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miercuri, 11 septembrie 2013
Addressing the Nation
The 2013 Local Search Ecosystems (and a GetListed Upgrade)
The 2013 Local Search Ecosystems (and a GetListed Upgrade) |
| The 2013 Local Search Ecosystems (and a GetListed Upgrade) Posted: 10 Sep 2013 04:04 PM PDT Posted by David-Mihm Well, it's been nearly a year since I published the last version(s) of this graphic. That's a long time in a space that evolves as quickly as Local Search, but frankly, 2013 hasn't seen quite the turmoil of 2012, in which Google+ Local, Apple Maps, and Facebook Nearby were all released within seven months of each other. We'll be adding all of these graphics to the GetListed.org Learning Center in the next few weeks, with full references and screenshots showing attribution. But while I had a bit of time before the fall conference seasonâ€"I'll be speaking more about these at Local University Advanced in just a few weeksâ€"I thought I'd consolidate my thoughts and get them into a blog post. My thoughts on the U.S. ecosystem The Big Three are now the Big FourSince I first started researching the local search space back in 2006-2007, Infogroup, Localeze, and Acxiom have been the undisputed primary data suppliers in the U.S. Although multiple independent sources heard from Yelp this summer that they no longer actively ingest data from Acxiom, Acxiom is one of only two suppliers mentioned on Google Maps' legal notices page, and they've fed data to Apple Maps since it launched. It's always been difficult for me to recommend an answer to the question, "Which data aggregator would you pay to manage data with?" My standard answer has always been "all three." But if you are looking to prioritize your local marketing spend, I hope the graphics below showing each provider's publicly verifiable network assist with that. Factual is a relatively new player on the sceneâ€"they were barely on my radar less than two years ago. And yet today, if you visit their homepage, you see a who's who of local search portals, including Yelp, Bing, and TripAdvisor. It's clear they're a force to be reckoned with, especially globally (more on that below). Aside: the GetListed upgradeAs a result of Acxiom's resurgence and Factual's emergence, for the last several months we've been working to add both to the roster of data platforms we display on GetListed. I'm excited to announce their release today. Big thanks to Adrian, Frank, and Josh for making those additions happen this summer. Foursquare as a data provider?The fragmentation of the location-based app market is only going to increase, and like Factual, Foursquare has turned its sights on becoming "the location layer for the Internet." Its API has been quite reliable for GetListed, at least, and it surely counts a healthy percentage of web developers among its 40-odd-million users, whom it's now enlisting in a quest to provide extremely fine-grained venue data. If Foursquare can expand its typical venue categories beyond food, drink, and entertainment, it could become even more of a key player despite a declining rate of user growth. I still wouldn't be surprised to see Foursquare purchased by the end of the year, but the list of companies who both need and could afford it is slimming considerably as its dataset continues to get better. The traditional IYPs have it toughFrom a citation-strength standpoint, few traditional directories are competing favorably with Yelp across a broad array of categories. Citysearch, Superpages, Yahoo, and YP.com are still very strong players, but with Citysearch laying off a substantial percentage of its staff recently and Superpages' merge with Dex, it's pretty clear that a lot of consolidation and reconfiguration is happening among the major players. It also seems that vertical and geo-focused directories, and even unstructured local citations, are playing a larger role than ever in competitive search categories. With so many traditional local search sites offering free listings to business owners, citations from traditional providers now appear to be "table stakes" in Local SEO...but the sites that offer those listings are continuing to have a hard time monetizing them. What's Apple up to? It's been almost exactly a year since Apple's less-than-impressive release of Maps. The good folks in Cupertino went silent for a good long while before making a couple of key summer acquisitions: Locationary and HopStop. For our little world, Locationary is the more relevant purchase. Grant Ritchie and his team essentially built their own version of Map Maker (see below)â€"an efficient system of ingesting data from multiple sources and making sense of it. I don't see the Locationary acquisition affecting any of Apple's existing data relationships imminently, but expect we'll start to see a lot faster pace of innovation with their mapping platform in the coming year. And the quality of data will get considerably better as Apple beefs up its Ground Truth and engineering forces. The continued importance of Google Map MakerOne of the least-heralded but most important stories in the last year has been Google's unification of its backend location database. There are now effectively four (and possibly more) public front-ends to this database: "Report a Problem" reports, Places and Google+ Page Management, and the Map Maker interface itself. There's still no substitute for querying Map Maker directly if you're having persistent issues with incorrect business categorization, PIN placement, or duplicate listings, and Map Maker's release in many, many more countriesâ€"including longtime holdout Italyâ€"making it a relevant and useful tool for SEOs almost no matter where your clients are. Internationally speakingOne of the least-obvious facts for newcomers to local search is that other than Google's central position, every country's ecosystem is different. Factual is one of the very few companies with a reliable global dataset, and the search giant relies on a completely different set of providers in each country that Maps operates. Typically these are established yellow pages players, such as YPG in Canada, Telelistas in Brasil, and Sensis in Australia. Secondary and tertiary relationships can be considerably harder to tease out, but the graphics below represent my best effort to reconstruct these markets. I received a considerable amount of help on both Germany and Australia from Nyagoslav Zhekov of NGS Marketing, who may have more experience building citations in international markets than anyone in the world. Thoughts on Canada: In my introduction to the international section, I already mentioned the primacy of YPG in supplying data to Google, and in few markets around the world is there a single provider as dominant in its country than YPG. The number of prominent local search sites under the YPG umbrella is impressive, and may be a reason its digital revenues are responsible for a comparatively large share of its overall earnings. Canada's also relatively unique in that an arm of the Canadian Government, Industry Canada, offers such an easily-crawlable database of business information to the public. Whether Google has a formal relationship with Industry Canada or not, it's clear that this data makes it into Google's index. Thanks to Jen Salamandick of Kickpoint for her empirical confirmation of this relationship. Thoughts on the UK: The UK features the most complex ecosystem of any country country in the world. At first glance, Google should have a dominant provider in BT, but my experience during a two-month sabbatical in the UK in May 2011 indicated that The Local Data Company, Market Location, and 118 Information were all more influential sources for data that would eventually wind up at Google. TouchLocal's acquisition of Scoot in 2009 makes that duo a significant citation source as well. Qype and Yelp are both extremely well-crawled, and there are a number of geographically-focused directories, especially in Greater London, that Google is surely looking at. Similar to Canada, there are two governmental entitiesâ€"Companies House and the Royal Mailâ€"whose datasets provide the backbone to a number of location indexes, I’m sure. All this means a lot of work for UK SEO’s trying to clean up or establish citation profiles for their clients. Thoughts on Germany: In preparing for my SMX Munich presentation earlier this year, the primary providers in Germany clearly seemed to be the Deutsche Telekom-GelbeSeiten-Das Ortliche trifecta. German SEOs should not overlook infobel, however, the owner of Kapitol S.A., which is mentioned on the Google Maps' legal notices page. There are a myriad of secondary local search engines in Germany and in my research, their strength depended on the industry I was investigating. Qype was essentially the only dominant consumer portal horizontally, but Varta Guides and Restaurant-Kritik were exceptionally strong in travel and cuisine. If I'm a German SEO, I'm paying special attention to my client's phone contract records and their listings on the associated GelbeSeiten, Das Telefonbuch, and Das Ortliche, updating Qype, and then I'm going straight for industry-specific directories, before circling back to the secondary search engines. That's quite a different workflow from what I'd recommend here in the States. Thoughts on Brazil: The Brazilian market strikes me as one of the biggest global opportunities in local search. It's a huge country with a lot of urban population centers, a relatively well-educated population, and high percentage of smartphone ownership. And from an SEO standpoint, it appears to be about four to five years behind the United States. Certainly the complexity of the Local ecosystem is nowhere near that of more established markets. Telelistas and Apontador are the clear market leaders, and Yelp's purchase of Qype looks like a smart investment in this market. ConclusionAs I said in the introduction, we'll be establishing a permanent archive for these ecosystems in the GetListed Learning Center in the next several weeks, but in the meantime, I look forward to hearing your questions and feedback in the comments below! A final thanks to Gregory T'Kint of James Hargreaves Plumbing, Tom Lynch of Location3, Russ Offord of Orion Group for their correspondence regarding these ecosystems in the past year. Sign up for The Moz Top 10, a semimonthly mailer updating you on the top ten hottest pieces of SEO news, tips, and rad links uncovered by the Moz team. Think of it as your exclusive digest of stuff you don't have time to hunt down but want to read! |
| Forget Google's Games - Make Social a Primary Traffic Source Posted: 10 Sep 2013 03:32 AM PDT Posted by simonpenson This post was originally in YouMoz, and was promoted to the main blog because it provides great value and interest to our community. The author's views are entirely his or her own and may not reflect the views of Moz, Inc. For most business owners social is a toy. The marketing equivalent of that friend we all have outside our professional lives that you just don’t talk to your work colleagues about. Even though they are really the life and soul of the party. But things are changing. A recent Forrester survey unlocked some startling stats about how we are all discovering things online. Discovery is Google’s heartland. The very thing it has built its empire upon and yet it seems that a seismic shift is occurring. According to the research piece almost 50% of those in the 18 to 23 bracket used social as their primary discovery engine in the last year. Those stats should make Google think very carefully indeed about its future strategy and how to keep its users, and advertisers, happy. For a marketer such information should be impetus to think very seriously about strategy, and where to invest that budget in the next few years as we are finally given another way to access audiences at scale online. Tipping Point As powerful as that survey is, however, it is not enough alone to get you to invest hard fought marketing dollars on social, but for me there is an even more powerful argument brewing. As we know, the ability to intelligently target consumers has always been the zenith for marketers. To do it well you need to be able to collect, and then slice and dice, information about the people using your platform. Google’s been pretty good at this to date, as the propensity to buy has always been high from search queries. Social, however takes that data to a whole other level. It is this, and the fact that in attempting to monetize the social space themselves the likes of Facebook and Twitter have opened the door for all of us to do the same thing with our own social audiences that really does suggest that a true tipping point has now been reached. Is Google walking a dangerous line? The problem for social until now has always been Google’s dominance, specifically its unrelenting focus on making search the only place you need to look to find your audience. Until recently, few would have argued with that mantra. But things are changing. The level of flux in organic SERPs and shrinking margins in paid are making many people look again, not just at their strategy generally but at the trust they have put in the brand for so long. I talk to business owners weekly who say they have ‘had enough’ of having their eggs in one basket and want a ‘safer’, more diverse, strategy. Combine that with the fact that social now offers both audience size and access to the right people within it and the scales begin to tip significantly. Let’s look at that picture in more detail now. Social’s key trump card Until very recently social has been perceived as very much a ‘creative’ game. One for progressing conversations and engaging with people but not for making money directly. And while this is still very much a big part of the tactical piece there is now a layer of science sitting above it, which it critical to the success of any strategy. That layer is all about the collection and interpretation of the right data to inform the entire marketing strategy. As search marketers we have always known the power of data in informing strategies that convert into sales. Digital marketing is, after all, about not having to guess any more as the data is there to inform the strategy. Social data takes that insight to a whole other level. Richer and more connected than whatever search can throw at us, it tells us such things as:
Google is concerned by this and the subsequent ability to target advertising into that space. It’s one of the key motivators behind the creation of Google+ alongside the obvious use the data has as a tool to power its personalisation and semantic plans. Access is improving Add better and more robust access to the platforms and we suddenly start to see why social is becoming so attractive. Facebook in particular has started to change mindsets around commercialization of social too and that opens the doors to all marketers to follow suit. And with APIs opening up and becoming more robust, analytics improving and self-serve ad systems launching, we now have the keys to access the audience. Where should you invest? The question now is where should you invest and begin to execute a strategy that returns positive ROI. The simple answer is to view social not as a ‘community management’ project, but as a science, designed to attract precisely the right people with the right content and to engage with them long enough that they convert. Consistently. Facebook, Facebook, Facebook Choosing the platform to center your strategy on is tough, but through testing and experience it has become clear, to me at least, that for 90% of businesses Facebook should be the commercial hub of your activity. We have spent in excess of £500,000 on social advertising over the past 18 months and it's that activity that has taught us the value of Facebook from an ROI perspective. It also lacks any real competitor in real terms as a central, all-encompassing social audience aggregator. Google+ has no real part to play as a pure social play platform. There is no doubting the potential there for search benefits, but outside of tech industries it is very much a wasteland at present. Twitter is useful as a distribution channel and, if you lean on its ad functionality, it has a place as a broadcast medium, but past that its strength really lies in being used as a customer service tool. Pinterest is another worth considering, especially if you work in a creative industry, but again its one-dimensional content USP and lack of access makes it a limited option, for now. Others like LinkedIn are working hard to improve the way they surface content and curate but they still have a long way to go. Sponsored content is certainly a step in the right direction. And that leaves the king of them all. Facebook. A platform with the three key characteristics required for success:
Three phase strategy Structure and process is key to making any marketing strategy work and social is no different. There are three key stages to any social plan and they are:
Without any one of the three you are doomed to failure and what is even more important is the fact that this is no linear process. You need to work consistently on all three, cycling through them all one by one to ensure growth and improvement is possible across all of them. Growth The first stage is the most important as without enough of the RIGHT people (and we’ll come to that) you simply won’t be able to monetize to a level where the project can be seen as a success. That does NOT mean aggressively acquiring fans from anywhere. We have had clients come to us with 1 million 'Likes', complaining that they can’t monetize. The answer to why always sat very squarely with the type of people they had attracted and a content strategy that simply was not aligned to the right people. You are looking for a relatively small audience in reality, but one that engages regularly with your content. But how do you find those people? The answer is actually simpler than you think. Digging into the data Those that have access to the Facebook API are a lucky bunch. The data available out the back door is rich enough to make any Google engineer’s eyes water. While search engines spit out fairly two dimensional, quantitative data around search behavior, social gives so much more. It tells us about the people. Their passions, relationships, loves and hates. For any marketer that is rocket fuel. And the great news is that you can not only look at what your audiences are interested in, but also what other brands' audiences, and even general interest 'sets' are into (such as 'digital marketing' as a whole). That means you can spy on your competitors, which makes the data even more powerful. And if you have pumped your account full of cheap 'fans' and want a cleaner view you have the ability to simply look at similar brand audiences for the answers. But you haven’t got API access right? Sure, but there is still hope and it comes in the form of Facebook’s Power Editor. While rarely publicized, this little gem of a tool allows the user to dig into and segment data based on pages or groups of ‘Likes’, which means for the marketer that you can understand, in granular detail, more about your audience’s interests or those of your competitors. More ‘stuff’ about what they care about as people. It's accessible to all and to get it all you have to do is follow this simple step-by-step to install it on your account. It does require you to use the Chrome browser at this stage but that will change in time. It's a free addition to your account and does not require you to spend money to use it either and 'free tools' are always a friend to all marketers! We use Power Editor to segment by setting up a series of adverts with different targeting - similar to A/B testing. This allows us to choose different targeting for each segment, and in turn it gives us the estimated reach for each interest set. Capturing and correlating this data allows us to draw great insights in terms of audience interests. By finding out how many fans of a Page ‘Like’ certain interest sets, such as football related pages you can quickly work out generalist interest sets and from that even correlate against the average Facebook audience to discover if the brand or Page has a high percentage of football fans, for example. To help explain how such data can be used let’s examine the Moz and general digital marketing audience. For this purpose the digital marketing audience is defined as the people who 'Like' Digital marketing Pages on Facebook. Below you can see clearly that the digital marketing audience correlates nicely with the overall Facebook audience (the dark blue line is the general audience and the light blue line is digital marketing). No great surprises so far. But where it begins to get really interesting is when we start looking deeper; at what other interests the digital marketer has. Again we can see here the general FB audience in dark blue and how interest sets vary against the digital marketing audience. We can clearly see the digital segment over-indexes insanely around business, gaming, sci-fi, mobile devices and, interestingly, cycling, while it is clear that celebrities, pop music and fashion are really not that exciting for us (does that suggest we’re uncool?). Diving deeper still we can extrapolate specific topics of most interest and we end up with something that looks a little like this: As you can see we love Mashable and Steve Jobs (no surprise there) but the Wall Street Journal, Game of Thrones and Walking Dead may not be quite so obvious. Having this kind of info at hand gives you the ability to really target paid, owned and earned activity precisely where it will have most effect. Using the insight All the data in the world is irrelevant though if you have no way of using it in your day-to-day activity. So how does knowing this help? In simple terms knowing who you are writing for or advertising to means that you can tailor your ‘content’ specifically at them, improving engagement and click through. Paid media In paid it means that you can be MUCH smarter with your spend and it opens up a whole other world to your targeting. Forget looking to target people that just like ‘SEO’ or ‘digital marketing' and look instead for what other interests they have. Run campaigns that capture them in ‘other’ places where they are likely to be; where their interests over-index against the average person. If I were lucky enough to be a Moz marketer, for instance, I would absolutely look to target some social campaigns around the sci-fi audience. We know there is a high correlation between that market and digital and you’ll also pay less per click for the privilege â€" reaching the ‘same’ people for less and therefore improving the potential ROI of any campaign. By targeting sci-fi fans you get the opportunity to reach those same 'digital marketers' in a less competitive space and those people that are not into the subject matter are immaterial anyway as they will simply 'ignore' the advertising, which is not a problem when you are paying Cost per Click, of course. Content strategy For content too this offers incredible levels of insight. Historically I had always been one of the very worst offenders when it came to believing that my creative content ideas were the best. That came from spending a decade in print, working ‘blind’ in terms of audience insight. My ideas were the best ideas going on in my own head. The reality though, is that with data like this available you no longer have to guess, or rely on your own twisted understanding of what your reader may like. I ensure that the data is integrated into the initial and ongoing brainstorming process each and every time to keep ideas tied to interests we know are likely to be engaged with and consumed. You can see that ideation process below and where data fits into it: Engagement Growth is one thing. Creating enough engaging content consistently is entirely another, however, and while you cannot engage without an audience, without engagement you have little to no chance of monetizing or organically growing your reach. And to do that, on Facebook, at least, you must bow down to the majesty of Edgerank. Edgerank The majority of you will be more than aware of Facebook’s algorithm, but for those that don’t it is the ‘thing’ responsible for what you see and don’t see within your News Feed. And while internally Facebook says it no longer uses 'Edgerank' and that the algorithm governing feeds is now more complex the three key pillars still very much exist. I’m not going to go in the complexities of that right here. This site does a great job of that should you require more background. The basis of it is that the more you interact with a post, or a person, the more likely you are to see more posts from them in the future. And visibility means prizes, as we know only too well from search. So, how can you better create content that resonates, aside from utilizing the data already discussed? Use of the following content ‘tips’ can certainly help in my experience: Top tips
Validate effectiveness All of the above work to greater or lesser degrees in different markets. The beauty of social though is that you can very quickly learn what works for your audience thanks to real time engagement insight. Facebook’s own reporting tool gives a view on this and we have created our own version, which also allows you to add in other Pages, so you can keep an eye on competitor strategies within the same view, as you can see below: Monetization For business it is the value of what ‘comes out the other end’. You can have all the fancy, soft metrics in the world, but without the ‘Ker-ching!’ moment the value is lost on most. The great news is that the commercialization of Facebook has opened the door to all marketers and made it more acceptable to start looking at ways to monetize. Editorial V Ads And that brings us back to an age-old battle: one between editorial and advertising/commercial ‘content’ to a content driven audience. It is a battle that has been fought for decades at newspapers, magazines, TV and radio stations as media companies attempt to maximize revenues without sacrificing audience. And we are now going to have to get used to it in digital, past simply juggling how many ad spots we have on our site. Commercialism within content goes much deeper than that. So, how do you get it right in social? The great news is that the real time engagement data is available, as explained earlier, and getting it ‘right’ is simply a case of playing with the relationship between editorial posts and more commercial ones. Below you can see a screenshot of a social client we work with and you can see more clearly the difference between the two post types. On the right you have a ‘commercial’ post, linking back through to a pre-order on the website and this sits comfortably with the ‘editorial’ piece on the left. Try adding a commercial post every fourth post to begin with and then work from there, monitoring engagement rates and fan counts for signs of drop off. As soon as that happens reduce it and stick to that ratio. Vertical Pages For those without an ‘off page’ monetization opportunity there is also a sneaky little model you can try for yourself. I’ve been playing with a small handful of Pages myself, building content strategies and investing in some fan acquisition activity to build up relevant niche audiences around such things as parenting and finance. Once those pages are established and you have an audience of around 5,000+ people you can follow that same ad/editorial model replacing the commercial link-to-site with a simple affiliate link. That way you can begin monetizing via the affiliate route. Measurement Of course, no monetization project is complete without the measurement piece and the good news again here is that our ability to measure social’s impact on the bottom line has improved drastically too in line with the genre’s own path towards commercialization. Google Analytics and other analytic packages now help us understand clearly not just the last click, but much more of the funnel so we can truly measure social’s part in any conversion. As the channel is now being used increasingly as a discovery channel, knowing that it may have played a part at the initial interaction stage can make your social numbers more reflective of its true value. Softer metrics And then there are the ‘softer’ metrics that should have monetary values assigned to them. ‘Likes’, comments, shares and impressions should and can be tracked for GA easily now thanks to the _trackSocial method. This feeds more info on that engagement through to your analytics reports so you can better understand the value interaction brings. Paid and organic You can also separate out paid and organic social campaigns easily enough in the same way you would within search by making use of the Google URL builder. This allows you to create bespoke URLs for specific campaigns, allowing you to measure everything from fan acquisition campaigns through to individual content projects with ease. Takeaways It’s clear then that the combination of changes to audience behavior, in the way they discover new things, and social’s increasing maturity as a channel that ‘accepts’ commercial content means a tipping point is close. Combine that with Google’s current obsession with change and the channel is becoming a serious option for those looking to vary traffic sources. And with all the tools now in place and a mass of data available to inform our decision making perhaps it is time to invest? Top 5 Takeaways
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Seth's Blog : Cell phone cameras repel UFOs
Cell phone cameras repel UFOs
We've relentlessly outfitted just about everyone with a pocket-sized video camera.
And as we've done that, the UFOs have stopped visiting us.
Experience is real. It is our memory and perception of what happened to us, and it's influenced by our self-told story of the world around us. Experience, though, doesn't spread nearly as well as the digital record does.
That doesn't diminish our need to experience wonder or fear or tribal connection. Digital proof doesn't decrease a human being's need to be an outlier (or an insider) or to flee to safety in the face of things that scare us. It doesn't diminish our need to invent conspiracy theories or recognize heroism.
So the emotional experience moves. It moves from making up sea dragons and UFOs and the other "un-true" things others could never prove were merely made up. Instead, those emotions drive how we interpret what you sell, or what you say when you run for office, or how we interpret what happened on TV screens around the world. It changes the way we think about the things we can look up or get in our email box. Even when we can see something for ourselves, we'd often rather get a talking head or tribal leader to understand it for us. To tell us what people like us think about something like that.
Emotion isn't going to go away when the 'false' legends and fables do. It's too resilient for that. Instead, it's going to influence the story we tell ourselves, as it always has.
We don't need your proof. We need your story, and what it means to us.
More Recent Articles
- Actually, they're not yours
- Q&A: All Marketers... and the challenge of telling the right story
- The closer you get to the front, the more power you have over the brand.
- Being found vs. being sought
- The trust brand
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marți, 10 septembrie 2013
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis
Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
- Short Translation of Obama's Speech: "Flip Flop"; Long Translation: "I Don't Have the Votes"
- Latest Polls Not Looking Good For Merkel, 12 Days Before election
- Obama Supporters Sign "Karl Marx for President" Petition
| Short Translation of Obama's Speech: "Flip Flop"; Long Translation: "I Don't Have the Votes" Posted: 10 Sep 2013 09:11 PM PDT Readers may be interested in the Full Text of Obama's War-Mongering Speech on Syria. Fake Diplomacy I can sum up Obama's speech in two words "Flip Flop". Obama backed down from his John Wayne McCain guns-a-blazing approach to a fake-diplomatic stance "I have, therefore, asked the leaders of Congress to postpone a vote to authorize the use of force while we pursue this diplomatic path." Mish Translation "God damn it! I don't have the votes" No Votes Failure to attain a majority in Congress was clear earlier today when Senate minority leader Mitch McConnell Said 'No' On Syria Strike. "Does Assad's use of chemical weapons pose a threat to the national security interests of the United States? And the answer to that question is fairly obvious: Even the president himself says it doesn't," McConnell said. McConnell stood his ground in contrast to House Speaker John Boehner, Majority Leader Eric Cantor, Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi and Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid who, like John McCain wanted to proceed with warmongering regardless of costs. Politico notes "In just the past 24 hours, GOP senators including Roy Blunt of Missouri, Dean Heller of Nevada, Mike Enzi of Wyoming, Johnny Isakson of Georgia and Lamar Alexander of Tennessee have all come out against a strike." Putin Saves Obama's Ass Seems to me, Putin saved Obama's ass with a proposal to let Syria destroy its weapons. Obama turned a "God damn it! I don't have the votes" horror story into a diplomatic "Give Peace a Chance" moment. Putin gained stature and Obama lost stature. Putin's win is Obama's loss even if temporarily allows Obama to save face. Hitler Card In Play Nonetheless, I do not buy the "give peace a chance" line, especially since Obama played the "Hitler Card". "In World War II, the Nazis used gas to inflict the horror of the Holocaust. Because these weapons can kill on a mass scale, with no distinction between soldier and infant, the civilized world has spent a century working to ban them", said Obama. A few Days Ago the Guardian accurately appraised the situation as "Faced with sparse support for launching cruise missiles into a civil war, John Kerry compared Bashar al-Assad": Adolf Hitler: When in doubt, say 'Hitler' Assad (assuming he used gas at all, and that is debatable) used it on political enemies in a civil war. Hitler planned to exterminate an entire race of people, simply because of their race and their faith. Seriously, how lame is that comparison? What's the Difference Between the US Using Chemical Weapons and Others Doing the Same?  Blatant Hypocrisy David Stockman nails the heart of US war-mongering hypocrisy with this question: "After having rained napalm, white phosphorous, bunker busters, drone missiles, and the most violent machinery of conventional warfare ever assembled upon millions of innocent Vietnamese, Cambodians, Serbs, Somalis, Iraqis, Afghans, Pakistanis, Yemeni, Libyans, and countless more, Washington now presupposes to be in the moral-sanctions business?" For further Stockman discussion, please see End of U.S. Imperium—Finally!? Obama About to Suffer Glorious Defeat in Congress? The hypocrisy of Obama (like Bush before him) is astounding. The biggest user of chemical weapons in history is the United States of America. Don't believe it? For details, please see U.S. Going to Kill Syrians to Show Syria that Killing Syrians is Wrong Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
| Latest Polls Not Looking Good For Merkel, 12 Days Before election Posted: 10 Sep 2013 12:43 PM PDT The German election is on September 22. And with 12 days remaining, things do not look good for a Grand Coalition headed by Merkel. Via translation, the latest INSA poll looks like this:
I believe AfD will make the 5% cut. I do not know if FDP will make the cut. If neither makes the cut, an unstable "Grand Coalition" is theoretically possible three ways. Possible Coalitions if Neither AfD Nor FDP Get 5%
Possible Coalitions if AfD, not FDP Gets 5%
Possible Coalitions if FDP not AfD Gets 5%
Again, a grand coalition with SPD is also theoretically possible. There are numerous combinations if FDP and AfD both get 5%. One More Merkel Snag The CDU/CSU-FDP, CDU/CSU-AfD, and CDU/CSU-AfD-FDP possibilities all assume a working majority. A coalition of CDU/CSU + AfD + FDP would easily have a majority. A coalition of CDU/CSU + FDP might not have a majority if SDP continues to gain at the expense of CDU/CSU. Election Not Over With many sitting the election out and with many undecided voters likely to vote for someone other than CDU/CSU or SPD, this election is hardly over. Indeed, the mess gets rather complicated if SPD tops 28% and the Greens and Left come close to 10% each. And that outcome is not out of the question. Merkel should hope that any CDU/CSU slippage goes to FDP and AfD, not anywhere else. Is CDU/CSU + AfD that bad an option? I think not, but I do not get to vote. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
| Obama Supporters Sign "Karl Marx for President" Petition Posted: 10 Sep 2013 08:50 AM PDT In the following video, Mark Dice, tells passers-by that Obama endorses Karl Marx for president in the 2016 election. People willingly sign a petition to get Karl Marx on the ballot. Link if video does not play: Communist Karl Marx Endorsed by Obama Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com |
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