duminică, 9 august 2015

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


China's Exports Plunge 8% in July; Spotlight on US Trade Imbalance With China

Posted: 09 Aug 2015 04:25 PM PDT

In addition to bubble-busting events in real estate and the Chinese stock market, China now has to deal a plunge in exports.

Following Saturday's report Chinese Exports Slump Over Eight Percent, analysts expect more China stimulus.
Chinese exports tumbled 8.3 percent in July, their biggest drop in four months and far worse than expected, reinforcing expectations that Beijing will be forced to roll out more stimulus to support the world's second-largest economy.

Imports also fell heavily from a year earlier, in line with market forecasts but suggesting domestic demand might be too feeble to offset the weaker global demand for China's exports.

Exports to the European Union fell 12.3 percent in July while those to the United States dropped 1.3 percent. Demand from Japan, another big trading partner, slid 13 percent.

"A recovery in external demand remains far off and economic growth will continue to rely on domestic demand, which implies policies should continue to be relaxed in the second half," wrote Qu Hongbin, China economist at global bank HSBC.

China recorded a trade surplus of $43.03 billion for the month, below forecasts of $53.25 billion.

Economists also blame a strong yuan for the export weakness, with ANZ Research estimating the currency's nominal effective exchange rate has risen by 13.5 percent since June 2014.

Analysts say Beijing has been keeping its yuan strong to wean its economy off low-end export manufacturing. A strong yuan policy also supports domestic buying power, helps Chinese firms to borrow and invest abroad, and encourages foreign firms and governments to increase their use of the currency.

"These factors suggest that China's exports will continue to face strong headwinds," Liu Ligang and Louis Lam said in an ANZ Research note on Saturday, adding that they doubted Beijing would hit its trade growth target of 6 percent for this year.
Cries for More Stimulus

Excessive stimulus created property bubbles and an enormous stock market bubble.

The average stock speculator has not even graduated from high school. The Washington Post reports:

"Before peaking on June 12, China's stock market had risen by about 150 percent in a year, completely divorcing itself from increasingly worrying economic and corporate fundamentals. Frenzy gripped the nation; from high school students to farmers, ordinary Chinese citizens pooled ideas to take advantage of what looked like easy money. Thousands of people gathered in "street stock market saloons" in Shanghai from early afternoon until late in the evening to swap tips."

Yet analysts want and expect more stimulus. The cry "do something" is overpowering even though huge problems were created precisely by "doing something", typically stimulus to meet absurd growth targets.

Mish Action Item Proposal

No one in their right mind believes Chinese growth is as high as China proclaims. And if China wants to do something that truly makes sense, I offer this simple proposal: abolish growth targets completely.

Then, no analysts could make inane comments about needing more stimulus to meet targets, because there would be no inane targets to hit.

Spotlight on US Trade Imbalance With China

On May 5, Fortune reported U.S. trade deficit with China reaches all-time high.
Just as the debate over free trade deals heats up in Washington, free trade advocates were hit with the ill-timed news that the trade deficit surged to $51.4 billion in March, up sharply from $35.9 billion in February.

The rise was due mostly to an increase in imports, which skyrocketed by 7.7%, while exports increased just 0.9%. The U.S. trade deficit with China was $37.8 billion, or 74% of the total and the highest ever monthly deficit with that country on record. The overall monthly deficit was the highest since 2008, while the increase from February to March represented the largest monthly leap since 1999.
Current US Trade Numbers

The above report was based on March trade, no doubt affected by the end of the West coast port strike.

So let's hone in on the BEA Balance of Trade Report released August 5, for the month of June.
The U.S. Census Bureau and the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, through the Department of Commerce, announced today that the goods and services deficit was $43.8 billion in June, up $2.9 billion from $40.9 billion in May, revised. June exports were $188.6 billion, $0.1 billion less than May exports. June imports were $232.4 billion, $2.8 billion more than May imports.

The June figures show surpluses, in billions of dollars, with South and Central America ($3.5), OPEC ($0.7), and Brazil ($0.6). Deficits were recorded, in billions of dollars, with China ($29.0), European Union ($13.9), Germany ($6.8), Mexico ($5.4), Japan ($5.2), Canada ($3.1), South Korea ($2.3), Italy ($2.2), France ($1.7), India ($1.6), Saudi Arabia ($0.5), and United Kingdom ($0.2).

The balance with Canada shifted from a surplus of $0.2 billion in May to a deficit of $3.1 billion in June. Exports decreased $1.1 billion to $23.0 billion and imports increased $2.2 billion to $26.2 billion.

The deficit with Mexico increased $1.3 billion to $5.4 billion in June. Exports increased $0.1 billion to $20.0 billion and imports increased $1.4 billion to $25.5 billion.
Comparison

For July, China recorded a $43 billion trade surplus with the world. The latest numbers from the US are for June, but let's assume they will not change much.

Of China's $43 billion surplus, $29 billion of it is from the US, the other $14 billion with the rest of the world.

Analysts claim the "Yuan exchange rate has risen by 13.5 percent since June 2014".

And on May 26, the IMF made this statement "Appreciation over the past year has brought the exchange rate to a level that is no longer undervalued."

Yet, the US deficit with China persists, as do cries of Yuan manipulation in Congress.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Buchanan: Obama vs. Bibi

Posted: 09 Aug 2015 09:24 AM PDT

Pat Buchanan is the only high-profile Republican making any sense on the treaty with Iran.

I discussed this on August 3 in Gulf Countries Now Back Iran Deal; Buchanan Explains Republicans' No-Win Situation.

Obama vs. Bibi

Buchanan continues to hit them out of the park. Here is his latest: Obama v. Bibi -- Fight to the Finish
In his desperation to sink the Iran nuclear deal, Bibi Netanyahu is taking a hellish gamble.

Israel depends upon the United States for $3 billion a year in military aid and diplomatic cover in forums where she is often treated like a pariah state. Israel has also been the beneficiary of almost all the U.S. vetoes in the Security Council.

America is indispensable to Israel. The reverse is not true.

Yet, without telling the White House, Bibi had his U.S. ambassador arrange for him to address a joint session of Congress in March -- to rip up the president's Iran nuclear deal before it was even completed.

Bibi has since inspired and led the campaign to get Congress to kill the deal, the altarpiece of the Obama presidency.

Israel Ambassador Ron Dermer, a former Republican operative now cast in the role of "Citizen Genet," has intensively lobbied the Hill to get Congress to pass a resolution of rejection.

If that resolution passes, as it appears it will, Obama will veto it.

But this is not Israel's deal. It is our deal, and our decision. And Israel is massively interfering in our internal affairs to scuttle a deal the president believes is in the vital interests of the United States.

When the U.S. and Israel disagree over U.S. policy in the Mideast, who decides for America? Them or us?

Why does Barack Obama take this? Why does John Kerry take this?

One can only imagine what President Eisenhower would have done had he seen Bibi at the rostrum of the U.S. House of Representatives, ripping apart his Middle East policy. Or had Ike learned that an Israeli ambassador was working the halls of Congress to kill an arms deal he and John Foster Dulles had just negotiated.

Lest we forget, Ike told his wartime colleague, Prime Minister Anthony Eden, to get his army out of Suez or he would sink the British pound. Ike then told Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion to get his army out of Sinai or face U.S. economic reprisals.

Eden and Ben-Gurion did as they were told.

That was an America respected by friend and foe alike.

When Harry Truman felt that Gen. Douglas MacArthur had been insubordinate in resisting presidential restrictions on his actions in Korea, Truman fired the general and astounded the nation.

Yet this president and John Kerry have been wimpishly seeking for weeks to placate Netanyahu. And Bibi is no Douglas MacArthur.

Time to stop acting like wusses.

The president should declare Dermer persona non grata and send him packing, then tell the Israeli government we will discuss a new arms package when you have a prime minister who understands that no nation interferes in the internal affairs of the United States. None.

That could bring Bibi's government, with its single-vote majority, crashing down. And why not? After all, Bibi was a virtual surrogate for Mitt Romney when Mitt was trying to bring down Obama.

Obama and Kerry are never running again. Deep down, they would surely relish taking Bibi down. And they could do it.

Deal or no deal, it is time America started acted like America again.
The Way to War

Bibi is the way to war. So are the positions of any Republicans who wish to undo this deal. It is both hypocritical and unwise for Republican candidates to moan the US cannot trust Iran, then give Iran every reason to not trust the US.

To help end this mess, the US should do exactly what Buchanan says, send Israel Ambassador Ron Dermer packing.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Seth's Blog : "I didn't do anything"

"I didn't do anything"

That's the first and best defense every toddler learns. If you don't do anything, you don't get in trouble.

Somewhere along the way, it flips. "I didn't do anything when I had the chance," becomes a regret. The lost opportunity, the hand not extended, the skill not learned...

Wouldn't it be great if we knew what our regrets were when we still had time to do something about them?

       

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sâmbătă, 8 august 2015

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis


Plagues of Locusts Invade Russia; Putin's Inane Food Contraband Destruction Policy; Law of Asset Destruction

Posted: 08 Aug 2015 01:22 PM PDT

Putin's Inane Food Contraband Destruction Policy

In an action as economically stupid as president Roosevelt destroying US farm produce during the Great Depression, Russia Incinerates Contraband Food.
One year into its embargo on western food products, Russia has launched a controversial campaign to destroy all contraband meat, dairy and produce, using on-the-spot incinerators, dump trucks, rollers and meat grinders.

On Thursday, three federal agencies began confiscating and burning hundreds of tonnes of illicit cheese, fruit and other goods, acting on a decree signed by Vladimir Putin. Incinerators to destroy the food have been placed at Russian border points stretching from Kaliningrad in the west to St Petersburg in the north and Altai in the east.

By mid-afternoon on Thursday, Russia's agricultural watchdog announced that it had already destroyed 55 tonnes of peaches, nectarines and tomatoes in Smolensk; 20 tonnes of cheese in Orenburg; and nine tonnes of cheese in Belgorod.

In Moscow, the agency said it seized 28 tonnes of meat products from Canada, the Netherlands and Germany and 28 tonnes of Polish apples and tomatoes.

"This work will be performed every day. This is not a one stage campaign — this is serious work," Alexei Alekseenko, a deputy for the agricultural watchdog, told a Russian radio outlet.
Serious Stupidity

This is not "serious work", it's seriously counterproductive stupidity. 

Plagues of Locusts Invade Russia

Under any circumstances, destroying badly needed food items makes no sense, and the insanity of such actions is heightened by the report Plagues of Locusts Darken Skies, Threaten Crops in Southern Russia.
Waves of locusts began around July 20, according to Stavropol's regional agricultural ministry. Vasilii Yegorov, a deputy agricultural minister, told ABC News that locusts appear in the region every year but normally they are able to exterminate them before they hatch.

This year though, Yegorov said, locusts had migrated from neighboring Russian regions, meaning authorities were unable to halt them easily, threatening what is one of Russia's major farming areas.

Swarms have been reported across many other southern regions, stretching from Chechnya to the Astrakhan province on the Caspian Sea. Because of the locusts, a state of emergency has been declared in three regions near Stavropol, according to local media. In Stavropol alone, efforts to kill the insects have stretched across more than 350 miles, according to officials.
Video of Swarming Locusts



I propose a simple economic law.

Law of Asset Destruction

  1. It never makes any sense to destroy your own productive assets.
  2. In war, it may make sense to destroy someone else's assets, but never your own.

To dispute point number one, someone may point to a "teardown" that makes a property more valuable, but in such cases the "teardown" itself should properly be considered a liability on the overall asset.

Putin Enforces EU Embargo on Russia

Once confiscated, rightly or wrongly, those food items became state assets. And Putin destroyed them.

In the process, he missed a grand opportunity to make a mockery of the EU's alleged embargo.

Putin could have and should have said "In spite of EU food embargoes, we get food items from France, Spain, and Italy". A golden opportunity to laugh at the world was tossed into the toilet.

Putin is effectively enforcing the EU's embargo on Russia!

What an economic moron. No other word come close to describing the sheer stupidity of this move.

Addendum:

I had originally called  it the "Law of Productive Assets" but a more fitting title is "Law of Asset Destruction".

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Seth's Blog : Superstition at work

Superstition at work

I got stuck in the EZ Pass lane the other day, my transponder wasn't tripping the sensor.

The grumpy toll man walked over, grabbed it out of my hand and shouted, "You've got too much Velcro! It doesn't work if you have more than a little strip." And then he ripped off the stuff that had been holding it to my window, threw it on the ground and handed it back.

Of course, Velcro has nothing to do with radio waves. And this professional, who had spent years doing nothing but facilitating the interactions between antennae and transponders, refused to believe that, because radio waves are mysterious.

As mysterious as everything else we deal with at work.

We all have superstitions. What time to post? How to dress for a certain kind of meeting. How long to spend at lunch, and whether or not the boss notices if we answer emails within two minutes instead of five...

The idea that spicy foods caused ulcers persisted as a superstition for more than twenty years after doctors proved it was bacteria that were responsible. And countless people were bled by barbers, in the vain hope that it would cure disease.

We're wired to be superstitious (so are dogs, parrots and most other creatures trying to survive), and if your favorite false causation make you feel like you have a bit more control over things, enjoy it. But just as we'd rather not have a veterinarian that brings a rabbit foot into the operating room, when in doubt, it pays to understand what's actually happening and what's merely a crutch.

Especially if you're a rabbit.

       

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vineri, 7 august 2015

Damn Cool Pics

Damn Cool Pics


Bad Girls That Took Drop Dead Sexy Mugshots

Posted: 06 Aug 2015 09:19 PM PDT

Because there's never a bad for a beautiful woman to decide she wants to look sexy in front of the camera.

Possession of a controlled substance



Domestic battery



Open Container



Grand Theft



Public Intoxication



Shoplifting



Domestic Violence



Battery



Underage Possession of Alcohol & Disorderly Conduct




DUI



Shoplifting



DUI



Violating probation



Trespassing



"Violating statutes governing sexually oriented businesses."



Driving under suspension



Disorderly conduct



Criminal mischief between $50-$500



Arson



DUI and fraudulent use of personal information



Resisting officer without violence



Possession of cocaine

Why Effective, Modern SEO Requires Technical, Creative, and Strategic Thinking - Whiteboard Friday - Moz Blog

Why Effective, Modern SEO Requires Technical, Creative, and Strategic Thinking - Whiteboard Friday

Posted by randfish

There's no doubt that quite a bit has changed about SEO, and that the field is far more integrated with other aspects of online marketing than it once was. In today's Whiteboard Friday, Rand pushes back against the idea that effective modern SEO doesn't require any technical expertise, outlining a fantastic list of technical elements that today's SEOs need to know about in order to be truly effective.

Why Effective, Modern SEO Requires Technical, Creative, and Strategic Thinking - Whiteboard Friday

For reference, here's a still of this week's whiteboard. Click on it to open a high resolution image in a new tab!

Video transcription

Howdy, Moz fans, and welcome to another edition of Whiteboard Friday. This week I'm going to do something unusual. I don't usually point out these inconsistencies or sort of take issue with other folks' content on the web, because I generally find that that's not all that valuable and useful. But I'm going to make an exception here.

There is an article by Jayson DeMers, who I think might actually be here in Seattle -- maybe he and I can hang out at some point -- called "Why Modern SEO Requires Almost No Technical Expertise." It was an article that got a shocking amount of traction and attention. On Facebook, it has thousands of shares. On LinkedIn, it did really well. On Twitter, it got a bunch of attention.

Some folks in the SEO world have already pointed out some issues around this. But because of the increasing popularity of this article, and because I think there's, like, this hopefulness from worlds outside of kind of the hardcore SEO world that are looking to this piece and going, "Look, this is great. We don't have to be technical. We don't have to worry about technical things in order to do SEO."

Look, I completely get the appeal of that. I did want to point out some of the reasons why this is not so accurate. At the same time, I don't want to rain on Jayson, because I think that it's very possible he's writing an article for Entrepreneur, maybe he has sort of a commitment to them. Maybe he had no idea that this article was going to spark so much attention and investment. He does make some good points. I think it's just really the title and then some of the messages inside there that I take strong issue with, and so I wanted to bring those up.

First off, some of the good points he did bring up.

One, he wisely says, "You don't need to know how to code or to write and read algorithms in order to do SEO." I totally agree with that. If today you're looking at SEO and you're thinking, "Well, am I going to get more into this subject? Am I going to try investing in SEO? But I don't even know HTML and CSS yet."

Those are good skills to have, and they will help you in SEO, but you don't need them. Jayson's totally right. You don't have to have them, and you can learn and pick up some of these things, and do searches, watch some Whiteboard Fridays, check out some guides, and pick up a lot of that stuff later on as you need it in your career. SEO doesn't have that hard requirement.

And secondly, he makes an intelligent point that we've made many times here at Moz, which is that, broadly speaking, a better user experience is well correlated with better rankings.

You make a great website that delivers great user experience, that provides the answers to searchers' questions and gives them extraordinarily good content, way better than what's out there already in the search results, generally speaking you're going to see happy searchers, and that's going to lead to higher rankings.

But not entirely. There are a lot of other elements that go in here. So I'll bring up some frustrating points around the piece as well.

First off, there's no acknowledgment -- and I find this a little disturbing -- that the ability to read and write code, or even HTML and CSS, which I think are the basic place to start, is helpful or can take your SEO efforts to the next level. I think both of those things are true.

So being able to look at a web page, view source on it, or pull up Firebug in Firefox or something and diagnose what's going on and then go, "Oh, that's why Google is not able to see this content. That's why we're not ranking for this keyword or term, or why even when I enter this exact sentence in quotes into Google, which is on our page, this is why it's not bringing it up. It's because it's loading it after the page from a remote file that Google can't access." These are technical things, and being able to see how that code is built, how it's structured, and what's going on there, very, very helpful.

Some coding knowledge also can take your SEO efforts even further. I mean, so many times, SEOs are stymied by the conversations that we have with our programmers and our developers and the technical staff on our teams. When we can have those conversations intelligently, because at least we understand the principles of how an if-then statement works, or what software engineering best practices are being used, or they can upload something into a GitHub repository, and we can take a look at it there, that kind of stuff is really helpful.

Secondly, I don't like that the article overly reduces all of this information that we have about what we've learned about Google. So he mentions two sources. One is things that Google tells us, and others are SEO experiments. I think both of those are true. Although I'd add that there's sort of a sixth sense of knowledge that we gain over time from looking at many, many search results and kind of having this feel for why things rank, and what might be wrong with a site, and getting really good at that using tools and data as well. There are people who can look at Open Site Explorer and then go, "Aha, I bet this is going to happen." They can look, and 90% of the time they're right.

So he boils this down to, one, write quality content, and two, reduce your bounce rate. Neither of those things are wrong. You should write quality content, although I'd argue there are lots of other forms of quality content that aren't necessarily written -- video, images and graphics, podcasts, lots of other stuff.

And secondly, that just doing those two things is not always enough. So you can see, like many, many folks look and go, "I have quality content. It has a low bounce rate. How come I don't rank better?" Well, your competitors, they're also going to have quality content with a low bounce rate. That's not a very high bar.

Also, frustratingly, this really gets in my craw. I don't think "write quality content" means anything. You tell me. When you hear that, to me that is a totally non-actionable, non-useful phrase that's a piece of advice that is so generic as to be discardable. So I really wish that there was more substance behind that.

The article also makes, in my opinion, the totally inaccurate claim that modern SEO really is reduced to "the happier your users are when they visit your site, the higher you're going to rank."

Wow. Okay. Again, I think broadly these things are correlated. User happiness and rank is broadly correlated, but it's not a one to one. This is not like a, "Oh, well, that's a 1.0 correlation."

I would guess that the correlation is probably closer to like the page authority range. I bet it's like 0.35 or something correlation. If you were to actually measure this broadly across the web and say like, "Hey, were you happier with result one, two, three, four, or five," the ordering would not be perfect at all. It probably wouldn't even be close.

There's a ton of reasons why sometimes someone who ranks on Page 2 or Page 3 or doesn't rank at all for a query is doing a better piece of content than the person who does rank well or ranks on Page 1, Position 1.

Then the article suggests five and sort of a half steps to successful modern SEO, which I think is a really incomplete list. So Jayson gives us;

  • Good on-site experience
  • Writing good content
  • Getting others to acknowledge you as an authority
  • Rising in social popularity
  • Earning local relevance
  • Dealing with modern CMS systems (which he notes most modern CMS systems are SEO-friendly)

The thing is there's nothing actually wrong with any of these. They're all, generally speaking, correct, either directly or indirectly related to SEO. The one about local relevance, I have some issue with, because he doesn't note that there's a separate algorithm for sort of how local SEO is done and how Google ranks local sites in maps and in their local search results. Also not noted is that rising in social popularity won't necessarily directly help your SEO, although it can have indirect and positive benefits.

I feel like this list is super incomplete. Okay, I brainstormed just off the top of my head in the 10 minutes before we filmed this video a list. The list was so long that, as you can see, I filled up the whole whiteboard and then didn't have any more room. I'm not going to bother to erase and go try and be absolutely complete.

But there's a huge, huge number of things that are important, critically important for technical SEO. If you don't know how to do these things, you are sunk in many cases. You can't be an effective SEO analyst, or consultant, or in-house team member, because you simply can't diagnose the potential problems, rectify those potential problems, identify strategies that your competitors are using, be able to diagnose a traffic gain or loss. You have to have these skills in order to do that.

I'll run through these quickly, but really the idea is just that this list is so huge and so long that I think it's very, very, very wrong to say technical SEO is behind us. I almost feel like the opposite is true.

We have to be able to understand things like;

  • Content rendering and indexability
  • Crawl structure, internal links, JavaScript, Ajax. If something's post-loading after the page and Google's not able to index it, or there are links that are accessible via JavaScript or Ajax, maybe Google can't necessarily see those or isn't crawling them as effectively, or is crawling them, but isn't assigning them as much link weight as they might be assigning other stuff, and you've made it tough to link to them externally, and so they can't crawl it.
  • Disabling crawling and/or indexing of thin or incomplete or non-search-targeted content. We have a bunch of search results pages. Should we use rel=prev/next? Should we robots.txt those out? Should we disallow from crawling with meta robots? Should we rel=canonical them to other pages? Should we exclude them via the protocols inside Google Webmaster Tools, which is now Google Search Console?
  • Managing redirects, domain migrations, content updates. A new piece of content comes out, replacing an old piece of content, what do we do with that old piece of content? What's the best practice? It varies by different things. We have a whole Whiteboard Friday about the different things that you could do with that. What about a big redirect or a domain migration? You buy another company and you're redirecting their site to your site. You have to understand things about subdomain structures versus subfolders, which, again, we've done another Whiteboard Friday about that.
  • Proper error codes, downtime procedures, and not found pages. If your 404 pages turn out to all be 200 pages, well, now you've made a big error there, and Google could be crawling tons of 404 pages that they think are real pages, because you've made it a status code 200, or you've used a 404 code when you should have used a 410, which is a permanently removed, to be able to get it completely out of the indexes, as opposed to having Google revisit it and keep it in the index.

Downtime procedures. So there's specifically a... I can't even remember. It's a 5xx code that you can use. Maybe it was a 503 or something that you can use that's like, "Revisit later. We're having some downtime right now." Google urges you to use that specific code rather than using a 404, which tells them, "This page is now an error."

Disney had that problem a while ago, if you guys remember, where they 404ed all their pages during an hour of downtime, and then their homepage, when you searched for Disney World, was, like, "Not found." Oh, jeez, Disney World, not so good.

  • International and multi-language targeting issues. I won't go into that. But you have to know the protocols there. Duplicate content, syndication, scrapers. How do we handle all that? Somebody else wants to take our content, put it on their site, what should we do? Someone's scraping our content. What can we do? We have duplicate content on our own site. What should we do?
  • Diagnosing traffic drops via analytics and metrics. Being able to look at a rankings report, being able to look at analytics connecting those up and trying to see: Why did we go up or down? Did we have less pages being indexed, more pages being indexed, more pages getting traffic less, more keywords less?
  • Understanding advanced search parameters. Today, just today, I was checking out the related parameter in Google, which is fascinating for most sites. Well, for Moz, weirdly, related:oursite.com shows nothing. But for virtually every other sit, well, most other sites on the web, it does show some really interesting data, and you can see how Google is connecting up, essentially, intentions and topics from different sites and pages, which can be fascinating, could expose opportunities for links, could expose understanding of how they view your site versus your competition or who they think your competition is.

Then there are tons of parameters, like in URL and in anchor, and da, da, da, da. In anchor doesn't work anymore, never mind about that one.

I have to go faster, because we're just going to run out of these. Like, come on. Interpreting and leveraging data in Google Search Console. If you don't know how to use that, Google could be telling you, you have all sorts of errors, and you don't know what they are.

  • Leveraging topic modeling and extraction. Using all these cool tools that are coming out for better keyword research and better on-page targeting. I talked about a couple of those at MozCon, like MonkeyLearn. There's the new Moz Context API, which will be coming out soon, around that. There's the Alchemy API, which a lot of folks really like and use.
  • Identifying and extracting opportunities based on site crawls. You run a Screaming Frog crawl on your site and you're going, "Oh, here's all these problems and issues." If you don't have these technical skills, you can't diagnose that. You can't figure out what's wrong. You can't figure out what needs fixing, what needs addressing.
  • Using rich snippet format to stand out in the SERPs. This is just getting a better click-through rate, which can seriously help your site and obviously your traffic.
  • Applying Google-supported protocols like rel=canonical, meta description, rel=prev/next, hreflang, robots.txt, meta robots, x robots, NOODP, XML sitemaps, rel=nofollow. The list goes on and on and on. If you're not technical, you don't know what those are, you think you just need to write good content and lower your bounce rate, it's not going to work.
  • Using APIs from services like AdWords or MozScape, or hrefs from Majestic, or SEM refs from SearchScape or Alchemy API. Those APIs can have powerful things that they can do for your site. There are some powerful problems they could help you solve if you know how to use them. It's actually not that hard to write something, even inside a Google Doc or Excel, to pull from an API and get some data in there. There's a bunch of good tutorials out there. Richard Baxter has one, Annie Cushing has one, I think Distilled has some. So really cool stuff there.
  • Diagnosing page load speed issues, which goes right to what Jayson was talking about. You need that fast-loading page. Well, if you don't have any technical skills, you can't figure out why your page might not be loading quickly.
  • Diagnosing mobile friendliness issues
  • Advising app developers on the new protocols around App deep linking, so that you can get the content from your mobile apps into the web search results on mobile devices. Awesome. Super powerful. Potentially crazy powerful, as mobile search is becoming bigger than desktop.

Okay, I'm going to take a deep breath and relax. I don't know Jayson's intention, and in fact, if he were in this room, he'd be like, "No, I totally agree with all those things. I wrote the article in a rush. I had no idea it was going to be big. I was just trying to make the broader points around you don't have to be a coder in order to do SEO." That's completely fine.

So I'm not going to try and rain criticism down on him. But I think if you're reading that article, or you're seeing it in your feed, or your clients are, or your boss is, or other folks are in your world, maybe you can point them to this Whiteboard Friday and let them know, no, that's not quite right. There's a ton of technical SEO that is required in 2015 and will be for years to come, I think, that SEOs have to have in order to be effective at their jobs.

All right, everyone. Look forward to some great comments, and we'll see you again next time for another edition of Whiteboard Friday. Take care.

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Content marketing: how to create better content

Content marketing: how to create better content

Link to White.net » Blog

Content marketing: how to create better content

Posted: 06 Aug 2015 01:25 AM PDT

Over the past few months I’ve had some hands on experience with content marketing and have spent time delving into articles and blogs around the topic. I have also had the benefit of attending a content marketing workshop with General Assembly London. The workshop was very beneficial and I have taken away new tips and techniques that I will definitely be using in the future.

Based on all of this, I wanted to share some of the processes and techniques I have learnt to help create better content. So, let's get started…

Where do I start?

Ever been sat at your desk with a blank screen in front of you wondering where on earth to begin?

You are not alone, it's a frustrating process creating relevant and engaging content for your readers. The content marketing workshop at General Assembly London has been particularly helpful in opening up my mind to a new way of thinking.

I have created a simple 3 step process developed from my key takeaways of the workshop displaying how I generate content ideas, beneficial for both work and my personal blog and hopefully for you too.

source + purpose + format = engaged content

1) Source

Firstly you will need to decide on how your content will be sourced. You may want to recycle or curate your content, this is the easiest option if you are pushed for time. Creating original content can sometimes be time consuming but definitely worth the results. Here is a list of different sources you can use when generating content ideas:

Content sources

2) Purpose

Before you begin writing your content you will need to define a clear purpose to make sure your content is targeted and reaches your ideal audience. You'll also want to determine your end goal, ask yourself what you want to achieve from developing content.

  • Are you wanting to build and sustain trust?
  • Do you want to attract new visitors/sales?
  • Are you looking to create customer loyalty?

All of these are great reasons to invest in content marketing, here are just a few more ideas you may want to consider when purposing your content:

Content purpose

Your content should provide answers

Your content should also aim to solve problems and offer solutions by providing answers that are of value to the user. Avoiding the hard product selling is all well and good but it's vital not to go off track, your story should always have a purpose and avoid becoming too general and bland. Provide answers and give your readers a reason to stay and to return in the future.

3) Format

Now that you have defined the source and purpose of your content you are ready to dive in to the next step. There are many different ways you can format your content, you will need to decide what fit is best for your business but also what is best for this particular piece of content.

To help you along here are just a few of many ideas that you can use for formatting next time you are creating a piece of content:

Content formats

The power of storytelling

Storytelling is important when creating thought provoking content. It creates a relatable and engaging experience for the user, therefore having a higher likelihood of leaving a lasting impression on the reader. Connecting on a rational level is not enough, stories spark emotions and this allows brands to connect with their customers. The fact is everyone has a story to tell and all stories have a core message. By telling stories it allows for open interpretation enabling the reader to explore, learn and discover.

Focus on creating strong headlines

Headlines are the first thing that people see but are often neglected. Headlines are essentially what drive people to your content, increasing click-through rates. Your headlines will need to spark interest, to do this you can use trigger words such as 'what', 'why', 'how' or 'when'.

Numbers in headlines also work well to capture the reader's attention; e.g. '12 ways to create strong headlines'. Using strong adjectives such as 'essential' and ''creative' and other words that elicit an emotional response such as 'secrets', 'lessons' and 'principles' also work well to attract the user's attention.

Connecting your headline to your content is just as important. If the user cannot find what they are looking for, they will simply leave your page.

Tip: Create your headline after you have created your piece of content to ensure your content and headline are aligned with one another.

Summary

Overall, creating good content can be a challenge but with the right strategy in place it can ease the process. Content creation is definitely something that takes time, you also won't see results immediately. However, if you are consistent you will definitely start to see traffic increase over time.

Do you any specific techniques that you use to help you when creating content? I'd love to hear from you.

The post Content marketing: how to create better content appeared first on White.net.

The Science Behind PPC – A Chemist’s Introduction to Digital Marketing

Posted: 04 Aug 2015 12:00 AM PDT

Three weeks ago, I joined the PPC team at White. Let me be the first to put my hand up and say I never expected to end up in digital marketing. I recently graduated from Oxford University with a Masters in Chemistry. But, having hung up my lab coat and specs, I began my foray into the world of digital. Now, three weeks in, having passed my AdWords qualifications and already been given the opportunity to do some hands-on work with a number of our clients, I'm loving it.

A question I've recently been asked is "Why digital marketing? Isn't that a strange choice for a chemist?"

Well, No.

Whilst the beauty of PPC is that it lends itself as a great career for people from a number of different backgrounds, for me PPC is a science. But instead of turning up to a lab on Monday morning, I'm logging into an AdWords account. From there, however, the thought process is much the same…

Here's my take on the science behind PPC.

Step 1: Understanding your Goals

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Before beginning any science experiment it's important to have thought about what you are trying to achieve. The same is true with PPC. What is the goal of my campaign?

Am I trying to increase brand awareness, drive conversions or traffic to my website? Which Google network does my campaign best lend itself to? Will a text ad suffice or will a visual display have a greater impact?

More importantly, how will this goal effect what I put into and take from the experiment? In the same way the product of a chemical reaction affects the type of spectra you are going to collect, the goal of your PPC campaign will determine the way you will bid and also how you'll monitor its progress. You will receive a lot of data from AdWords so it's important to think ahead of time about which statistics define your progress towards your goals.

With the goal decided, next comes…

Step 2: Background Research

We used to use a motto in the lab – "A negative result is still a result" (normally as an antidote to a particularly bad day!) – but, as anyone who has worked any length of time in a lab will tell you, getting it wrong costs money. Whilst inevitable at times, it's something you're going to want to minimise in the long run.

The same applies to PPC. Every time someone clicks on your ad you are going to be charged, so you want to ensure that the majority of those clicks are producing positive results for your campaign. How can we ensure this? Well it begins with careful background research.

It helps to consider the what, where and how of your target audience.

What? What is my target audience interested in? What terms are my customers using to describe the product or service in my campaign? What's the search volume and competition for related keywords?

Where? Where are my target audience? Both geographically and online? Are they spending a lot of their time on search engines or browsing blogs and other websites related to certain topics?

How? How are my audience accessing this content online? What devices are they using?

It's likely you won't know the answer to a lot of these questions yet, but stopping to consider the answers you do know can help get your campaign off to a good start.

In the lab you also need to consider the cost and availability of your raw materials. For PPC your raw materials are your keywords. For each keyword we need to consider the relevance (to both your campaign and your audience), popularity and cost, and then weight each factor with the keywords likelihood of delivering a good ROI.

Finally, like combining your raw materials with your catalyst, solvent and conditions, how will I combine my keywords with my bids and ad creatives to create that winning combination?

Step 3: Setting Up the Experiment and Analysing the Results

image 4

With your goals decided and your background research completed it's time to set up your experiments and start collecting data.

It's helpful to use a systematic approach to setting up campaigns – grouping your products (landing pages on your website) and keywords into categories or 'ad groups' and then writing individual ads and ad extensions with those keywords in mind. Along with improving overall tidiness, this also gives you a good shot at securing that all important good quality score straight off the bat.

When monitoring your results, pay careful attention to those areas that are related to the goals you've previously decided. As your campaign progresses you'll also be able to piece more information together about your target audience answering the what, where and how questions in more detail.

Step 4: Optimising – Testing Variables

If I can pass on just one thing gleaned from the world of science it would be this: When optimising your experiments be careful not to change too many variables at once.

You're going to want to use the data you've collected from step three to improve your campaigns performance. This is best achieved through a measured temperament and a series of small changes.

There is no point going all out and adding some more keywords, changing match types, altering your bids, placements, ad text, landing pages and targeting options. With this method, you'll be unable to determine the cause of any subsequent change to your performance, good or bad, and as a result any future optimising, will be guess work.

And there you have it. Four steps straight from the lab applied to the world of PPC. Not such a strange place for a chemist after all!

The post The Science Behind PPC – A Chemist's Introduction to Digital Marketing appeared first on White.net.