luni, 22 aprilie 2013

Measuring and Increasing the ROI of Your Content Resources

Measuring and Increasing the ROI of Your Content Resources


Measuring and Increasing the ROI of Your Content Resources

Posted: 21 Apr 2013 07:26 PM PDT

Posted by Mike Pantoliano

Let me cut right to the chase. Do you want to know the value of your content marketing efforts? Want this report?

the resulting assisted conversion report

Read on and I'll tell ya!

Calculating the real ROI

With so much emphasis often put on the traffic generation potential of a good content marketing strategy, I want to focus this post on measuring and increasing the return on the (sometimes sneakily large) investment. Some common goals you'll hear surrounding a content marketing strategy include generating traffic for generic terms, increasing social shares, and developing the brand's authority (measured by increases in branded traffic, or some other indicator). In the right circumstances, all of these are nice metrics for the relevant stakeholders in the organization, but they're all just proxies for measuring the growth of a business. They're measurements of the means, not the end.

The impetus for a lot of what I'll be talking about in this post comes from Josh Braaten's post on the Google Analytics Blog a few months ago titled "How to Prove the Value of Content Marketing with Multi-Channel Funnels". Josh talks practically about how to measure the business impact of traffic that first experiences your site via a page that isn't directly selling a product or service to a consumer. Think: the "How to get into fly-fishing" article written by the outdoors retailer that sells fly-fishing poles, or even the "How to measure the effectiveness of content marketing" article written by the guy working for a company that's doing a two day kick-ass web marketing conference in Boston on May 20th & 21st :). Indeed, these content pages aren't selling a product or service, but they are selling the brand, the "purchase" made by the consumer is everlasting trust; and it has a really low conversion rate.

The necessary analysis for this gets difficult because it is so rare for a user to make the jump from discovery/informational stage to transactional stage in one sitting. Hence the need for multi-channel analysis: we need to take a conversion, look back at all of the interactions that have taken place leading up to that conversion, and assign some amount of credit to those channels that often show up toward the beginning of the conversion path. Social networks and the content that usually ranks for generic keywords are most often found in these early interactions. They are inherently 'openers' or 'exposers'.

So, now that we've covered the theory, let's look at measuring that ROI.

Expanding upon Josh Braaten's multi-content funnels

Everyone interested in what I've covered above should absolutely read Josh's post. In it, Josh walks you through how to create a report within Google Analytics' Multi-Channel Funnels that classifies users by the page type for which they first interacted (based upon landing page).

creating a channel grouping in GA's MCFs

Custom channel creation is a lot like creating an advanced segment in GA

A long conversion path in MCF

The top conversions path report - seen here displaying a pretty convoluted conversion path for one particular conversion.

I'm going to offer a slightly different direction, but they both accomplish the goal of getting value out of our visit data. Instead of comparing content sections against each other, let's instead compare it against our other channels like direct, referral, organic, and paid.

Let's do a step-by-step walkthrough

Head on down to the multi-channel funnels reports.

location for multi-channel funnels in google analytics

Make a copy of the basic channel grouping template.

make a copy of the basic channel grouping

Include traffic based on landing page URL. Hopefully you've got your resource center, blog, or content home on a neatly identifiable path in the URL. If you don't, you may have to go the route of declaring page-level custom variables.

create your channel grouping

Drag it to the top. The order at which you put these channels is important because GA will go down the line until a match is found, then stop. If we leave our Resource Center channel at the bottom, the channels above will take a ton of visitors first because our rules aren't mutually exclusive.

channel ordering is important

Though not completely related to this topic, I'd also suggest separating your organic channel into branded, unbranded, and (not provided).

break out your branded, not provided, and unbranded organic search

Because of that importance of ordering, if you put (not provided) first and branded second, the final organic group will necessarily consist of unbranded traffic.

use regex to create your branded channel segment

You can create this segment with a neatly crafted regex of your brand name and other branded terms.

Finally, let GA calculate things out, and voila!

the resulting assisted conversion report

What can we learn from the above?

Well, it should be pretty clear that under the traditional model of last click analysis, our resource center is under-valued. This much is obvious by the disparity in last click conversions and conversion value compared with assisted conversions and conversion value. Not only that, but the "Assisted/Last Click or Direct Conversions" ratio (6.62 in the screenshot) tells us that this content is acting in an assist role more than any other channel we have (the higher the number, the more likely it's an 'opener', not a 'closer' - those trend toward zero).

When we look at assisted conversion numbers, we CANNOT say that our resource center content is now directly responsible for $26k in revenue; that would not be quite fair using this model. But our content did have its hand in a lot more conversions than we may have originally assumed.

Now, as for this channel's relative contribution to the bottom line compared with other channels, well, yes, it's still a lot smaller. But consider that this particular website's resource center is actually quite small, especially compared with the size of the rest of the site. Knowing how many pages are in a resource center makes it pretty easy to apply simple math to determine what each new page is roughly worth. Or you could choose to do deeper analysis into specific pages or sections within. Again, I point to Josh Braaten's post for more on that.

But at the end of the day if you know that each new page added to the resource center has an assist in $X worth of conversions per year, justifying expansion becomes a lot easier.

A bonus tip for content marketers

So that was measuring the ROI of a content marketing strategy. But I've actually got a tip for increasing ROI that I'd like to share.

Our content strategies are targeted at the generic keywords that more often than not are queries that align with the user's information-seeking intent. If we had our way, the path would go like this:

Kitten mittens purchasing decision

A user searches "my cat's too noisy" and lands on your site's blog post "10 ways to deal with a noisy cat."

The user reads and is very happy with your content. In that content, you suggest "kitten mittens," a product that you sell.

The seed is planted in the user's mind, and upon deciding that they're ready to buy, the user either searches for your brand name, that post again, or the "kitten mittens" product, all of which lead back to your site.

always sunny's kitten mittons

Nightmare scenario time: what if they searched for "kitten mittens" and you don't rank for that term? Well, your content has done all the hard work, but your high-ranking competitor swoops in and gets the purchase. This must be corrected. But how?

Remarketing

It doesn't matter what remarketing tool you use (this would be super easy with GA's remarketing tool - here I wrote a post on it!), put the user above in a "noisy cat owner" list, and target them with "kitten mitten" ads around the web.

creating the kitten mittes segment

Thanks for reading, I hoped you learned something!

Let me know what you think in the comments or on Twitter, @MikeCP. Don't forget that Distilled is running our search marketing conference, SearchLove, in Boston on May 20th and 21st!


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Watch: Science at the White House

The White House Your Daily Snapshot for
Monday, April 22, 2013
 

Watch: Science at the White House

Today, President Obama will host the 3rd Annual White House Science Fair and celebrate the student winners of a broad range of science, technology, engineering and math (STEM) competitions from across the country.

This year's Science Fair will showcase student projects like an economically-viable algae biofuel, a robot that paints with watercolor, a computer program that improves cancer detection and many more.

Watch the event at 11:30 a.m. ET on WhiteHouse.gov/ScienceFair.

Watch Live: 2013 White House Science Fair

In Case You Missed It

Here are some of the top stories from the White House blog:

Weekly Address: America Stands with the City of Boston
President Obama speaks to the American people about the act of terror at the Boston Marathon that wounded dozens and killed three innocent people on Monday, and says that through it all, Boston’s spirit remains undaunted and Americans have proven they refuse to be terrorized.

President Obama: "We've Seen the Character of Our Country Once More"
President Obama commends the response from the state and local police and federal investigators after law enforcement makes an arrest in the Boston Marathon bombings.

West Wing Week: 04/19/13 or "Selflessly. Compassionately. Unafraid."
Last week, the President responded to the terror attack in Boston, met with AmeriCorps volunteers, invited the Wounded Warrior riders to the White House, and for the first time, asked a citizen to deliver the weekly address.

Today's Schedule

All times are Eastern Daylight Time (EDT).

10:45 AM: The President and the Vice President receive the Presidential Daily Briefing

12:00 PM: Press Briefing by Press Secretary Jay Carney WhiteHouse.gov/live

1:35 PM: The President views science fair projects WhiteHouse.gov/live

2:25 PM: The President delivers remarks at the White House Science Fair WhiteHouse.gov/live

2:50 PM: The President observes a moment of silence in honor of the victims of the Boston Marathon bombings

WhiteHouse.gov/live Indicates that the event will be live-streamed on WhiteHouse.gov/Live

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Seth's Blog : Is this the best you can do?

 

Is this the best you can do?

If the answer to this is "yes," and you think you're done, you might be settling too soon.

The right question is, "Is this the best your team can do?" And if you need a better team, it's never been easier to get one. Especially if you're a soloist, a freelancer or a small company--if your upside is limited by the people you're working with, get new people.

Any time you do work yourself, you've chosen not to use the services of someone who's probably better at it than you are. There might be really good reasons for that choice, but inertia isn't one of them.


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duminică, 21 aprilie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Graph Shows Who Is And Who Isn't Paying Their Fair Share of Taxes

Posted: 21 Apr 2013 10:39 PM PDT

In response to 55% of Americans Say Their Income Taxes are Fair; 46.6% Paid No Income Tax in 2011 one seriously misguided soul responded "your hate for low income people disturbing".

The above response was humorous because the math shows a large number of people are unhappy even though thy pay no income taxes at all. Nowhere did I state or imply any hatred of anyone.

On a far more credible note, I received an email from Ironman at the Political Calculations blog who posted this chart on "Who Really Isn't Paying Their Fair Share of Income Taxes?"



click on chart for sharper image

I asked Ironman to explain the chart. Here is his reply.
We used U.S. Census data to model the total aggregate income earned by individual Americans for each $100 increment of income in 2009 to create the "blue" income distribution bell curve using regression analysis, which we originally did as part of another project, where we modeled the total money income distribution of Americans.

We then took the Tax Policy Center's data for the percentage of tax units without income tax liability for given levels of income and modeled that as well - and in doing that, we also get the percentage of tax units that do have income tax liability over the same income range.

We then multiplied the percentage of tax units with income tax liability by the total amount of aggregate income earned within a given amount of income to determine the portion of that aggregate U.S. income that is subject to income taxes.  That result is represented as the "red"-shaded bell curve on the chart.

The unshaded region under the "blue" total aggregate income curve is then the portion of income earned by Americans that is not subject to income taxes. 

What If?

In a followup email, I asked Ironman what the result would have been, if a 100% tax on all income above $1 million been in place. To that question he replied ...

"By our calculation, the U.S. government would have taken in $800 billion more in tax revenue if it had taxed people making more than $1 million at 100 percent, according to IRS data from 2008, the year Ryan used as his base point."

Thus, even taxing people making over $1 million at a rate of 100% would not have balanced the budget. Of course, if you tax anything at 100%, you are not going to get anywhere near the amount theoretically expected.

Some might point out interest income, but others would point out disability and food stamps. Specifically, I would like to point out Unwilling to Work; 25% in Hale County AL Collect Disability, 14 Million Nationwide; A Simple Solution.

Simply put, if you pay people enough to do nothing at all, you are going to encourage a lot of fraud by people willing to do nothing.

Regardless of what you think about top income earners, the system is setup to encourage fraud and avoidance at both ends of the scale.

Who suffers? Those in the middle.

Perhaps it's time for a consumption tax, excluding food, medicine, and essential clothes. Perhaps some combination of flat income tax in conjunction with a consumption tax excluding food, medicine, and essential clothes.

My only fear in suggesting such a thing is government nearly always screws things up by implementing things in a matter that will make matters worse.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Netherlands on Edge of Economic Crisis; Unemployment Surges as Home Prices Collapse

Posted: 21 Apr 2013 12:05 PM PDT

Netherlands is underwater in more ways than one. Der Spiegel reports Underwater: The Netherlands Falls Prey to Economic Crisis
More than a decade ago, the Dutch central bank recognized the dangers of [the housing] euphoria, but its warnings went unheeded. Only last year did the new government, under conservative-liberal Prime Minister Mark Rutte, amend the generous tax loopholes, which gradually began to expire in January. But now it's almost too late. No nation in the euro zone is as deeply in debt as the Netherlands, where banks have a total of about €650 billion in mortgage loans on their books.

Consumer debt amounts to about 250 percent of available income. By comparison, in 2011 even the Spaniards only reached a debt ratio of 125 percent.

The Netherlands is still one of the most competitive countries in the European Union, but now that the real estate bubble has burst, it threatens to take down the entire economy with it. Unemployment is on the rise, consumption is down and growth has come to a standstill.

Even €46 billion in austerity measures are apparently not enough to remain within the EU debt limit. Although [Dutch Finance Minister and Euro Group Chief] Jeroen Dijsselbloem has announced another €4.3 billion in cuts in public service and healthcare, they will only take effect in 2014.

"Sticking the knife in even more deeply" would be "very, very unreasonable," Social Democrat Dijsselbloem told German daily Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung, in an attempt to justify the delay.
Dijsselbloem's Hypocrisy

Note how Dijsselbloem is ready and willing to stick austerity measures of any kind on every other eurozone economy but his own.

Unemployment Surges as Home Prices Collapse

The Australia Macro Business blog picks up the story in Dutch unemployment surges as house prices fall.
Earlier this month, I posted on how the Netherlands was facing a potential economic crisis on the back a severe housing correction, whereby house prices fell by -8% in the year to December 2012 to be down -18% since prices peaked in 2008, pulling many Dutch households into negative equity (see next chart).



The release of labour force data overnight suggested the Netherlands' economy has deteriorated further, with Dutch unemployment increasing to 8.1%, a level not seen since the 1980s, with job losses most accute in the building industry (see next chart).



The jump in unemployment follows the contraction in the Dutch economy, whereby GDP has contracted by -1.2% over the past year (see next chart).



The sharp deterioration in the Dutch economy is placing pressure on the central government to abandon austerity measures, which it has pursued for the best part of two years and is partly responsible for the contraction in demand.
Best is Yet to Come

As noted, the hypocrites want austerity for everyone but themselves. Regardless, the Netherlands economy is headed for a much sharper contraction as is France.

Simply put, the entire eurozone is in deep trouble even as the nannycrats insist the worst is behind. Ironically, the best is indeed ahead, and the best is a breakup of the eurozone.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Minister of Spain's Housing Board Cites "Mortgage Scam, Illegal Evictions" Calls for Mortgage Debt Reduction

Posted: 21 Apr 2013 10:20 AM PDT

The Minister of Public Works and Housing of the Government of Andalusia, Elena Cortes Jimenez, advocates a Reduction in Mortgage Debt for All Spanish Families.

Here is a Mish-modified synopsis.

Elena Cortes Jimenez, Minister of Public Works, claims eviction proceedings lead to further drying of mortgage lending, making it harder for young people to access home ownership.

Jimenez proposes a "haircut" on private debt, in particular, mortgages.

The minister stressed that "Spain has carried out 440,000 illegal evictions due to a mortgage scam, and it is absolutely necessary to have truth, justice and reparation for these families who have been in that situation."

Jimenez once again defends the need for a restructuring of private debt. In his view, Congress of Deputies, and specifically the PP, have the "golden opportunity" to approve the initiatives on evictions and retroactive payments.

End Mish-Translated Synopsis

Good Grief!

Exactly who is supposed to pay for this "golden opportunity" to forgive debt?

Oh wait, I forgot. Spain's insolvent banks are supposed to provide the loan forgiveness.  Or was it the generous nannycrats in Brussels?

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Seth's Blog : Committing to a cycle of honest communication

 

Committing to a cycle of honest communication

Is there any better way to start a business partnership? Any partnership?

If you're unable to have substantial conversations with your boss and co-workers, go get some professional help. It's not personal, it's business. 

The inability to say the thing that will make everything better (because of fear of shifting the status quo) is a project killer.


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sâmbătă, 20 aprilie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Italy Stalemate Broken, Napolitano, 87, Elected for Another 7-Year Term

Posted: 20 Apr 2013 06:45 PM PDT

In a move that cannot possibly solve anything Italian Lawmakers, Re-elect President to Second Term.
In a bid to quiet growing political chaos, Italian lawmakers on Saturday elected President Giorgio Napolitano to a second term, turning to him as the last best hope to break a profound deadlock.

The election of Mr. Napolitano, supported by both the main center-left and center-right parties, suggested that the two sides would now be more willing to negotiate the formation of a government. But it also infuriated the anti-establishment Five Star Movement of Beppe Grillo, which won a quarter of the recent parliamentary vote.

While he cannot prevent a grand coalition, one including both major parties, from forming, Mr. Grillo could complicate matters by stirring renewed anger against the old political establishment, which is in upheaval.

After Mr. Grillo called on his supporters to take to the streets, hundreds of protesters gathered in front of the Parliament building, many holding placards in support of Five Star's candidate, Stefano Rodotà , a legal expert and former leader of the center-left, which nonetheless did not back him. Mr.dà is "not part of the old guard," said one protester, Anna Maria Vatrella, an unemployed social worker. "All the left knows how to do is to hold on to the power they have. They have no interest in change. They have no idea what it means to live as normal people do."
Pier Luigi Bersani Announces Resignation

In case you missed it late Friday Italy centre-left leader Pier Luigi Bersani announced resignation
Mr Bersani's move came after backers in his party voted down two candidates that he had proposed for the role of president. Late on Friday night, he accused fellow party members of betraying him, adding that there was a "tendency in some towards permanent destruction."

The centre-left's implosion is the latest reminder of how it is made up of a string of parties, from former communists to Christian democrats who have never gelled, failing to hold a government together when elected in 2006 and never mounting a truly convincing opposition to Silvio Berlusconi.

While the centre-left has stumbled since the election, former prime minister Silvio Berlusconi's centre-right coalition has taken a lead in the polls. Mr Bersani's exit could allow his photogenic young rival in the Democratic Party, Matteo Renzi - who also appeals to right wing voters -- to take charge.

Yesterday, Giorgio Napolitano, the 87-year-old incumbent president, agreed to accept a mandate for a second term as a president in order to end the impasse over who should do the job. He had previously sought to avoid standing again because of his advanced age.
As I said, Bersani's days were numbered. Little did I know they would be this numbered. Now what?

Napolitano could not form a grand coalition before so why can he do so now? The only thing that has changed is Bersani is gone and the supporters of Grillo are madder than ever.

Given that both Berlusconi and Grillo have a chance at winning the next election outright, both have a reason to want new elections. Berlusconi has another objective, however, and that is coming up with any deal that avoids prosecution.

With that in mind, an unstable "grand coalition" of sorts may be temporarily possibile. If so, expect the coalition to dissolve as soon as Berlusconi gets the immunity he seeks.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Understanding German Politics

Posted: 20 Apr 2013 10:04 AM PDT

Inquiring minds in the US note the upcoming German election and may be wondering about the platforms of the major political parties. Reader Bernd from Germany explains.

Die Linke (The Left): Die Linke is made up of the former SED/PDS (The East German Communist Ruling Party), some former West German Communist and Socialist Parties and a "rebel group" of the SPD. They all have merged and are now called "Die Linke". By and large they have a communist/socialist platform, albeit not Stalinist. Their main requests are: dissolve NATO and replace it with a new organization to include Russia in it, end all wars, control or nationalize all relevant banks and some crucial industries, increase support for the poor, raise taxes for the rich (above income of 60k Euros gradually go to 75%), introduce a stiff wealth and inheritance  tax. They are pro Euro and want the introduction of Eurobonds immediately. To alleviate the economic crisis in Europe they advocate some serious deficit spending for social and work programs. They have voted against ESM; EFSF and Cyprus deal in Parliament.

SPD (Social Democrats): SPD is the grand old Social Democratic Party, with a wonderful and long tradition. SPD originated from the worker's movement. Its first party program is from 1869. It the only party that tried to stop Hitler's power grab by opposing the emergency laws in 1933. Many went to concentration camps for opposing Hitler. In post-World War II Germany SPD provided three Chancellors, Willy Brandt, Helmut Schmidt and Gerhard Schröder. All three Chancellors were major reformers in Germany for one or the other topic.  SPD lost its original power base in the wake of Schröder's reforms in the early 2000s. SPD is a staunch pro Euro party. They also want Eurobonds immediately, as well as a common fiscal policy, a bank union and a quick unification of Europe.

Die Grünen (The Green Party): Die Grünen started as a mix of 1968 communists/socialists and anti-nuclear energy activists in West Germany. The second part is made up of some left over former East German anti SED "rebels" who helped to bring down East Germany.  Today this is the party for so the so-called "politically correct". In Germany we call them the Latte Macchiato Moms/Dads. The typical party member is a well-paid Government official or teacher with a work week of 36 hours. They believe firmly in manmade climate change and want to tax and spend their way to eliminate the CO-2 footprint. No amount of money is too much for preventing climate change. They are staunch pro Euro advocates similar to the SPD.

Freie Demokratische Partei FDP (Free Democratic Party): originated from a mix of former liberal parties during the Weimar Republic with an originally clear idea on liberalism. The FDP once strongly supported human rights, civil liberties, and international openness, but has shifted from the center to the center-right over time. Today's main goal is to get at least 5% of the popular vote, otherwise they will have no representation in parliament. They are a coalition partner to Merkel's CDU party but most of them would be hard pressed to state why. FDP may not pass the 5% threshold in the next election. FDP states that they wish Europe to return to the "No-Bail out Clause" and the Maastricht Agreement, however, in Parliament they voted for a massive breach of both agreements, following Merkel's position.

CDU (Christian Democratic Union): CDU is a center-right, typically Catholic, typically pragmatic popular party. It is the party of most Chancellors now including Angela Merkel. I call it the "yes Chancellor Club". Merkel calls herself pragmatic, some German people call her "Mutti". Mutti in German means a cunning, but one minded pragmatist, who will reprimand/control her husband for coming home late from a bar. CDU is pro-euro but against Eurobonds. Under Merkel CDU has lost its profile and has made some erratic shifts in position, which is a major turnoff for many supporters. Notably Merkel's agreement to the breach of all EU-Agreements and her shift to a so called "green energy" has alienated many voters.

CSU (Christian Social Union): CSU is the Bavarian sister to the CDU. Whereas CDU operates in 15 States, CSU is in Bavaria only, where it traditionally gets 50 plus percent of popular votes, thus catapulting it above 5% on federal level. Voter participation in Bavaria is traditionally above 75%. CSU follows Merkel, but tensions are rising. Many CSU members are far from convinced that Merkel is right. Most of legal obstacles against Merkel's Euro policies in front of the Federal Constitution Court come from members of the CSU. Due to its high degree of organization and its firm foundation in the center of Bavarian populace, CSU is rather influential in German Federal Politics.

Alternative für Deutschland) AfD (Alternative for Germany): AfD is a liberal-conservative party supported by many German economists. More than two-thirds of its initial supporters hold doctorates. Its main position is a return of the EU to the original meaning of the Maastricht agreement, alternatively a return to national currencies. The second major topic is the strengthening of German Democracy, advocating a Swiss – like model. In April 2013, the party held its first convention in Berlin, which was attended by about 1500 supporters. The convention elected the party leadership and adopted the party platform. The three elected speakers are economist Bernd Lucke, the entrepreneur Frauke Petry, and the publicist Konrad Adam. The key demand of AfD is to provide a mechanism for countries to exit the Eurozone. In old Germany, "liberal" was in regards to Civil Rights, not free-flowing money or other policies those in the US may associate with the word. Liberal for AfD is a bit different than for the current FDP

Mish Note:

Reader Bernd is not (not Bernd Lucke, the economist and AfD elected speaker). I will have election predictions next week from Reader Bernd.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com