sâmbătă, 16 martie 2013

Weekly Address: Time to Create the Energy Security Trust

The White House Saturday, March 16, 2013
 

Weekly Address: Time to Create the Energy Security Trust

President Obama discusses the need to harness American energy in order to reduce our dependence on oil and make the United States a magnet for new jobs. He highlights his all-of-the-above approach to American energy -- including a proposal to establish an Energy Security Trust, which invests in research that will help shift our cars and trucks off of oil.

Watch this week's Weekly Address.

Watch this week's Weekly Address

In Case You Missed It

Here’s a quick glimpse at what happened this week on WhiteHouse.gov:

International Courage Awards: Last Friday, the First Lady joined Secretary of State John Kerry at the State Department for the International Women of Courage Awards—where nine different women were honored. The event was a celebration of the strength and sacrifice of individuals who have worked tirelessly for the advancement of women’s rights for all.

Trade Export Council: On Tuesday, President Obama touched base with business and government leaders at a meeting of the President's Export Council.

"The good news is we are well on our way to meeting a very ambitious goal that we set several years ago to double U.S. exports," said the President. "And what we know is, is that a lot of the growth, a lot of the new jobs that we've seen during the course of this recovery, have been export-driven." 

To maintain and ignite growth, President Obama discussed finishing new trade deals with Europe and the Asia-Pacific. The Administration signed legislation in 2011 supporting free trade agreements with Korea, Colombia, and Panama which has kept America competitive in foreign trade, while creating jobs for Americans.

Sultan of Brunei: On Tuesday, President Obama welcomed His Majesty the Sultan of Brunei to the Oval Office for a bilateral meeting to share their desire for "a strong, peaceful, prosperous Asia-Pacific region."

Brunei, a small country in the South China Sea, will be holding the ASEAN East Asia Summit meeting in October. The visit is a symbol of the President's goal of working towards a peaceful and prosperous presence in the Asia-Pacific region.

#AskFLOTUS : On Monday, in celebration of Let’s Move's third anniversary the First Lady participated in a question and answer session through Twitter. The First Lady tweeted responses to questions such as how much exercise our kids need a day and her favorite healthy winter recipe. For the record, a minimum of 60 minutes a day is required and the First Lady's favorite winter dish is turkey and veggie chili. Head over to Pinterest for MyPlate Recipes which haves hundreds of tasty recipes for a healthy diet.

Check out the Q & A on Storify and follow @FLOTUS and @LetsMove for the latest updates.

"Being Biden": On Thursday, Vice President Biden introduced a new audio series called "Being Biden" to give Americans an opportunity to connect with the White House through the lens of Vice President Biden. In the series, the Vice President will discuss special photos and share why the moments matter to him. Check out the first installment at WhiteHouse.gov/Being-Biden.

Ask Him Anything: On Wednesday, Gene Sperling, the Director of the National Economic Council and Assistant to President Obama for Economic Policy, fielded questions on the President's plan to reduce the deficit. Through Reddit's "Ask Me Anything" forum, Sperling answered economic policy questions from users, and even joked about the West Wing, a TV series on which he once worked.

Hire Vets: On Wednesday, the First Lady addressed the Business Roundtable, an association of chief executive officers, and challenged them to hire our veterans and military spouses. Through Joining Forces, the First Lady and Dr. Jill Biden have made it a priority to support them:

"We've got to hold ourselves to the same standards of service and patriotism as they've held themselves," said the First Lady. "And we've got to join forces so that we can truly serve our veterans and military families as well as they have served us."

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Seth's Blog : Important, not very good, could get a lot better

 

Important, not very good, could get a lot better

A recipe for personal and brand triage...

We invest our time in hopes of a return, prioritizing the important, but sometimes, we waste it on the urgent instead.

What's worth focusing on improving? How about a combination of these three:

  • The important
  • That you currently don't do very well
  • That you're capable of doing a lot better if you invested effort and time

Eliminate the things that don't matter, that you're never going to get better at or that you're already good at. What's left are the places where you have the opportunity to change your position in the market.


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vineri, 15 martie 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


EU Court Strikes Down Spain’s Eviction Law; Was This a Good Ruling?

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 05:52 PM PDT

Inquiring minds note that EU Court Strikes Down Spain's Eviction Law.
Campaigners in Spain hailed a rare legal victory over the country's banks and government when Europe's highest court struck down a draconian foreclosure law that had come to symbolise the brutal fallout from the eurozone's debt crisis.

The decision by the European Court of Justice will give Spanish courts new powers to delay or freeze the eviction of home buyers who have fallen behind on their mortgage payments. It will add to rising public pressure on the government in Madrid to change a tough mortgage regime that has allowed banks to evict tens of thousands of struggling homeowners.

Spanish lenders have repossessed almost 400,000 houses and offices since the start of the crisis in 2007, sparking angry protests and a broad popular backlash. In some instances, home buyers were reported to have committed suicide days or even hours before their eviction date.

Anti-eviction campaigners have collected almost 1.5m signatures to force parliament to debate a change in the law. The initiative seeks to end the current legal situation in which banks can demand full repayment of a mortgage even after it repossesses a house.

Ada Colau, a spokeswoman for the Platform of Mortgage Victims, said the court ruling left Spain's government with "no other option than to change the mortgage law".

The ruling handed down by the ECJ dealt with the case of Mohamed Aziz, who in 2007 took out a mortgage of €138,000 from Catalunyacaixa, a lender that was later nationalised. He stopped paying his instalments the following year, and was eventually evicted from his home in 2011.

Mr Aziz argued his eviction was illegal because the original mortgage agreement was unfair, and should have been annulled. He pointed out the contract allowed the bank to take away his home after just one failure to pay an instalment, and provided for a default interest rate of 18.75 per cent.
Was This a Good Ruling? 

Regular readers I am a big proponent of walking away if the situation presents itself (click on link for numerous articles). But what is the situation here?

The situation is people paid silly prices for merchandise of dubious value. They also did so knowing there was not an option to walk away with no recourse.

I can sympathize with preposterous default interest rates of 18.75%, but I wonder what interest rate Mr. Aziz can afford to pay. I suspect Aziz can afford to pay 0% and nothing on principal.

With that in mind, this EU ruling is likely to keep people in their homes interest free (and payment free) for years. Is that a good thing? For who?

It is certainly a good thing for the likes of  Mr. Aziz. It is a horrendous thing for taxpayers who will ultimately have to pick up the tab for everyone in this situation. It will also encourage everyone in a similar situation to stop paying their bills whether they can afford to or not.

In the US, banks knowingly entered into such contracts. In Spain they didn't, and that is probably why Spain's housing bubble was even bigger than the bubble in the US.

Spain's banking insolvency issue is going to get a lot worse. Those who were prudent will soon be majorly-screwed to help bail out those like Mr. Aziz who overpaid.

All things considered, this was not a good ruling. Nonetheless, expect socialists to cheer it. Also expect the prudent to pay through the nose to bail out not only the banks, but those foolish enough to throw caution to the wind.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Massive Ships 12-Miles Offshore to Provide Floating City for Entrepreneurial Start-Ups; Launch Date Q2 2014

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 10:59 AM PDT

A company named Blueseed is a year away from offering entrepreneurs an inexpensive place, near Silicon Valley, in which to develop their products.

"Blueseed will station a ship 12 nautical miles from the coast of San Francisco, in international waters. The location will allow startup entrepreneurs from anywhere in the world to start or grow their company near Silicon Valley, without the need for a U.S. work visa. The ship will be converted into a coworking and co-living space, and will have high-speed Internet access and daily transportation to the mainland via ferry boat. So far, over 1000 entrepreneurs from 60+ countries expressed interest in living on the ship."

Here is a sampling of images from their page of Concept Vessels.







Who's Going to Blueseed?

Blueseed will be welcoming 1171 entrepreneurs from 368 startups in 66 countries.



Motivation Factor
Motivation for Coming to BlueseedNot importantSomewhat importantImportantVery importantCritical
An alternative to having to get US work visas for myself or other company founders25.80%14.60%16.80%19.20%23.60%
An alternative to having to get US work visas for my employees27.70%20.30%21.20%18.10%12.60%
Streamlined legal and regulatory environment made with low overhead in mind7.10%11.00%27.50%29.10%25.30%
Ease of finding talent6.30%14.30%22.80%29.70%26.90%
Proximity to Silicon Valley's investors3.30%9.10%19.80%31.00%36.80%
Living and working in an awesome startup- and technology- oriented space0.30%2.70%10.40%31.60%54.90%
Coolness factor / fame / getting press12.60%15.40%23.90%22.30%25.8


This is exceptionally cool stuff. Floating offshore hospitals and schools cannot be far off. I wish Blueseed well.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Wine Country Conference

I am hosting an economic conference on April 5 in Sonoma, California. Proceeds go to the Les Turner ALS Foundation (Lou Gehrig's Disease).

Please see My Wife Joanne Has Passed Away; Stop and Smell the Lilacs for my association with the disease.

To learn about the economic conference with world-class speakers including John Hussman, Michael Pettis, Jim Chanos, John Mauldin, Mike "Mish" Shedlock, Chris Martenson with guest moderator Lauren Lyster and other Special Guests, please visit Wine Country Conference April 5, 2013

Can We Fix What's Wrong With Banking?

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 09:28 AM PDT

I was asked a few days ago by Zócalo Public Square, a not-for-profit daily Ideas Exchange, to contribute a brief comment to coincide with their upcoming event "Can We Fix What's Wrong With Banking?"

I was specifically asked to address the question "should we have bailed out the banks?" Here is my response:

No, we should not have bailed them out. That's the easy question.

Now that we have bailed them out, however, here's the important question: "Will we fix what's wrong with banking before there is a global currency crisis?"



On that score I have my doubts. 

The simple fact of the matter is we have a massive mountain of debt everywhere you look: Federal debt, State and local debt, student loans, housing, unfunded liabilities in Medicare and Social Security, and untenable pension promises at every level of government.

Most agree that is a problem. Unfortunately, that's where the agreement stops.

 Yet, before we can address the debt crisis, we have to understand how it happened. 



The source of the debt crisis is two-fold:

  1. Fractional Reserve Lending
  2. Fed (central banks in general)

Everything else is a sideshow, but few realize it.

Symptoms vs. Problems

The symptoms of the debt-bubble are slack demand, a lack of jobs, and stagnant growth. Most policymakers are hell-bent on attacking those symptoms, not the problem.



Many point to the end of Glass-Steagall, rating agencies, "too big to fail," bank bailouts, and excess spending by governments. There are screams for more regulation in nearly every corner. The unions want more handouts. The socialists want to redistribute wealth. Those on fixed income want bigger Social Security checks.

The Keynesians and Monetarists want to attack the symptoms with more government spending and more central bank printing. 

The average 8th grader can see how foolish most of those ideas are, but the average economist can't, and the average government bureaucrat does not want to be told he has to stop spending.



Decades of Foolishness

The notion that a nation can spend its way to prosperity has been disproved time and time again. 
The U.S. housing bubble was a direct result of the Fed bailing out banks in the wake of the dot-com bust.

Japan, once the world's largest creditor, now has a debt-to-GDP ratio approaching 250 percent, the highest in the industrialized world. 

It took three decades of foolish spending for Japan to achieve that debt-to-GDP level, and Japan believes it failed because it did not try hard enough. 



Central banks blow bubbles of increasing amplitude over time. And every step of the way they bail out banks that get into trouble. This is the legacy of central banks, and especially the legacy of the Greenspan and Bernanke Fed

Income Skew

I have written before why the rich get richer and the poor get poorer (see Top 1% Received 121% of Income Gains During the Recovery, Bottom 99% Lose .4%; How, Why, Solutions)

In response, a Reader Asked Me to Prove "Inflation Benefits the Wealthy" (At the Expense of Everyone Else)

Please see the article for the evidence. Then, once you understand what the Fed is doing, the solutions should be easy to spot.

Solutions

The solution to the symptoms of massive income disparity, a dearth of jobs, and lack of growth is not wage caps on executive pay or hikes in the minimum wage or a return of Glass-Steagall. The real solution is elimination of the Fed, elimination of fractional reserve lending, and a return to sound money policies that do not benefit the already wealthy at the expense of everyone else.

Can we fix the problem? Of course we can. I just outlined how. But if it's so easy, then why don't we do it?

The answer to that question is remarkably easy. All you need to do is figure out who benefits from inflation. I addressed that in detail in Inflation Targeting Revisited; Three Major Fed-Sponsored Bubbles; Who Benefits From Inflation?

Here's the short answer: the banks, the wealthy, and the politicians are the ones who benefit from inflation, and they are also in control of the system.

So, are we going to fix what's wrong with banking before there is a global currency crisis? I am betting against that idea, holding gold as my method.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Wine Country Conference

I am hosting an economic conference on April 5 in Sonoma, California. Proceeds go to the Les Turner ALS Foundation (Lou Gehrig's Disease).

Please see My Wife Joanne Has Passed Away; Stop and Smell the Lilacs for my association with the disease.

To learn about the economic conference with world-class speakers including John Hussman, Michael Pettis, Jim Chanos, John Mauldin, Mike "Mish" Shedlock, Chris Martenson with guest moderator Lauren Lyster and other Special Guests, please visit Wine Country Conference April 5, 2013

Rand Paul Says "GOP of Old has Grown Stale and Moss-Covered"

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 12:49 AM PDT

Properly laying it on the line, Senator Rand Paul says GOP of old 'has grown stale and moss-covered'
Fresh off his filibuster that captured the hearts of libertarian conservatives, Sen. Rand Paul told attendees Thursday at the Conservative Political Action Conference that the Republican Party has become "stale" and must return to basic constitutional principles if it wants to ignite a political revolution.

Mr. Paul was the star of the conservative "Facebook generation" youth movement that paraded across CPAC's stage Thursday, joining others such as Sens. Marco Rubio, Mike Lee and Tim Scott — all of whom were elected after President George W. Bush left office.

"The GOP of old has grown stale and moss-covered," Mr. Paul said. "The new GOP, the GOP that will win again, will need to embrace liberty in both the economic and personal sphere. If we are going to have a Republican Party that can win, liberty needs to be the backbone of the GOP."

Mr. DeMint was scheduled to be a featured speaker at the "presidential dinner" — the final event of the evening.

But Mr. Paul, who impressed senators on both sides of the aisle with his recent information-seeking filibuster over the Obama administration's policy on drone strikes, appeared to have the most enthusiastic support in attendance.

"I came with a message — a message for the president," he said. "A message that is loud and clear. A message that doesn't mince words."

"Don't drone me, bro!" shouted one audience member.

"Well," Mr. Paul said with a laugh, "that's not exactly what I was thinking. However, I think he might have distilled my 13-hour speech into three words."
Real Clear Politics has a Rand Paul video as well as additional commentary.
The GOP of old has grown stale and moss-covered. I don't think we need to name any names, do we? Our party is encumbered by an inconsistent approach to freedom. The new GOP will need to embrace liberty in both the economic and the personal sphere. If we're going to have a Republican party that can win, liberty needs to be the backbone of the GOP. We must have a message that is broad, our vision must be broad, and that vision must be based on freedom.

There are millions of Americans, young and old, native and immigrant, black, white and brown, who simply seek to live free, to practice a religion, free to choose where their kids go to school, free to choose their own health care, free to keep the fruits of their labor, free to live without government constantly being on their back. I will stand for them. I will stand for you. I will stand for our prosperity and our freedom, and I ask everyone who values liberty to stand with me. Thank you. God bless America.
I stand with Rand. We need a fresh face and a breath of fresh air. Rand Paul offers both.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Damn Cool Pics

Damn Cool Pics


Vintage Apple Products

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 11:26 AM PDT

Vintage Apple products from the '80s and '90s.





















































































Bunkers in Albania

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 11:09 AM PDT

Albanian dictator Enver Hoxha, who ruled the country from 1945 to 1985, was paranoid about foreign invasions. He ordered to build more than 900,000 bunkers across the country. Nowadays those bunkers can be found in the very unusual places.




When the prototype bunker was finished in the 1950s Hoxha asked the chief engineer how confident he was that it could withstand a full assault from a tank. The engineer answered, "Very confident". The Communist Party supremo then insisted that the engineer stand inside his creation while it was bombarded by a tank. The shell-shocked engineer emerged unscathed and Hoxha ordered thousands of these built.



























Formula 1 2013 Season At A Glance [Infographic]

Posted: 15 Mar 2013 10:21 AM PDT

Displaying thrilling speeds up to 200 miles per hour (320 km/h), it's no wonder Formula 1 racing is one of the most popular sports across the globe. As fans gear up for the upcoming 2013 season kickoff on 15 March in Australia, we take a look at the races that are about to hit the circuits.

Click on Image to Enlarge.
F1 2013 preview infographic
Brought to you by Confused.com