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Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis |
Run on Greek Banks Accelerates; ECB Halts Emergency Funding Hike; Untangling the Lies Posted: 27 May 2015 10:35 AM PDT The curious story of the day is back-to-back reports, minutes apart, by the same news agency, saying different things. I commented on that just a bit ago in Greece Says Creditor Agreement Deal Close, Senior Eurozone Official Says "I Wish it Were True". There is no proof Greece is the one lying, but Greece certainly benefits more from such a lie, two different ways.
Assuming point number two is in play, I did a search for "Greek bank deposit outflows". Three stories from today popped right up. Here are two of them. Run on Banks Accelerates Please consider ECB Halts Emergency Funding Hike to Greek Banks. The European Central Bank on Wednesday did not raise a ceiling on emergency funding for Greek banks in a weekly review for the first time since February, a banking source said, adding financial pressure as the country scrambles to stay solvent.Greek Bank Outflows Accelerate, Reached 5 Billion Euros in April CNBC reports Greek Bank Outflows Accelerate, Reached 5 Billion Euros in April. Greek banks have seen deposit outflows accelerate over the past week as fears rise that the euro zone country will default on debt, two banking sources said on Wednesday.Untangling the Lies It's possible that Greece will reach an agreement, but here are the lies as I see them now.
To untangle the lies, all one had to do was look at what's really happening. Here is the single most believable statement made by anyone ... "The past week in May was more challenging compared to the previous ones in the month, with daily outflows of 200 to 300 million euros in the last few days," a senior Greek banker said. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Greece Says Creditor Agreement Deal Close, Senior Eurozone Official Says "I Wish it Were True" Posted: 27 May 2015 09:52 AM PDT The curious story of the day is back-to-back reports, minutes apart, by the same news agency, saying different things. Greece Says has Begun Drawing Up Agreement with Creditors Here is Reuters headline number one: Greece Says has Begun Drawing Up Agreement with Creditors Greece and its creditors are starting to draft a technical-level agreement, a government official said on Wednesday, signalling progress in long-running talks to unlock aid for the cash-strapped country.Eurozone Officials Dismiss Greek Comments Here is Reuters headline number two (actually 8 minutes before the above): Euro Zone Officials Dismiss Greek Comments on Deal Being Drafted. Greece's European creditors cannot confirm a statement by Athens that it is starting the process of drafting a technical-level agreement with creditors to secure aid, an EU official told Reuters on Wednesday.Loop of Lies? It's vaguely possible no one is lying here, but that's only possible if the senior eurozone official does not know what is going on. Another curious aspect is the Greek official blaming the IMF, when actually it is the IMF and not the eurozone creditors that have admitted Greek debt needs another haircut. I suppose it is possible the IMF wants harsher terms on a new deal than Germany and the creditors, but somehow that seems unlikely. Who Benefits? Who benefits more from a lie? The answer to that question is Greece, two ways.
Just because someone benefits from a lie is no proof a lie is in progress. Yet, lie or not, both of those two points are in play. Greece needs to prepare for capital controls to stop a run on banks should talks fail. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Livestream of Rand Paul "Unleashing the American Dream" 12:45 PM Central Posted: 27 May 2015 09:05 AM PDT U.S. Sen. Rand Paul joins the Illinois Policy Institute at the 1871 Center for a discussion about how to transform Chicago, the state of Illinois and the U.S. with liberty-based public policy solutions. Tickets are completely sold out, but you can watch the livestream at 12:45 p.m. CST. Paul's speech is on unequal economic opportunity, failing schools and a broken criminal-justice system. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
Posted: 27 May 2015 01:29 AM PDT Replaced by a Robot I sometimes get asked what I am going to do when I am replaced by a robot. On other occasions, I get emails from people hoping I get replaced by a robot. Those in the second group typically accuse me of not knowing what it is like to not have a job. Actually, I do know what it is like to be without a job for an extended period because I was jobless for several years between 2001 and 2004. I started this blog hoping someone would hire me as writer. The Motley Fool had an opening for a writer and turned me down for the position. With the exception of the bit about the Fool position that I wanted and needed, I have written about this before on several occasions, most recently on January 30, 2015, in Financial Blogger Profile of "Mish" on Equities.Com. McJournalism Coming Up With that journalism backdrop, please consider You'll be Sorry When the Robot Journalists Take Over by Irish Times writer Jennifer O'Connell. If you consume much of your daily news diet online, you're probably already acquainted with the work of "robot journalists", you just don't know it yet.Will Anyone Be Sorry? Jennifer O'Connell says "You'll be Sorry When the Robot Journalists Take Over". I wonder how many will even notice. More importantly, those who would notice are likely not paying much precedence to mainstream media anyway. Except for Hollywood scandals, murders, and other meaningless but sensational stories, national news needs to be condensed down to 30 second soundbites. Can most stories be generated by a robot? The sad truth is "probably" for the simple reason most want to be spoon fed garbage. O'Connell says journalists are "good at asking annoying questions. They're nosy and persistent and willing to challenge authority to dig out a story. They're good at provoking irritation, devastation, laughter or controversy." That's true as well. So who will survive?
Until robots can do number two in a thought-provoking, educational, and random manner that encompasses minority and anti-establishment views, alternative journalism will survive. Media parrots, however, will be replaced by robots. No one will be sorry because no one will notice. Mike "Mish" Shedlock http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com Mike "Mish" Shedlock is a registered investment advisor representative for SitkaPacific Capital Management. Sitka Pacific is an asset management firm whose goal is strong performance and low volatility, regardless of market direction. Visit http://www.sitkapacific.com/account_management.html to learn more about wealth management and capital preservation strategies of Sitka Pacific. |
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