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sâmbătă, 11 mai 2013

Weekly Address: Growing the Housing Market and Supporting Our Homeowners

Saturday, May 11, 2013

Weekly Address: Growing the Housing Market and Supporting Our Homeowners

President Obama discusses the housing market, urging Congress to confirm Mel Watt to lead the Federal Housing Finance Agency and take action to give every responsible homeowner the chance to refinance and save money on their mortgage.

Watch this week's Weekly Address.

Calling All Healthy Recipes

Let's Move!, First Lady Michelle Obama's initiative to raise a healthier generation of kids, is thrilled to announce the Second Healthy Lunchtime Challenge & Kids' State Dinner -- a nationwide recipe challenge just for kids.

We invite parents or guardians and their kids, ages 8-12, to create and submit an original lunch recipe that includes fruits, vegetables, whole grains, lean proteins, or low-fat dairy foods. The creators of the winning recipes will have a chance to come to the White House for their very own Kids' State Dinner. Better hurry -- the deadline for entries is tomorrow, May 12th.

Submit a recipe for the Healthy Lunchtime Challenge here.

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The Clients I Can't Afford To Take

Posted: 10 May 2013 07:06 AM PDT

Posted by Bill Sebald

This post was originally in YouMoz, and was promoted to the main blog because it provides great value and interest to our community. The author's views are entirely his or her own and may not reflect the views of SEOmoz, Inc.

Creating demand where none currently exists is the expertise of a bullshit artist. Some in sales would take offense to that statement; some would agree. Where I believe this talent fails is with a particular kind of recurring revenue service – consulting and agency work. Inevitably you run out of steam and alibis. If you can’t produce what you promise, you either have to pack up your wagon and flee to another dusty town (which, let’s face it, is how some SEOs and digital marketers practice), or suffer sleepless nights worrying about facing your clients in the morning.

Personally, I don’t like traveling. I also really like my sleep.

This is a post about how I choose better clients. It starts with introspection, and ends with a connection. For each of these tips, I’m thinking specifically of a client I let walk away. If a strong partnership is what you seek, then you have to be able to decline potential clients. The customer is not always right. Sometimes they’re downright dangerous.

Now, I know this isn’t possible in every company. An agency I worked with rarely says no to work. Bad clients pile on and contribute to driving away employees in routine mass departures. When I was worked there relationships got contentious, and frankly, I didn’t see a lot of flawless consulting happening. The phrase we used around the office to convince ourselves this was normal was, “that’s agency life.”

I came to learn that wasn’t agency life.

To remind ourselves of some of the marketing ideologies we learned in college; most retailers employ the marketing department philosophy, whereas search fits the marketing concept. In SEO marketing we want to answer the searches being made more often than any other task, which may not fit nicely into a clients’ ROI demands. Luckily, this is something we can get ahead of with early, open communication with the prospect. Sometimes you're able to reset expectations, sometimes not (where I kindly refer them to someone more of their mindset). It's important to ask goal-oriented questions here, and give a real thought to what you're positioned to achieve. What do they consider success? Does it match your beliefs? Have they had SEO before, and what were their frustrations? Are you better for them? Can you help them help you help them?

If you can truly embrace what you are as a service provider, and nurture deals accordingly, you’re in a very fortunate position. If you can perform SEO under the auspice of what is required for the client, instead of what the client thinks needs to be done, you’re well on your way to a successful partnership.

Clients I Avoid

Sometimes you need to cut the line before you reel in the catch. Once the catch breaks the water line, do you see a snagged horseshoe crab? Cut it. Did you pull in flounder? Invite me over for dinner. I’m a student of psychology and naturally think I size people up pretty well. There are basically three traits (or character flaws) that I am on high-alert for. As soon as I hit one, not only do I feel compelled to be reserved, but I close up – sometimes prematurely. Here are some of the personality types I avoid, and some tips on uncovering their true identities.

(Caveat: First impressions aren’t always accurate. First impressions should not the last chance to make a good impression. It’s very easy to misread people. I do keep that in the back of my head, just to balance me out.)

The Egomaniac

Some prospects may want to impress you. Sometimes they routinely impress themselves. Personally, I find them awfully hard to communicate with. You know the traits – they ask you questions only to cut you off and answer themselves. They are micro-managers. They brag incessantly about their past experiences. They believe they’re the only one that can truly defeat Superman.

They’re the type of person to say, “I didn’t get to where I am by not speaking up.” While on paper that sounds like a good trait, these can also be the people who have trouble accepting someone else’s expertise. They may not see the value of your otherwise salient recommendations. They tend to only respect other egomaniacs

But sometimes this is a front. Sometimes the egomaniac is socially awkward. A good skill in business is recognizing emotions, character flaws, and humanity when it really exists. Sometimes the egomaniac thinks he needs to be a killer. I have seen this disguise many, many times in my career.

I remember a client who managed to take down an entire marketing department with a previous agency. He was a product of a big name business advisor firm (name left out to prevent lawsuits) and drove some of my co-workers into therapy – honestly. There may have been no pleasing him, but the powers that be refused to cut ties. We weren’t able to do what we knew was best; we ultimately became an order taker for someone who wasn’t an expert in our field, but thought he was. This guy may truly be a serial killer at large.

Alternatively, I recall meeting with a prospect that ran an unimpressive ecommerce business. During the initial meeting I found myself listening to an hour long diatribe about him and how he shaped the company into what they are today. Interesting and something worth knowing in detail down the line, but I was there to talk about how I could help with their SEO. After finally asking two questions, in which I maybe got three words out, it was pretty clear this wasn’t going to be a productive meeting. Still, I stayed with the pitch process. Fortunately I made the right move, as this marketing director turned out to be more bark than bite. We’ve had a pretty successful three year run together, once the pretences went away.

I need a point person I want to spend time with. If the real soul of the point person and company can’t be lured out quickly, it may be a dead deal for me.

What to Do

Embrace the company culture and team’s personality. Try to be yourself, not who you think they want you to be. Ultimately you want a partner and a friend, not just a client and paycheck. If you don’t have an egomaniac account manager, this relationship could go down in flames.

Make it personal, but don’t take it personally. I always try finding something in common with the prospects. It’s a sales tactic for sure, and an ice breaker, but I find it useful to quickly peel back the personality layers. I try to see who they really are. I remember a client pitch where I learned the CMO was in a Philly band. Knowing the band, and playing music myself, we were able to connect on a non-business level. I know this is a crazy concept for some agencies that prefer to be more formal, but It really helps you understand the personality and temperament of the people you’re going to be working with.

Maybe it’s not your call to accept or deny the egomaniac, micro-managing client. In some cases you can still make it work. Communication (and some good habits) can go a long way in getting the client to bond with you, without you throwing away any integrity. We’ve all had a micro-managing boss at one time in our lives. Take some learnings from that experience. There are plenty of great tips online for that problem that can be leveraged with a micromanaging client:

The Dictator

Some clients (think they) know exactly what they want. That can be a good thing. Sometimes though, they don’t want it the way you deliver it. It’s vital to know when you simply can’t deliver. How can you under-promise and over-deliver if you aren’t structured to meet their simplest expectations? Have you ever gotten a hamburger right at McDonald’s when you told them to make it special? No – it’s impossible. The employees have panic attacks behind the grill. It’s not how McDonald’s is built.

I had one prospect reach out to me about six months ago. We had worked together in a small capacity before. He told me precisely what he was looking for – he required someone to manage a department that needed to communicate with the Sydney office at 6 am, and required I hit a certain goal each month. This was a goal I not only didn’t believe was reasonable, but probably impossible (not to mention the only time I’m up at 6 am is when I haven’t fallen asleep yet).

My services aren’t excessively flexible by design – I simply can’t answer all the demands of most dictators. My services have a specific design with defined specialties. I know my team’s strengths and weaknesses. I know my plan in and out, and would have struck out with his needs. I had to face the facts and let that prospect go, even though it was a nice payday.

What to Do

Try to break the “we’ll take anything” model. That’s how people get hurt – including your employees. A client’s SEO and digital marketing need has become ubiquitous. Maybe they’ll be open to your specialized take on their business?

Never over-promise. Never wear a hat you don’t own. Stay calm. SEOs are in a great position already, with a great inherent value. Sometimes there are other providers who can do a better job than you in a certain area, so why not let them? Build some relationships between other service providers and create “friendly-competition”. When a client says "I want this," say "we do this." Keep it professional and offer to help them find someone who fits their model.

This may create serendipity and good karma. I’ve actually gotten referrals from prospects I’ve turned down. Not often, but it’s the magic of networking, relationships, and good deeds. Never underestimate the power of serendipity:

The Negotiator

It’s great to be on the payer side of negotiation. I find negotiating deals quite fun. But when the tables are turned, and I’m the service provider, I flex very little in price. It’s less because I’m a jerk and more because of my respect for my work and values.

Wharton grads are taught to believe in what they’re worth; anything less and you’re potentially softening the product. When a client tells me his budget is X, and I need it to by upwards around Y, the negotiation needs to stop. This was a huge lesson I learned after years of thinking about cash flow, and not quality of life.

I recently had a prospect that came to me and asked if I was available for consulting. As I always do, I brought up the budget question early on. He said, “I can spend about $300 a month.” Now I know some SEOs can stretch that and get rankings. I’m always impressed by these guys, but at that rate, I would fall on my face (and my sword). I’d fail at providing the only values I know how to create. I’d be scrambling to get good work done, and in the end, it would probably not be worth the aggravation after taxes.

Still, I tried to help him find someone who was better suited, while advising that his monthly fee was more likely to attract amateurs that might cost him more in the end. He was able to come up a little and I was able to refer him to another local SEO who fit his needs much better. Again, investing in serendipity.

I can’t say this enough - Take a bad deal financially and you will pay for it. I’ve never seen a need to pad the price for negotiation in our industry. We’re not selling used cars here.

What to Do

Don’t budge unless you’ve priced yourself out of the market. Also, don’t risk putting yourself in a bad relationship because you settled. It doesn’t tend to work out in marriage, government, or business.

Clearly display all the items a client could be getting in an engagement with you and encourage the prospect to see the value if they “pay up” instead of going with an amateur. If you have a price you’re proud of, then you should also have results and confidence to stand behind.

Some agencies find it very difficult to talk about money, as it gets slipped in as a line item at the back of a proposal. These proposals are often written after hours of conversations. I propose you bring the money conversation early to qualify your prospects. I go so far as put my rates and packages right on my website and always encourage my prospects to review those pages in an introductory email. I don’t like wasting hours on a deal that was never meant to be. I’ve found this to be a very positive technique to getting deals signed quickly, as some clients prefer the openness and honesty. Not everyone likes haggling, and will happily pay a price when they know it’s fair.

Conclusion

Sometimes a bad client can teach you how to be a better consultant, but I don’t wish a bad client upon anyone. In my 10+ years of consulting, I’d like to think the lessons I learned (some of which I’m sharing here) can really be learned through some tough and common sense.

Agencies are busy places, but you need to take time (off-sites work nicely) to really figure out what your service model is. Whether it’s from the top down, or just your specific department, having a thought out manifesto on the clients you’re not going to take could be transformational to the success of your consulting business.

Oh, and if by chance you encounter a hybrid of all these client-types above, the only tip I have is… flee. I’ve yet to find any way to tame this three-headed egotistical, dictating, negotiating creature. That’s schizophrenia on a level I can’t even comprehend.

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Seth's Blog : Lead up

Lead up

What you were trained to do: wait for a good, generous, munificent, tasteful, smart boss or client to tell you what to do.

If that doesn't happen, blame the system, blame the boss, blame the client. If the work is lousy, it's the client's fault. If the boss doesn't see or understand your insight, that's his fault. You are here to serve, and if they don't get it, well, that's too bad for all concerned.

What you might consider: Lead up.

A great designer gets great clients because she deserves them. One of the ways that she became a great designer was by leading her clients to make good decisions, to have better taste, to understand her insight and have the guts to back it. That doesn't happen randomly. It happens when someone leads up.

A successful middle manager gets promoted when she takes the right amount of initiative, defers the right amount of credit and orchestrates success. That success might happen despite (not because) of who her bosses are, and that's just fine, because she's leading up.

In many ways, we get the bosses and clients we deserve. If they're holding you back, change them.

We have an astonishing amount of freedom at work. Not just the freedom to call meetings, make phone calls and pitch ideas, but yes, the freedom to quit, to find a new gig, to pick the clients we're going to take on and to decide how we're going to deal with a request from someone who seems to have far more power than we do. "Yes, sir" is one possible answer, but so is leading from below, creating a reputation and an environment where the people around you are transformed into the bosses you deserve.

When you do this with intention, it gets easier and easier. From afar, it seems impossible, and it will be until you commit to it.

Do it on purpose
Tell stories that resonate with those in charge
Demand responsibility, don't worry about authority
Reflect credit, embrace blame
Earn the right by taking small steps
Convene, organize, learn, teach and lay the foundation
If they don't get it, go somewhere that does [slash] hire better clients, regardless of the fee

• Email to a friend •

vineri, 10 mai 2013

Mish's Global Economic Trend Analysis

Germany France Feud Erupts Again; German Central Bank Head Blasts France
Huge Bubble in India Home Prices Ready to Burst
US Crude Exports to Canada Triple; Brent WTI Crude Spread Lowest in Over Two Years
Nikkei up another 3% as Yen Breaks .99; Japanese Bonds Halted; Be Careful of What You Ask

Germany France Feud Erupts Again; German Central Bank Head Blasts France

Posted: 10 May 2013 10:29 PM PDT

The simmering stew between Germany and France boiled over again this week as German Central Bank Head Blasts France.

France needs more time to get its budget deficit under control. That much was made clear last Friday when the European Commission announced it was granting Paris until 2015 to bring its budget deficit below the maximum 3 percent of gross domestic product allowed by European Union rules ensuring the stability of the euro.

But on Wednesday evening, Jens Weidmann, the president of Germany's central bank, the Bundesbank, said he is adamantly opposed to the move. "You can't call that savings, as far as I am concerned," he told the daily Westdeutsche Allegemeine Zeitung in an interview. "To win back trust, we can't just establish rules and then promise to fulfil them at some point in the future. They have to be filled with life," Weidmann said.

France had originally hoped to reduce its budget deficit below the 3 percent limit this year, but with its economy suffering, the deficit is likely to be closer to 4 percent and slightly higher in 2014.

Immediately following the announcement from Brussels, French Finance Minister Pierre Moscovici said that Paris planned to scale back its austerity measures. "We don't want excessive consolidation for our country, we don't want austerity beyond what is necessary," he said.

Expect Budget Failure in 2013, in 2014, in 2015

With socialists in complete control of France, especially with Francois Hollande at the helm, do not expect France to meet its deficit targets this year, next year, or in 2015.

Indeed, given that French presidential terms are 5 years in length, it may be quite some time before France shows any economic improvement at all, let alone be able to meet terms of the eurozone treaty.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Huge Bubble in India Home Prices Ready to Burst

Posted: 10 May 2013 11:50 AM PDT

Here are some interesting charts by Deepak Shenoy on the India Housing Bubble.

India HPI

click on any chart for sharper image

India home prices have been going up at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26% since March of 2009.

Mumbai and Delhi

Shenoy reports Mumbai is growing at a CAGR of 30%, and Dehli is up 47% from a year ago and 250% since March 2009.

Note the transaction volume in Delhi. Transaction volumes and prices are interesting in Bangalore and Chennai as well.

Bangalore and Chennai

Shenoy has details on five other cities as well. Inquiring minds may wish to take a look.

He writes "While India as a composite country is not at a bubble stage right now, it's important to note that various bubbles are building up in individual cities. If any of these bubbles worsens, then it is likely that other cities will follow. There are no un-correlated prices in a crisis."

I would suggest that India as a composite certainly is in a housing bubble. The overall HPI shows just that.

India Inflation

India Consumer Price Index data by YCharts

Home prices have increased far more rapidly than reported inflation, which I propose is hugely understated.

Inflation measures typically do not reflect actual property prices and certainly do not reflect other asset bubbles.

For a discussion, please see Hugely Negative Real Interest Rates Fuel Yet Another Housing Bubble; A Word About "Inflation" and Treasury Yields.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

US Crude Exports to Canada Triple; Brent WTI Crude Spread Lowest in Over Two Years

Posted: 10 May 2013 10:07 AM PDT

Brent vs. WTI

Brent Crude Oil Spot Price

Brent WTI Spread

Brent WTI Spread

Note the drop in the spread between the US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude future and the Brent future, a benchmark price of European, African and Middle Eastern oil.

The futures diverged sharply in late 2010 and are now converging.

US Crude Exports to Canada Triple

Bloomberg reports Brent Pressured by U.S. Tripling Crude to Canada.

U.S. oil exports are poised to reach the highest level in 28 years as deliveries to Canada more than triple, helping bring down the price of the global benchmark Brent crude relative to U.S. grades.

The shipments will rise to at least 200,000 barrels a day by the end of the year, according to Ed Morse, head of global commodities research at Citigroup Global Markets Inc. Exports were 59,600 in 2012 and haven't averaged more than 200,000 since 1985. The U.S. restricts companies from sending American crude abroad, with Canada an exception.

The premium for Brent, used to price European and West African crude, over U.S. West Texas Intermediate narrowed to less than $8 a barrel this week from $25.53 in November.

Exports to Canada doubled in February from a year earlier to 124,000 barrels a day, the highest level since 1999, according to U.S. Energy Information Administration data. Canadian refineries might be able to process "a couple hundred thousand barrels a day" from the U.S., Adam Sieminski, the EIA's administrator, said in an interview in Houston.

Gasoline Prices

The government probably won't change export rules while parts of the country still pay $4 a gallon for gasoline, said Stacey Hudson, a senior research associate with Raymond James & Associates Inc. in Houston. Shipments to Canada are a way to tap into a foreign market while avoiding that debate.

Does This Debunk Peak Oil?

Inquiring minds may be wondering if this debunks peak oil theory. No it doesn't. Here's a quick three-point explanation.

US energy consumption has fallen yet price is still high.
High prices allows for marginal production.
New techniques allow production in previously unworkable oil fields.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Nikkei up another 3% as Yen Breaks .99; Japanese Bonds Halted; Be Careful of What You Ask

Posted: 09 May 2013 11:07 PM PDT

The Yen continued its plunge Wednesday evening (Thursday in Japan) dipping below the .99 level after having busted the 1.00 level to the downside for the first time since April 2009.

click on chart for sharper image

In response, the Nikkei rose as much as 3%, now up a "modest" 375 points (2.65%) as of 1:00AM Central.

Zerohedge reports Japanese Government Bonds Halted Limit Down; Yields Spike To 10 Week High; Worst Day In 5 Years.

Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is playing not with matches but with dynamite with his 2% inflation mandate widely known as "Abenomics". So far, Abe's policies are popular (at least from exporters), yet I caution once again "Be Careful of What You Ask, You May Get It".

There is no reason at all to believe Japan can easily contain this mess should inflation get out of hand. A mere rise in interest rates to 3% would consume Japan's entire tax revenue just on interest on its national debt.

This will not end well for Japan.

Mike "Mish" Shedlock
http://globaleconomicanalysis.blogspot.com

Damn Cool Pics

90's Rave Kids vs Today's Rave Kids
DIY Batmobile
Travel Hacking Vegas: Las Vegas Deals [Infographic]
Geometric Tattoos
Living in a Ghetto

90's Rave Kids vs Today's Rave Kids

Posted: 10 May 2013 08:59 AM PDT

A lot has changed during the last 15-20 years.

DIY Batmobile

Posted: 10 May 2013 08:24 AM PDT

How to build a Batmobile for your kid.

Travel Hacking Vegas: Las Vegas Deals [Infographic]

Posted: 10 May 2013 08:08 AM PDT

Ahhh, Las Vegas. Land of gambling, buffets, and wedding chapels. It's easy to spend a lot of dough in Sin City, but we've teamed up with our friends at Marriott to help you 'travel hack' your way through Vegas and save some cash. Check our handy infographic for some Las Vegas deals and tips for your next trip to Sin City. You (and your wallet) will be glad you did. Even on a budget, you can find plenty to do and enjoy in Vegas, baby!

Click on Image to Enlarge.