marți, 4 ianuarie 2011

Michael Gray - Graywolf's SEO Blog

Michael Gray - Graywolf's SEO Blog


What Social Signals Might Search Engines Use

Posted: 04 Jan 2011 07:34 AM PST

Post image for What Social Signals Might Search Engines Use

Late last year both Google and Bing announced they are both using social signals as part of the ranking algorithm. Those of us who have been in the game a while have long suspected this, but it’s nice to see it come from the horse’s mouth, so to speak. So, as a search marketer, what signals might they be looking at and what are some ways we can leverage to our advantage?

Probably the number one place you should be involved in is Twitter. It’s extremely likely that search engines are looking at who is tweeting and retweeting links that go to your website or are about your keyword. In fact you can already see this at work in the SERP’s right now.

Google SERPs with shared by link

Google SERPs with shared by link

A tweet from an authoritative account will carry more weight than yours …
The one thing we know, however, is that Google tries to give things credit using trust and authority metrics not just sheer numbers. So a tweet from a trusted account like say CNN carries more weight than yours. A tweet from an authoritative account like Kim Kardashian will carry more weight than yours (remember trust and authority are two different things). This is a similar concept to pagerank, and I mean internal pagerank not toolbar pagerank.

As a marketer, how can you go about assessing the trust and authority of an account, since Google and Bing aren’t sharing their metrics with us? One of the best tools right now is Klout. Before we go any further I’ll clarify there is no evidence that Google is using Klout’s data or that Google’s ranking for Twitter profiles is in way similar to Klout’s. What I am saying is Klout has fairly reliable method of assessing how “important” a Twitter account is. I’d also say that it pretty unlikely that you could have an account that is doing well in Klout but is given no value in Google. For example, let’s compare my Klout Score (screen shot) with Kim Kardashian’s (screen shot).

Michael Gray Klout Score (click to enlarge)

Kim Kardashian Klout Score (click to enlarge)

Her score is higher than mine, with the most dramatic difference in the reach, amplification, and network values. Next look at how Klout classifies our accounts and who we influence and are influenced by.

The people who I interact with fall in the middle right, lower left and lower right areas. The people who she interacts with are upper left and upper right, and are probably more trusted and authoritative (this isn’t meant to make anyone look/feel bad–I am using it simply as an example to illustrate the dramatic difference between accounts) . So, if you are looking to make the most of Twitter, concentrate on building trusted authoritative accounts and interacting with trusted authoritative people.

Where are some other places that search engines might look for signals? … Facebook. Yes, I get that a lot of Facebook is behind privacy walls and that, in Google’s case, there is almost an adversarial relationship to keep Google from the data. However, if something is popular on Facebook, it’s unlikely that it will stay on Facebook. It will leak over into other social spaces, like Twitter,  Stumbleupon, gmail, or at least pass through browsers with the Google toolbar. The more points of data that search engines see that tell them people are using, visiting, and sharing your website, the better.

This brings up the hobgoblin of paid/sponsored social media activity. Currently, all of the links are no followed on the outside, but the search engines are cagey about handling it if those tags are applied to the data they get straight from Twitter. Most sponsored tweets are required to have a hashtag to meet with FCC disclosure compliance, and Google has even said they consider hashtags a signal of low quality. That said, back room deals, friend networks, and non disclosed sponsored tweets do happen. Right now it’s probably small enough that the search engines don’t have to worry, but I expect this to change in the future, as engines become more sophisticated about interpreting social signals.

So what are the takeaways from this post:

  • Claim your names/brands/products on all the search services with a service like Knowem.
  • Choose the ones where your customers are and that you have the time to maintain–Twitter and Facebook are probably the best choices for most people
  • Strive to build up as much trust, authority, and reach as possible with your accounts
  • Use them to send signals to the search engines about your own quality content and to the content of people associated with you or who interact with you
  • If you engage in sponsored social activity, beware of algorithm changes that may devalue this tactic
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Related posts:

  1. Still Think You Can Ignore Social Media, Blogs, YouTube and Blended Search Still think this whole social media, blog, youtube, universal search...
  2. Google’s Social Search – Affecting a SERP Near You Late last week Google announced it was graduating social search...
  3. iPad Apps and Social Media In case you didn’t already know, I’m the owner of...
  4. Looking at Fake Social Media Profiles Somewhere in the middle of all the drama last week...
  5. Social Media and Publishing Paths For websites that are going to participate in social media...

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What Social Signals Might Search Engines Use

All the President's Pens

The White House Your Daily Snapshot for
Tuesday, Jan. 4,  2011
 

All the President's Pens

Why do presidents use so many pens to sign legislation? White House Staff Secretary Lisa Brown explains.

Watch the video.

President Obama's Signature

In Case You Missed It

Here are some of the top stories from the White House blog.

Food Safety Modernization Act: Putting the Focus on Prevention
The new Food Safety Modernization Act, which President Obama will sign today, directs the Food and Drug Administration to build a new system of food safety oversight focused on applying the best available science and good common sense to prevent the problems that can make people sick.

The White House Blog's Top 10 of 2010
As we start a new year, we bring you the White House blog's top ten most popular posts of 2010.

Looking Ahead to Education Reform
In an op-ed in the Washington Post, Secretary of Education Arne Duncan looks ahead to a major opportunity for moving our country forward with bipartisan support over the next couple years.

Today's Schedule

All times are Eastern Standard Time (EST).

10:15 AM: The First Family arrives at Andrews Air Force Base

10:30 AM: The First Family arrives at the White House

4:30 PM: The President meets with Secretary of Defense Gates

WhiteHouse.gov/live  Indicates events that will be live streamed on WhiteHouse.gov/live.

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Seth's Blog : Making meetings more expensive

[You're getting this note because you subscribed to Seth Godin's blog.]

Making meetings more expensive

...might actually make them cost less.

What would happen if your organization hired a meeting fairie?

The fairie's job would be to ensure that meetings were short, efficient and effective. He would focus on:

  • Getting precisely the right people invited, but no others.
  • Making the meeting start right on time.
  • Scheduling meetings so that they don't end when Outlook says they should, but so that they end when they need to.
  • Ensuring that every meeting has a clearly defined purpose, and accomplishes that purpose, then ends.
  • Welcoming guests appriopately. If you are hosting someone, the fairie makes sure the guest has adequate directions, a place to productively wait before the meeting starts, access to the internet, something to drink, biographies of who else will be in the room and a clear understanding of the goals of the meeting.
  • Managing the flow of information, including agendas and Powerpoints. This includes eliminating the last minute running around looking for a VGA cable or a monitor that works. The fairie would make sure that everyone left with a copy of whatever they needed.
  • Issuing a follow up memo to everyone who attended the meeting, clearly delineating who came and what was decided.

If you do all this, every time you call a meeting it's going to cost more to organize. Which means you'll call fewer meetings, those meetings will be shorter and more efficient. And in the long run, you'll waste less time and get more done.

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luni, 3 ianuarie 2011

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Factories Expand 17 Consecutive Months, Jobs Don't

Posted: 03 Jan 2011 01:13 PM PST

The latest ISM reports show Factories grow for 17th straight month in December.
Manufacturers produced more goods and booked more orders last month, leading to the fastest growth in factory activity since May.

The Institute for Supply Management said Monday that its index of manufacturing activity rose to 57 in December from 56.6 in the previous month. Any reading over 50 indicates growth. The latest is well above the recession's low of 32.5, hit in December 2008. But it's below the reading of 60.4 in April, the highest level since June 2004.

The report shows that manufacturers carried considerable momentum into the new year. Automakers, computer and electronics companies, and industrial machinery firms showed particular strength, the Tempe, Ariz.-based ISM said.

A survey of Chinese manufacturers last week showed that nation's boom lost a bit of momentum last month. The HSBC China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index slipped to 54.4 in December from 55.3 in the previous month, a three-month low. Still, the number indicates China's factories are increasing output.

In the U.S., export orders are still growing, the ISM said, but at a slower pace. ISM's index of export orders was 54.5 in December, down from 57.

A big question for this year is whether the growth will translate into more hiring. According to the ISM, manufacturers are adding jobs, but at a slower pace. Its employment index fell to 55.7 from 57.5. But the ISM's employment index hasn't always been very reliable: the manufacturing sector has actually shed small numbers of jobs for the past four month, according to the Labor Department.
Manufacturing Employment

The BLS Current Statistics report shows November lost 13,000 jobs, October 11,000 jobs, September 6,000 jobs and August 26,000 jobs.

click on any chart below to see a sharper image




In spite of 17 consecutive months of manufacturing expansion, hiring was only up 7 of those months, and not once in the last 4.

Manufacturing Long-Term Trends




The long-term trend suggests it would be a mistake to expect too many jobs out of manufacturing.

For more about jobs please see Jobs Forecast 2011 Calculated Risk vs. Mish

The BLS report for December comes out on January 7th. The January report comes out on February 4th. Those reports could be robust because of retail and service sector hiring, especially the January report.

Normally there are a lot of layoffs in January for obvious seasonal reasons. However, some of the recent hiring by stores might be permanent. If so, some expected layoff may not happen and we could see a couple of really nice looking jobs reports.

However, it would be a mistake to think that stores are going to keep hiring at a brisk pace all year simply because a couple of months look good. Headwinds are enormous and the mess states face is not accounted for. We are not going to spend our way back to prosperity regardless of what Keynesian clowns may think.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List


Uniquely Dysfunctional Relationships; Short and Long-Term Solutions to the Public Union Pension Crisis

Posted: 03 Jan 2011 09:48 AM PST

"Uniquely Dysfunctional" is an apt description of the relationship between public unions and the corrupt politicians in bed with those unions. The term comes from Fred Siegel, a historian at the Manhattan Institute.

I found the term in Public Workers Face Outrage as Budget Crises Grow.
Ever since Marie Corfield's confrontation with Gov. Chris Christie this fall over the state's education cuts became a YouTube classic, she has received a stream of vituperative e-mails and Facebook postings.

"People I don't even know are calling me horrible names," said Ms. Corfield, an art teacher who had pleaded the case of struggling teachers. "The mantra is that the problem is the unions, the unions, the unions."

It is an angry conversation. And a growing cadre of political leaders and municipal finance experts argue that much of the edifice of municipal and state finance is jury-rigged and, without new revenue, perhaps unsustainable. Too many political leaders, they argue, acted too irresponsibly, failing to either raise taxes or cut spending.

Fred Siegel, a historian at the conservative-leaning Manhattan Institute, has written of the "New Tammany Hall," which he describes as the incestuous alliance between public officials and labor.

"Public unions have had no natural adversary; they give politicians political support and get good contracts back," Mr. Siegel said. "It's uniquely dysfunctional."

In California, pension costs now crowd out spending for parks, public schools and state universities; in Illinois, spiraling pension costs threaten the state with insolvency.

And taxpayer resentment simmers.

A white-haired retired undercover police officer, whose wrap-around shades match his black Harley-Davidson jacket, pauses outside the Washington Township municipal building to consider the many targets. He did not want to give his name.

"Christie has all the good intentions in the world but has he hit the right people?" he says. "I understand pulling in belts, but you talking about janitors and cops, or the free-loading freeholder?"
Among the freeloading freeloaders are the cowards like the retired undercover police officer refusing to give their name to the New York Times. I would like to see that person's name and their pension payment posted in the article.

One would think that New Jersey teachers might have the ability to learn. However, judging from repeated powder puff softball questions by teachers that governor Chris Christie can hit out of the ballpark, I have to wonder.

Marie Corfield got what she deserved. Check it out in case you think otherwise.



Governor Chris Christie was straight, direct, and correct in his response to a union teacher in New Jersey who complains about teacher layoffs. Clearly the teacher's union is to blame.

Moreover, it is the same in every state. How teachers cannot see this is a wonder to behold.

For all I know, Marie Corfield is a hard working teacher. However, I can make a case we do not need to teach art at all, and on that basis she should be fired tomorrow.

However, the merits of teaching art is not the point. The point is her amazing sense of entitlement as to what her job is worth as a teacher in general. The same applies even more so to police and fire workers whose pensions are generally larger.

Bankruptcy Solution

One possible solution to this madness in my opinion is bankruptcy. In bankruptcy, the teachers and fire fighters and police can see just what a judge thinks they are worth. My point being, you cannot pay money that is not there.

In many case, city finances are so far gone that bankruptcy is the only option

Amazing Sense of Entitlement

Taxpayers are angry and for good reason. Many do not have the "problem" Marie Corfield bitches about because their problem is worse, no job at all.

While Corfield whines about having to pay $750 dollars a year for family health, dental, and eye-care (for life), most pay far more for far less. Many have no benefits at all.

Where this insane sense of entitlement come? The only possible answer is the union itself. Private workers certainly do not have the same sense of "taxpayers owe me" entitlement that public union members have. That entitlement comes from being part of a union "mob".

These public union-politician "dysfunctional relationships" are fraudulent precisely because there is "no natural adversary", no one looking out for taxpayer interests.

Short and Long-Term Solutions

The long-term solution is the end of collective bargaining for public unions, and indeed the total abolishment of public unions in general.

Unfortunately that does not rectify the ill-gotten gains of public union workers, notably police and fire workers who often retire at age 55 with 80-90% of salary and take another job in the meantime.

The short-term solution to this mess is to tax all public union pension benefits before the age of 62 at 90% , and after the age of 62, tax public union pensions in excess of a certain amount at a very high rate.

I propose these taxes be collected upfront, taken out of retirement checks and the money collected be fed back into public union pension plans to make them solvent. The beauty of my proposal is it could win support of many public union workers who do not have excessive benefits and who might be totally screwed in bankruptcy.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List


The Consumer Becomes "The Consumed"

Posted: 03 Jan 2011 01:46 AM PST

Following is one of the more fascinating emails I have ever received. It is from reader Sally Odland who every year partakes in a "different ritual" celebration on New Year's Eve, a tradition she picked up on a trip to Ecuador.

Sally writes ...
Dear Mish,

I can't thank you enough for writing your blog. It's become my go-to stop for rational economic analysis.

Thought you might enjoy these photos of another kind of New Year's celebration....a tradition we picked up on a trip to Ecuador.

Each New Year's Eve, our family explores the detritus of the last week to reveal the essence of the departing year. From trash emerges the effigy of the passing year, which we burn at the stroke of midnight.

This year's cornucopia of discounted personal luxury ads embodied the illusionary idea that we can (must!) buy our way to economic health. In doing so, the consumer becomes "The Consumed".

Wishing you true prosperity in 2011.

Sally Odland
Croton-on-Hudson, NY
click on any image for a sharper view











I feel obliged to point out the exceptionally funny fine print "Once In A Lifetime" just above the words "Twice Yearly Sale" in the second and third photos.

Sally Writes ...
Effigy was collaborative montage assembled - literally - at the 11th hour by me, my husband Bruce, sons Max and Michael and Max's girlfriend Susannah. My sons laid the fire. Photos shot by Bruce.

Face was cut from NY Times Magazine issue "The Lives They Lived". It is Philippa Foot, moral philosopher, author of "Natural Goodness".

Her face was the right size and shape. However, her philosophy is strangely relevant to the theme.

From the article: She "became troubled by a central assumption of 20th-century moral philosophy: that facts and values are logically independent."

Sally
The Trolley Problem

Please consider the New York Times article Philippa Foot, Renowned Philosopher, Dies at 90
Philippa Foot, a philosopher who argued that moral judgments have a rational basis, and who introduced the renowned ethical thought experiment known as the Trolley Problem, died at her home in Oxford, England, on Oct. 3, her 90th birthday.

In 1967, in the essay "The Problem of Abortion and the Doctrine of the Double Effect," she discussed, using a series of provocative examples, the moral distinctions between intended and unintended consequences, between doing and allowing, and between positive and negative duties — the duty not to inflict harm weighed against the duty to render aid.

The most arresting of her examples, offered in just a few sentences, was the ethical dilemma faced by the driver of a runaway trolley hurtling toward five track workers. By diverting the trolley to a spur where just one worker is on the track, the driver can save five lives.

Clearly, the driver should divert the trolley and kill one worker rather than five.

But what about a surgeon who could also save five lives — by killing a patient and distributing the patient's organs to five other patients who would otherwise die? The math is the same, but here, instead of having to choose between two negative duties — the imperative not to inflict harm — as the driver does, the doctor weighs a negative duty against the positive duty of rendering aid.

The philosopher Judith Jarvis Thomson added two complications to the Trolley Problem that are now inseparable from it.

Suppose, she suggested, that the bystander observes the impending trolley disaster from a footbridge over the tracks and realizes that by throwing a heavy weight in front of the trolley he can stop it.

As it happens, the only available weight is a fat man standing next to him. Most respondents presented with the problem saw a moral distinction between throwing the switch and throwing the man on the tracks, even though the end result, in lives saved, was identical.

The paradoxes suggested by the Trolley Problem and its variants have engaged not only moral philosophers but neuroscientists, economists and evolutionary psychologists. It also inspired a subdiscipline jokingly known as trolleyology, whose swelling body of commentary "makes the Talmud look like CliffsNotes," the philosopher Kwame Anthony Appiah wrote in his book "Experiments in Ethics" (2008).
Global Progression of "Being Consumed By Consumption"

Philosophical pontifications aside, it is fascinating to watch the global progression of "Being Consumed By Consumption".

The property bubble in the US, Ireland, and Spain took its toll. Yet, "It's Different Here" thinking runs deep in Australia, Canada, and China.

It's not different anywhere.

Once home prices exceed people's ability to pay for them and/or home prices exceed the cost of renting, crashes are all but inevitable. I do not care what commodity prices are or how many people allegedly want to move someplace (think Miami, Phoenix, Las Vegas, Vancouver, Sydney, Shanghai), home prices exceeding rental prices or wage growth by multiple standard deviations is a sign of a bubble that will pop.

Miami, Phoenix, and Las Vegas have seen crashes. So will Vancouver, Sydney, and Shanghai. Indeed, the longer the delay, the bigger the crash.

The warning signs of over-consumption in Australia, Canada, the UK, and China are flashing red. However, it's far to late to do anything about them. The interest rate match has been lit in Australia and China, but it is irrelevant.

Interest rates hikes or not, global property bubbles and consumerism in general are going up in flames just as the trash of reader Sally Odland did at the stroke of midnight on new year's eve.

Happy New Year



For a look at problems for the new year, please see Ten Economic and Investment Themes for 2011

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com
Click Here To Scroll Thru My Recent Post List