seconldy, we, as bloggers, should focus on asking (and pursuing the answers of) questions because there is bound to be an audience for the content created around those questions; people who are looking for the same answers.

 

 

These two facts alone make blogging become not only easier and more rewarding for us as writers, but also create an opportunity for us to create real, meaningful content that will easily create an audience that can rely on us.

 

In an article for The Boston Globe titled "Are we asking the right questions?", Leon NeyFakh evaluates the work of Dan Rothstein, co-founder of Right Question Institute in Cambridge. Leon asserts that, "Wielded with purpose and care, a question can become a sophisticated and potent tool to expand minds, inspire new ideas, and give us surprising power at moments when we might not believe we have any."

 

With the power of questions in mind, we can start evaluating nearly any topic and turning out ideas for successful blog posts. Reader Simon Abramson suggested that we first look at the official blog of Wild Earth, which, as far as I can gather, is a company that takes people into nature to help them build self-reliance, confidence, and ecological resilience. This is certainly a topic I know very little about and am currently not very interested in, personally.

 

The first step for any blogger (when covering any topic) should be to simply ask a lot of questions. If you're not sure where to start with the questions, focus on the 5 Ws: who, what, where, when, and why (and occasionally, how)?

 

 

Who started the whole "nature can help you as a person" industry? What are the psychological affects of being in nature for any period of time? Where are the best places to go if you want to experience nature at its best? When are the best times in your life to go? Why should a busy office worker consider such an option? How does nature build confidence, from a biological perspective?

 

Once you've asked as many questions as you can, try to find one or two that really sparks your interest. Personally, I'd love to look at the psychological affects of nature. With that one question alone a waterfall of other questions comes to mind, and every one of those questions is an opportunity for a blog post.

 

As a blogger, you'll want to focus on a primary question, then let that question fuel other questions that will become your blog content. The more questions you ask around a central question, the more ideas you'll have and the easier your job will become.

 

Use available resources for natural research

So, questions become the central focus of our efforts and allow us to pursue things that not only interest us, but also that of our ideal audience. Now what? Next, do what comes naturally when you have a question: pursue the answers. If you don't have any questions off the top of your head, pursue other questions the same way you would pursue answers.

 

This stage of blogging is what 60% of the work consists of: research. Plan on spending the majority of your blogging work schedule doing research, particularly reading. Keep in mind that your gift to readers is doing the research so they don't have to. Everything you write after this point on should be a concise, easy-to-consume version of whatever it is you spend all of your time researching.

 

Where to start researching answers and additional questions we may not be asking yet? I like to utilize sites like Quora, Topsy, Google Alerts, and Google Blog Search (setup as an RSS feed).

 

If our blog was about, say, a local housecleaning service – something like Marvelous Maids, a housecleaning company that serves St. Charles County in Missouri, as submitted by Moz community member Kathy Stamm Gage – and our primary question to turn that topic into something interesting was along the lines of, "What's the science behind common cleaning chemicals?", then our first task would be to explore the "housecleaning" category on Quora, which – believe it or not - is an actual thing.

 

 

Immediately after visiting the Quora page, we should have a few ideas for additional questions we can then turn into blog posts. Now, sometimes you'll have topic that simply doesn't have much information or activity on Quora, in that event it's best to get clever (by asking "instead of exploring the "housecleaning" page of Quora, what about "germs?") or move onto a resource that will certainly have more information (like a library).

 

In this case, digging around the "housecleaning" section of Quora yields some really interesting results that already spark some blog post ideas. Questions such as, "What are some housecleaning hacks?" teach us that instant orange drink mix will clean the inside of a dishwasher just as easily as expensive cleaners, due to the citric acid. That can definitely be turned into a blog post.

 

Moving on from Quora, we should begin exploring other resources. Our best power for blogging is all about quantity right now, especially if your blog is fairly small or just starting out. Focus on having a vast quantity of questions ready to go and be researched. Attempt to gather a very large quantity of resources you can utilize when exploring those questions as well.

 

As another example, if we stick to the topic of housecleaning, we can take to Topsy and search for "housecleaning chemicals" to get a pretty good list of additional questions/topics worth researching. Including: "How to clean your home using herbs rather than scary chemicals" and "A list of scary chemical cleaners to avoid." Curious about what either of those might entail? If you are, your readers will be too.

 

 

The best questions, of course, come from you. You can easily open up doors to topics and things that do interest you about your original question/theme by being naturally curious. For me, the questions come easy. "What chemicals do we really need to be worried about in common cleaning supplies?" or, "How sustainable are home cleaning supplies, really?" or, "Are things we hear about household cleaning chemicals fact or fiction?" or even, "If you were to add-up all of the various chemicals used in all of the supplies you use to clean your home, what would that list entail exactly?" All questions I personally wouldn't mind researching in order to create compelling (and, most importantly: helpful!) content.

 

These questions all provide instant blog posts that are pretty interesting, easy to research, related to a not-so-interesting industry, all discovered because we asked some simple questions and checked-out a few websites. Voila, blogging success is within our grasp!

 

A vision of what we've covered

We've touched on a few concepts that seem really basic, and yet we continue to see blogs that don't follow any of this pattern. The results speak for themselves, though: by pursuing things that are naturally interesting to us and finding answers for them, we're uncovering what a lot of people out there want to know as well.

 

The problem that our readers have is that they don't have all of the time or ability to research like we can.

 

 

That's also one of your greatest gifts to readers: putting in the time to learn about something so they don't have to. When you then reconstruct what you discover into an easy-to-digest blog post, or graphic, or video, or Tweet, you're establishing yourself as not only someone on their way to expert status, but you're also providing a true, can't-be-faked value.

 

Even if your topic isn't naturally interesting to you (like nature programs or housecleaning), there are ways to make it interesting through natural discovery.

 

Our last example of how this all works comes from Douglas Hodgson, who asked me to evaluate the business of eye care for Frontier Eye Care. Eye care is a naturally an interesting topic for me though, so I think this one will be a little easier than the last two. It's important and interesting to me because I was born with poor eyesight and because eyesight plays such a critical role in what I (and I'm sure millions and millions of others) do every single day.

 

So, how do you take a topic like eye care and make it worth researching? What value could we possibly provide to people who are interested in the eye care industry?

 

It's not so hard to come up with solutions when we make the topic really interesting by asking questions.

 

How has technology affected eyesight and what does the future of technology hold for it? Is there a certain science to picking out the perfect eyewear?

 

Post ideas flourish with just these few questions. What about a graphic illustrating the perfect angles and measurements to make (at home?) before picking a pair of sunglasses? We could even evaluate the history of eyeglasses used by famous figures. Maybe a post on how glasses or rigid gas permeable lenses are created and why 3D home printing may change that (will it though?), or what about an article explaining the countless factors that impact how our eyes develop as we grow (genetics, facial structure, encounters with bright lights, and so on)?

 

The ideas can flow, some will certainly be winning topics, others will just be interesting for a handful of people. What we need to do as bloggers is remember that our goal is to focus on one primary approach or question, then find related questions either we have or other people have, and put in the work to do the research and come up with solutions.

 

 

This is really basic stuff, I hope, but it's quite easy to forget or overlook. There are no worthwhile tricks to successful blogging outside of hard work, in my opinion. This approach not only allows you to learn a lot about your topic on your own, but it also sets you out as a clear, reliable resource in your industry. For any business or industry, that reputation can mean serious success.

 

If you have additional questions or insights into this type of blogging strategy, I'd love to hear your thoughts either in the comments or on Twitter.


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Photo: An Oval Office Chat

The White House Your Daily Snapshot for
Wednesday, January 9, 2013
 

Photo: An Oval Office Chat

President Barack Obama meets with senior advisors in the Oval Office, Jan. 8, 2013. Attending, from left, are: Kathryn Ruemmler, Counsel to the President; Mike Froman, Deputy National Security Advisor for International Economics; Chief of Staff Jack Lew; Senior Advisor Valerie Jarrett; Counselor to the President Pete Rouse; Nancy-Ann DeParle, Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy; Senior Advisor David Plouffe; and Director of Communications Dan Pfeiffer. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

President Barack Obama meets with senior advisors in the Oval Office, Jan. 8, 2013. Attending, from left, are: Kathryn Ruemmler, Counsel to the President; Mike Froman, Deputy National Security Advisor for International Economics; Chief of Staff Jack Lew; Senior Advisor Valerie Jarrett; Counselor to the President Pete Rouse; Nancy-Ann DeParle, Deputy Chief of Staff for Policy; Senior Advisor David Plouffe; and Director of Communications Dan Pfeiffer. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)

In Case You Missed It

Here are some of the top stories from the White House blog:

Happy Birthday, Stephen Hawking
On Professor Hawking’s 71st birthday, we shared a never-before-seen video from his visit to the White House.   

President Obama Nominates John Brennan as CIA Director
President Obama announced John Brennan as his nominee for the next head of the Central Intelligence Agency.

President Obama Wants Chuck Hagel to Run the Pentagon
The President asked Sen. Chuck Hagel to serve as Secretary of Defense. 

Today's Schedule

All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST).

10:00 AM: The President and The Vice President receive the Presidential Daily Briefing

11:00 AM: The Vice President meets with representatives of victims’ groups and gun safety organizations

12:30 PM: The President and The Vice President meet for lunch

1:45 PM: Press Briefing by Press Secretary Jay Carney WhiteHouse.gov/live

4:45 PM: The President hosts cast and crew members of the television show 1600 Penn for a screening at the White House

WhiteHouse.gov/live Indicates that the event will be live-streamed on WhiteHouse.gov/Live

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Seth's Blog : Clean bathrooms

 

Clean bathrooms

The facilities at DisneyWorld are clean. It's not a profit center, of course. They don't make them clean because they're going to charge you to use them. They make them clean because if they didn't, you'd have a reason not to come.

It turns out that just about everything we do involves cleaning the bathrooms. Creating an environment where care and trust are expressed. If you take a lot of time to ask, "how will this pay off," you're probably asking the wrong question. When you are trusted because you care, it's quite likely the revenue will take care of itself.



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marți, 8 ianuarie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Reader Questions on the 1 Trillion Coin Proposal: Where's the Money Come From? Will It Cause Inflation?

Posted: 08 Jan 2013 03:56 PM PST

Several people asked me to comment on the $1 trillion coin proposal endorsed by New York Times columnist and Noble Prize winner Paul Krugman.

I did so yesterday in a satirical post Krugman Supports the $1 Trillion Coin; Why Stop There? I Support the $1 Quadrillion Coin.

In response to the above article, I have received several emails wondering where the money comes from. For example reader Tom writes ...
Hello Mish,

Thank you for your hard work and honest voice in producing this blog, I follow it daily. There is something that I do not understand in the platinum coin proposal. Where does the treasury come up with the trillion to purchase the platinum? Is this money printed from thin air? If the treasury had a spare trillion to purchase platinum they would not need to give it to the fed, simply use the trillion to finance more worthless deficit spending, a blatantly bad idea given the very low return we are now experiencing on stimulus.

Thanks,
Tom
Fictitious Accounting Entry

Hello Tom.

The proposal is nothing but a fictitious accounting entry. There is no trillion dollars. Certainly the treasury would not buy a trillion dollars worth of platinum. Indeed, that would be impossible, at least at today's pricing.

Rather, the proposal was to take a coin (size is irrelevant), and stamp "one trillion dollars" on it.

Questions of legality have arisen as noted in my article.

It's important to note that Krugman (correctly) never proposed spending the coin. It would take an act of Congress to spend it.

Thus, the proposal was to value the coin at one trillion dollars simply as an accounting entity. In other words, the Treasury would take a coin worth essentially nothing, that could not be spent, and value it on the books as one trillion dollars.

Accounting Fraud

My personal opinion is that it would be fraud to do place a one trillion value on a coin that could not be spent (in this case, because the money was already spent. In higher denominations, the money would not be spent until Congress authorized such spending).

Regardless, actual future spending would be precisely what Congress authorized to be spent, no more no less.

No Inflationary Effect

There would be zero inflation as a result of minting such a coin. Indeed, it would not cause inflation if the Treasury minted a 1,000 quadrillion coin. This is an important point.

Debt Ceiling Nonsense

The entire exercise is to avoid another nonsensical discussion about whether or not Congress will bump up the debt ceiling. I say "nonsensical" because we all know that Congress will indeed cave in and bump up the debt ceiling.

On that score, Krugman actually has a point. However, (ignoring legalities and accounting fraud) there certainly is a huge need for discussion in Congress about the deficit and debt levels.

That is why I am against the coin idea even if it is legal (which I doubt).

However, in case I am legally wrong, I repeat what I said earlier (the treasury should mint a one quadrillion coin), simply to highlight the absurd nature of the idea.

With that, I repeat my proposal for this picture on the front of the coin.



The back of the coin should be equally obvious.
Paul Krugman Prays for America.



Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Social Security Trends: Beneficiaries, Total Costs, Number of Workers, Ratio of Workers to Beneficiaries

Posted: 08 Jan 2013 12:57 PM PST

Inquiring minds are digging into social security trends including the numbers of beneficiaries, average costs, total costs, number of workers, and the ratio workers to beneficiaries.

First, let's take a look at the CNS News report Social Security Ran $47.8 Billion Deficit in Fiscal Year 2012.
The Social Security program ran a $47.8 billion deficit in fiscal 2012 as the program brought in $725.429 billion in cash and paid $773.247 for benefits and overhead expenses, according to official data published by Social Security Administration.

The Social Security Administration also released new data revealing that the number of workers collecting disability benefits hit a record 8,827,795 in December--up from 8,805,353 in November.
With that backdrop, let's look at the actual data to see the underlying trends.

Data Notes



Social Security Beneficiaries December 2012

OASI Trust Fund
Retired Workers & DependentsRetired Worker36,719,288
Spouse2,280,332
Child612,087
Subtotal39,611,707
 
SurvivorsChild1,907,097
Aged Widow(er)3,937,958
Young Widow(er)153,628
Disabled Widow(er)255,472
Parent1,427
Subtotal6,255,582
 
Total OASI45,867,289
DI Trust Fund
Disabled Worker8,827,795
Spouse162,881
Child1,900,220
 
Total DI10,890,896
Total OSASI + DI56,758,158


Social Security Beneficiaries, Costs, Employment

Year Beneficiaries Average Monthly BenefitTotal Annual CostEmploymentE/B Ratio
Dec-6722,979$73.92 $20,383,201,682 66,9002.9114
Dec-6823,886$85.24 $24,432,839,002 69,2452.8989
Dec-6924,709$86.47 $25,638,687,737 71,2402.8832
Dec-7025,701$101.35 $31,257,463,769 70,7902.7544
Dec-7126,817$113.22 $36,435,282,006 72,1082.6888
Dec-7228,066$138.70 $46,712,482,840 75,2702.6819
Dec-7329,514$143.99 $50,996,092,215 78,0352.6440
Dec-7430,576$163.02 $59,813,483,661 77,6572.5398
Dec-7531,862$179.29 $68,549,741,469 78,0172.4486
Dec-7632,835$194.95 $76,815,361,682 80,4482.4500
Dec-7733,923$211.16 $85,958,416,484 84,4082.4882
Dec-7834,453$229.86 $95,032,473,435 88,6742.5738
Dec-7935,013$258.37 $108,555,575,502 90,6692.5896
Dec-8035,526$300.75 $128,213,644,374 90,9362.5597
Dec-8135,930$340.84 $146,956,770,724 90,8842.5295
Dec-8235,778$372.10 $159,755,010,234 88,7562.4808
Dec-8336,034$393.15 $170,001,091,973 92,2102.5590
Dec-8436,439$412.21 $180,244,135,062 96,0872.6370
Dec-8537,027$429.35 $190,768,953,436 98,5872.6626
Dec-8637,683$438.76 $198,407,802,022 100,4842.6665
Dec-8738,171$461.35 $211,323,314,397 103,6342.7150
Dec-8838,613$484.01 $224,268,374,172 106,8712.7678
Dec-8939,141$511.89 $240,431,129,294 108,8092.7799
Dec-9039,825$544.52 $260,224,095,454 109,1202.7400
Dec-9140,587$568.55 $276,908,006,552 108,2622.6674
Dec-9241,504$588.90 $293,296,976,201 109,4162.6363
Dec-9342,243$607.48 $307,943,241,597 112,2042.6561
Dec-9442,882$628.14 $323,229,663,108 116,0552.7064
Dec-9543,386$648.77 $337,772,228,816 118,2082.7246
Dec-9643,736$672.81 $353,113,695,411 121,0022.7666
Dec-9743,971$692.82 $365,565,297,977 124,3572.8282
Dec-9844,246$707.39 $375,585,941,872 127,3592.8785
Dec-9944,595$730.53 $390,940,040,819 130,5332.9270
Dec-0045,415$767.35 $418,187,686,581 132,4812.9171
Dec-0145,877$795.69 $438,050,881,510 130,7202.8493
Dec-0246,444$815.05 $454,253,081,458 130,1752.8028
Dec-0347,038$840.62 $474,497,794,254 130,2592.7692
Dec-0447,688$871.80 $498,889,778,321 132,3162.7746
Dec-0548,434$915.71 $532,222,768,675 134,8142.7834
Dec-0649,123$955.53 $563,260,007,133 136,8822.7865
Dec-0749,865$987.03 $590,618,750,824 137,9822.7671
Dec-0850,898$1,054.38 $643,995,009,294 134,3792.6401
Dec-0952,523$1,064.41 $670,869,765,261 129,3192.4621
Dec-1054,032$1,074.33 $696,579,633,240 130,3462.4124
Dec-1155,404$1,122.89 $746,557,638,566 132,1862.3858
Dec-1256,758$1,152.79 $785,163,217,034 134,0212.3613


Notes for Above Table
Employment and beneficiary numbers are in thousands.
I computed the total annual cost as monthly benefit * 12 * number of beneficiaries. That method will tend to overstate annual costs slightly vs. totaling every month individually. Thus, the total cost may vary slightly from other published figures.

Average Monthly Social Security Benefit



Total Annual Cost of Social Security 1967-Present



Social Security Beneficiaries vs. Total Non-Farm Employment



Ratio of Workers to Social Security Beneficiaries



Social Security Benefits Analysis

  • The ratio of workers to beneficiaries peaked in 1999 at 2.927 to 1.
  • The ratio of workers to beneficiaries was 2.361 to 1 at the end of 2012.
  • The ratio of workers to beneficiaries is falling fast and will continue to fall fast for a decade as the baby boomer population ages.
  • The average payout and the number of payouts are both rising fast
  • Total Social Security payouts (a multiplication of two rising numbers) are on an unsustainable exponential growth path.

The system is currently running a deficit. Trends say that deficit is going to worsen with each passing year unless benefits are cut and/or taxes are hiked.

Eurozone Unemployment Hits Record High 11.8%; Spain 26.6%; Greece 26%; Youth Unemployment top 56% in Greece and Spain

Posted: 08 Jan 2013 10:47 AM PST

Inquiring minds are investigating miserable unemployment stats in Euroope as reported this morning by Eurostast.
The euro area (EA17) seasonally-adjusted unemployment rate was 11.8% in November 2012, up from 11.7% in October. The EU27 unemployment rate was 10.7% in November 2012, stable compared with October. In both zones, rates have risen markedly compared with November 2011, when they were 10.6% and 10.0% respectively. These figures are published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union.

Eurostat estimates that 26.061 million men and women in the EU27, of whom 18.820 million were in the euro area, were unemployed in November 2012. Compared with October 2012, the number of persons unemployed increased by 154 000 in the EU27 and by 113 000 in the euro area. Compared with November 2011, unemployment rose by 2.012 million in the EU27 and by 2.015 million in the euro area.
Compared with a year ago, the unemployment rate increased in eighteen Member States, fell in seven and remained stable in Denmark and Hungary.

The largest decreases were observed in Estonia (12.1% to 9.5% between October 2011 and October 2012), Latvia (15.7% to 14.1% between the third quarters of 2011 and 2012), and Lithuania (13.9% to 12.5%).

The highest increases were registered in Greece (18.9% to 26.0% between September 2011 and September 2012), Cyprus (9.5% to 14.0%), Spain (23.0% to 26.6%) and Portugal (14.1% to 16.3%).

In November 2012, the youth unemployment rate was 23.7% in the EU27 and 24.4% in the euro area, compared with 22.2% and 21.6% respectively in November 2011. In November 2012 the lowest rates were observed in Germany (8.1%), Austria (9.0%) and the Netherlands (9.7%), and the highest in Greece (57.6% in September 2012) and Spain (56.5%).
EU Unemployment by Country

Country Unemployment RateEurozone 17
EU 27 10.7 
Eurozone 1711.8Y
Austria - AT4.5Y
Luxembourg - LU5.1Y
Germany - DE5.4Y
Netherlands - NL5.6Y
Romania - RO6.7 
Malta - MT6.9Y
Belgium - BE7.4Y
Czech Republic - CZ7.4 
United Kingdom - UK7.8 
Denmark - DK7.9 
Finland - FI7.9Y
Sweden - SE8.1 
Estonia - EE9.5Y
Slovenia - SI9.6Y
France - FR10.5Y
Poland - PL10.6 
Hungary - HU10.9 
Italy - IT11.1Y
Bulgaria - BG12.4 
Lithuania - LT12.5 
Cyprus - CY14.0Y
Latvia - LV14.1 
Slovokia - SK14.5Y
Ireland - IE14.6Y
Portugal - PT16.3Y
Greece - EL26.0Y
Spain - ES26.6Y


Things are bad in aggregate and getting worse every month. Bad does not even begin to describe the misery in Spain and Greece.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com