rubodjrmx: "Bobobo - Capitulo 70 - Castellano - Español" and more videos

Mihai, check out the latest videos from your channel subscriptions for Jan 9, 2014.  Play all » Bobobo - Capitulo 70 - Castellano - Español by rubodjrmx Assassin's Creed 4 Black Flag: Freedom Cry PC Gameplay Walkthrough ... + 4  videos   by gamer4ever Drowsy Sleepy People - Best of Just for Laughs Gags + 3  videos   by Just For Laughs Gags African Divas - South Africa - Zahara - Phendula + 2  videos   by Seka Moke Someone Special Valentines Day Candy Bar featuring Stampin Up by stampwithtami.com - Crafting and Card Making from Tami White С НОВЫМ ГОДОМ :3 + 1  video   by PozzitifonShow 1 video Оккупай-гриферяй 2 СЕЗОН PLAYLIST   by PozzitifonShow High Paid Jobs - Work From Home DMT Video by John Jones Introducing Auth Faith- Have Faith Ep.1 | By Auth Flame by run by admire now. YouTube sends email summaries like these so you can keep up with your channel subscriptions. If you no longer want to receive these updates, you may edit your preferences here or unsubscribe. ©2014 YouTube, LLC 901 Cherry Ave, San Bruno, CA 94066

Partnering With Local Communities: The First Five "Promise Zones"

Here's What's Happening Here at the White House           DAILY SNAPSHOT Thursday, January 9, 2013             Featured Partnering With Local Communities: The First Five "Promise Zones" Today, President Obama will announce five "Promise Zones" -- partnerships with local communities to work to create jobs, increase economic security, expand educational opportunities, increase access to quality, affordable housing and improve public safety. These five communities -- in San Antonio, Philadelphia, Los Angeles, Southeastern Kentucky, and the Choctaw Nation of Oklahoma -- have committed to use existing resources on proven strategies, and make new investments that reward hard work. Because as the President noted, in a country as great as this one, a child’s zip code should never determine their opportunity. Learn more about these Promise Zones -- and tune in today at 2:20 p.m. ET. A student hugs President Barack Obama as he greets students following his second annual Back-to-School Speech at Julia R. Masterman Laboratory and Demonstration School in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania September 14, 2010. (Official White House Photo by Pete Souza)       Top Stories This Is The Affordable Care Act: Giving Women at High Risk for Breast Cancer Access to Free Chemoprevention Medication Dr. Jill Biden writes about how the Administration is making clear that most health insurance plans must soon cover chemoprevention medications that can reduce the risk of breast cancer for women who have an increased chance of developing the disease.  READ MORE Extending Emergency Unemployment Insurance Is the Right Thing to Do for American Families and Our Economy Yesterday, Cecilia Muñoz joined a conference call with Americans from around the country about the importance of extending emergency unemployment insurance. READ MORE We the Geeks: "Polar Vortex" and Extreme Weather Join us this Friday, January 10th at 2:00 p.m. ET for We the Geeks: "Polar Vortex" and Extreme Weather for a conversation with leading meteorologists, climate scientists, and weather experts. We'll cover why temperatures dipped to such frigid lows this week, how weather experts turn raw data into useful forecasts, and what we know about extreme weather events in the context of a changing climate. READ MORE       Today's Schedule All times are Eastern Time (ET) 10:00 AM: The President and the Vice President receive the Presidential Daily Briefing 11:00 AM: The President and the Vice President meet with Members of Congress 1:15 PM: Press Briefing by Press Secretary Jay Carney WATCH LIVE 2:20 PM: The President delivers remarks announcing Promise Zones WATCH LIVE 4:30 PM: The President and the Vice President meet with Secretary of the Treasury Lew Facebook    Twitter   |   More Ways to Engage Did Someone Forward This to You? Sign Up for Email Updates This email was sent to e0nstar1.blog@gmail.com Unsubscribe | Privacy Policy Please do not reply to this email. Contact the White House The White House • 1600 Pennsylvania Ave NW • Washington, DC 20500 • 202-456-1111

Google's December Authorship Shake-up

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Google's December Authorship Shake-up Posted: 08 Jan 2014 03:05 PM PST Posted by Dr-Pete Back in mid-December, the newly launched MozCast Feature Graph showed a significant short-term drop in the number of tracked searches displaying authorship mark-up. Here's a 30-day view of the data (from November 22, 2013 to December 21): The graph shows the percentage of queries that displayed authorship mark-up (to any degree) on page 1 of Google (note: the Y-axis has been constrained to the range of the data). This data ranges from a peak of 23.71% on Nov. 24 to a low of 20.03% on Dec. 19, a relative drop of 15.5%. Was it foretold at Pubcon? If you follow the search industry closely, that 15% may sound familiar. Back in October, Matt Cutts took the stage at Pubcon and suggested that a 10-15% reduction in authorship seemed to improve search quality. Many took this as a sign that Google had reduced the amount of authorship mark-up appearing in SERPs or would reduce it soon. The graph above is a bit cherry-picked, in terms of the timeframe. So, let's expand it to 60 days, including Matt's announcement at Pubcon (which happened on Oct. 23): Interestingly, authorship actually climbed a bit after Matt's announcement, before eventually dropping. There was a 9.6% relative drop from Oct. 23 to Dec. 19. These numbers all line up pretty well with Matt's predicted 10-15% range, and he confirmed around Dec. 19 that the authorship change had rolled out. Since Dec. 19, authorship presence in our data set has ranged from 19.8% to 20.3%. There has been no substantial recovery. Did authorship counts drop? When you think about a reduction in authorship, there are actually two very different possible interpretations. You could see what the graphs above show â€" that, overall, less searches displayed authorship mark-up. These graphs only indicate whether queries had authorship mark-up or didn't, in all-or-none fashion. The other possible interpretation is that, within the searches that displayed authorship mark-up, fewer results would get that mark-up. So, let's compare the peak date of Nov. 24 to the 60-day low of Dec. 19. The following table breaks down the searches with authorship by the count of results that displayed authorship mark-up (as a percentage of the total searches with authorship): The vast majority of SERPs, before and after the shake-up, displayed one result with authorship mark-up. There aren't really any major differences until you get down to 5/page, and at that point the number of data points is so small that it's difficult to say the difference is meaningful. The mean number of results displaying authorship mark-up on Nov. 24 was 1.326, which fell slightly to 1.305 on Dec. 19. There was a slight shift toward searches where only one result showed mark-up, but the general proportions remained roughly the same in our data set. If you're curious, the query that broke the 10/10 mark was "best android phones" (although I'm currently only seeing 8 results with mark-up for that search). Which searches lost mark-up? Between Nov. 23 and Dec. 19, 628 searches lost authorship mark-up in our data set. For reference, here's a set of 20 relatively high-volume queries from that list of 628: vpn bruce springsteen tractor supply nectar astrology fisher price pilates gadgets linksys ie8 acne hernia multiple sclerosis malaria copd crohn's disease tattoo designs command and conquer web design fashion bug It can be tempting to dive right in and try to find some patterns, but here's where things start to get tricky. If you do the math, you may notice that the drop in percentages only suggests about 370 searches losing authorship mark-up. So, how did we end up with a list of 628 keywords? It turns out that 260 keywords actually gained authorship mark-up during the same period. So, while there was a significant net loss, there were both winners and losers. It's also worth noting that many of these queries have a news component and probably a QDF (Query Deserves Freshness) aspect to them, so the day-to-day presence of authorship mark-up can vary with the actual results returned. This calculation is almost certainly done in real-time and can be highly dynamic. Google doesn't have a list of domains that either get authorship mark-up or don't â€" they're making a decision on the fly based on the interaction of the query, page, and domain. What can you do about it? It's important to realize that, while losing authorship mark-up for some of your search terms may be upsetting, this is not a penalty in the traditional sense. Google has lowered the volume, so to speak â€" they seem to feel that authorship was too prominent and that the quality bar may have been set a little too low. So, if you lost mark-up, does that mean your site is necessarily low quality? No, at least not in the sense you or I understand the word. It's more likely that Google was awarding authorship mark-up simply based on on-page tags or superficial factors and wasn't looking at how those factors were supported by other ranking signals. So, you may need a bit more corroborating evidence (a solid link profile, social mentions, etc.) to get your authorship to be recognized. Ultimately, authorship mark-up is a nice-to-have, but don't bet the farm on it. Google+ is only 2-1/2 years old, and Google is just beginning to understand how to measure authorship and individual authority (what some people call "AuthorRank", although that implies a specific metric that may or may not exist yet). Improving your individual authority and building your social profiles makes sense for many reasons, but getting hung up on the micro-details of authorship mark-up and watching it appear and disappear day-by-day is probably only going to drive you crazy. Sign up for The Moz Top 10, a semimonthly mailer updating you on the top ten hottest pieces of SEO news, tips, and rad links uncovered by the Moz team. Think of it as your exclusive digest of stuff you don't have time to hunt down but want to read!

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Seth's Blog : How much does it cost you to avoid the feeling of risk?

 

How much does it cost you to avoid the feeling of risk?

Not actual risk, but the feeling that you're at risk?

How many experiences are you missing out on because the (very unlikely) downsides are too frightening to contemplate?

Are you avoiding leading, connecting or creating because to do so feels risky?

Feeling risk is very different than actually putting yourself at risk. Over time, we've created a cultural taboo about feeling certain kinds of risk, and all that insulation from what the real world requires is getting quite expensive.

It's easy to pretend that indulging in the avoidance of the feeling of risk is free and unavoidable. It's neither.

       

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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

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Fed Minutes Show Majority Believe "Marginal Efficacy of QE Likely Declining"; Economy Turned the Corner? Posted: 08 Jan 2014 01:14 PM PST Inquiring minds are reading Minutes of the December 17-18 FOMC Meeting to see what the Fed is thinking. Here are a few key paragraphs: Most participants judged the marginal costs of asset purchases as unlikely to be sufficient, relative to their marginal benefits, to justify ending the purchases now or relatively soon; a few participants identified some possible costs as being more substantial, indicating that the costs could justify ending purchases now or relatively soon even if the Committee's macroeconomic goals for the purchase program had not yet been achieved. Participants were most concerned about the marginal cost of additional asset purchases arising from risks to financial stability, pointing out that a highly accommodative stance of monetary policy could provide an incentive for excessive risk-taking in the financial sector. It was noted that the risks to financial stability could be somewhat larger in the case of asset purchases than in the case of interest rate policy because purchases work in part by affecting term premiums and policymakers have less experience with term premium effects than with more conventional interest rate policy. Participants also expressed some concern that additional asset purchases increase the likelihood that the Federal Reserve might at some point suffer capital losses. A majority of participants judged that the marginal efficacy of purchases was likely declining as purchases continue, although some noted the difficulty inherent in making such an assessment. A couple of participants thought that the marginal efficacy of the program was not declining, as evidenced by the substantial effects in financial markets in recent months of news about the likely path of purchases. Investors appeared to read the economic data releases over the intermeeting period as better than had been expected and therefore as raising the odds that the FOMC might decide to reduce the pace of asset purchases at its December meeting. Survey evidence suggested that market participants now saw roughly similar probabilities of the first reduction in the pace of asset purchases occurring at the December, January, or March meeting. Market expectations regarding the timing of liftoff of the federal funds rate seemed to be little changed over the period. In part, a variety of Federal Reserve communications were seen as strengthening the Committee's forward guidance for the federal funds rate and contributing to the stability of expectations for the near-term path of the federal funds rate in the face of an improved economic outlook. Staff Economic Outlook In the economic projection prepared by the staff for the December FOMC meeting, the forecast for growth in real gross domestic product (GDP) in the second half of this year was revised up a little from the one prepared for the previous meeting, as the recent information on private domestic final demand--particularly consumer spending--was somewhat better, on balance, than the staff had anticipated. The staff's medium-term forecast for real GDP growth was also revised up slightly, reflecting a small reduction in fiscal restraint from the recent federal budget agreement, which the staff assumed would be enacted; a lower anticipated trajectory for longer-term interest rates; and higher paths for equity values and home prices. Those factors, in total, more than offset a higher path for the foreign exchange value of the dollar. The staff continued to project that real GDP would expand more quickly over the next few years than it has this year and would rise significantly faster than the growth rate of potential output. This acceleration in economic activity was expected to be supported by an easing in the effects of fiscal policy restraint on economic growth, increases in consumer and business sentiment, continued improvements in credit availability and financial conditions, a further easing of the economic stresses in Europe, and still-accommodative monetary policy. The expansion in economic activity was anticipated to slowly reduce resource slack over the projection period, and the unemployment rate was expected to decline gradually to the staff's estimate of its longer-run natural rate. In their discussion of the economic situation and the outlook, meeting participants viewed the information received over the intermeeting period as suggesting that the economy was expanding at a moderate pace. They generally indicated that the broad contours of their outlook for real activity, the labor market, and inflation had not changed materially since their October meeting, but most expressed greater confidence in the outlook and saw the risks associated with their forecasts of real GDP growth and the unemployment rate as more nearly balanced than earlier in the year. Almost all participants continued to project that the rate of growth of economic activity would strengthen in coming years, and all anticipated that the unemployment rate would gradually decline toward levels consistent with their current assessments of its longer-run normal value. The projected improvement in economic activity was expected to be supported by highly accommodative monetary policy, diminished fiscal policy restraint, and a pickup in global economic growth, as well as a further easing of credit conditions and continued improvements in household balance sheets. Inflation remained below the Committee's longer-run objective over the intermeeting period. Nevertheless, participants still anticipated that with longer-run inflation expectations stable and economic activity picking up, inflation would move back toward its objective over the medium run. But they noted that inflation persistently below the Committee's objective would pose risks to economic performance and so saw a need to monitor inflation developments carefully.  Fiscal policy continued to restrain economic growth. However, participants generally judged that the extent of the restraint may have begun to diminish as the effects of the payroll tax increases earlier in the year seem to have waned, and the drag on real activity from restrictive fiscal policies was expected to decline further going forward. Moreover, a number of participants observed that the prospect that the Congress would shortly reach an accord on the budget seemed to be reducing uncertainty and lowering the risks that might be associated with a disruptive political impasse. Committee participants generally viewed the increases in nonfarm payroll employment of more than 200,000 per month in October and November and the decline in the unemployment rate to 7 percent as encouraging signs of ongoing improvement in labor market conditions.  Inflation continued to run noticeably below the Committee's longer-run objective of 2 percent, but participants anticipated that it would move back toward 2 percent over time as the economic recovery strengthened and longer-run inflation expectations remained steady. Nonetheless, many participants expressed concern about the deceleration in consumer prices over the past year, and a couple pointed out that a number of other advanced economies were also experiencing very low inflation. Among the costs of very low or declining inflation that were cited were its effects in raising real interest rates and debt burdens. A few participants raised the possibility that recent declines in inflation might suggest that the economic recovery was not as strong as some thought. While deciding to modestly reduce its pace of purchases, the Committee emphasized that its holdings of longer-term securities were sizable and would still be increasing, which would promote a stronger economic recovery by maintaining downward pressure on longer-term interest rates, supporting mortgage markets, and helping to make broader financial conditions more accommodative. The Committee also reiterated that it will continue its asset purchases, and employ its other policy tools as appropriate, until the outlook for the labor market has improved substantially in a context of price stability. In the view of one member, a reduction in the pace of purchases was premature and, before taking such a step, the Committee should wait for more convincing evidence that economic growth was rising faster than its potential and that inflation would return to the Committee's 2 percent objective. Fed's Optimism In aggregate, the Fed seems to believe the economy has turned the corner. I take the other side of the coin citing rising mortgage rates, no pent-up demand for autos, declining lending standards, and lack of genuine pricing mechanisms as the Fed has grossly distorted all price signals with its QE programs. Falling inflation is actually a good thing, but no one on the Fed sees things that way. Nor do any of the Fed governors see the enormous bubbles in stocks and corporate bonds they have created. Excessive Risk Taking A few participants worried about the "incentive for excessive risk-taking in the financial sector" I suggest it's far too late for that worry. The incentive for excessive risk-taking has been operative for years. It is reflected in economic bubbles of all sorts. One only has to open one's eyes to see them. Fed forecasts are exceptionally wrong at economic turns, as past minutes from 2000 and 2007 show. And here we are again, at yet another 7-year interval, with the Fed unable or unwilling to see the bubbles they created, just as they failed to see the dotcom bubble in 2000 and the housing bubble in 2007. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

Household and Non-Financial Credit in Spain Sink, Government Debt Expands; No Recovery in Sight Posted: 08 Jan 2014 11:04 AM PST Here's an interesting chart regarding credit expansion and contraction in Spain from Guru's Blog. I added translation on the chart in red. Between 2009 and 2013 bank credit to government grew at rates between 14% and 36%. Meanwhile, credit to households and businesses has been in clear contraction since 2010. Among other things, Guru asks ... Can you talk about economic recovery when the rate of credit to households and businesses is still accelerating its decline? Can you recover an entire economy where credit granted is absorbed by a black hole called public sector? In a separate post, Guru notes the bank bailout bill was 219 billion euros. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific.

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